Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 17, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $51.8200 (1.07%) ($51.4900 - $52.1000) on Mon. Jun. 17, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $51.8200(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(6%)    BNDX(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.4(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.42(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.77(0.1%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2013	50.52	51.77		51.4			51.82(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	1	-31	1.6	47%	0	-42	0.98%	0	0.1	45	0
2	Jun_14_2013	50.52	51.8	51.42	51.37			51.27(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-37	2.56	48%	0.02	-40.4	0.97%	0	-1	44	0
3	Jun_13_2013	50.51	51.85	51.43	51.45			51.7(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	3	-37	1.31	48%	0.04	-37.3	0.98%	0	-0.3	47	0
4	Jun_12_2013	50.49	51.88	51.49	51.37			51.1(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-10	-10000	2	-44	1.49	46%	0.02	-44.2	0.97%	0	-1.4	39	0
5	Jun_11_2013	50.48	51.94	51.57	51.33			51.11(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-4	-59	2.64	46%	0	-48	0.98%	0	-1.6	35	0

6	Jun_10_2013	50.48	51.99	51.69	51.43			51.66(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-2	-56	1.76	48%	0.04	-44.4	0.97%	0	-0.7	40	0
7	Jun_7_2013	50.46	52.02	51.72	51.48			51.68(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	2	-59	1.8	48%	0.04	-37.8	0.97%	0	-0.7	42	0
8	Jun_6_2013	50.44	52.05	51.76	51.42			51.31(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-69	3.16	48%	0.02	-35.2	0.97%	0	-1.6	44	0
9	Jun_5_2013	50.43	52.12	51.86	51.63			50.89(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-21	-10000	-9	-57	1.77	50%	0.02	-7.1	0.96%	0	-2.8	37	0
10	Jun_4_2013	50.42	52.18	52.05	51.84			51.63(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-6	-36	1.58	53%	0.04	16.9	0.96%	0	-1.6	45	0

11	Jun_3_2013	50.4	52.18	52.16	51.98			51.88(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-1	-19	2.12	53%	0.04	36.5	0.95%	0	-1	49	0
12	May_31_2013	50.38	52.2	52.22	52			51.37(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-9	-10000	-6	-18	2.57	51%	0.04	57.1	0.96%	0	-2.5	40	0
13	May_30_2013	50.36	52.21	52.31	52.14			52.38(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	0	-7	1.37	55%	0.06	80	0.93%	0	0.5	54	0
14	May_29_2013	50.33	52.15	52.3	52.13			51.95(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-7	-14	1.21	55%	0.06	71.6	0.93%	0	-0.5	40	0
15	May_28_2013	50.3	52.12	52.34	52.3			52.3(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-10000	-3	1	1.42	55%	0.1	95.3	0.93%	0	0.4	54	0

16	May_24_2013	50.25	52.08	52.31	52.37			52(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-4	7	1.47	53%	0.06	100	1.02%	0	-0.1	53	0
17	May_23_2013	50.22	52.01	52.35	52.48			52.05(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	5	-10000	-0	20	2.29	53%	0.04	105.6	1.02%	0	0.1	53	0
18	May_22_2013	50.2	51.94	52.36	52.49			52.33(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	-0	30	2.05	55%	0.06	107.7	1.03%	0	0.5	64	0
19	May_21_2013	50.17	51.84	52.4	52.5			52.82(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	4	49	1.49	52%	0.08	106.8	1.03%	0	1.2	73	0
20	May_20_2013	50.13	51.7	52.31	52.38			52.67(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	5	48	1.65	50%	0.1	88.5	1.06%	0	1	65	0

21	May_17_2013	50.08	51.52	52.23	52.25			52.51(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	1	45	1.29	52%	0.08	74.9	1.07%	0	0.9	65	0
22	May_16_2013	50.04	51.33	52.17	52.22			52.13(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	0	56	3.15	52%	0.08	61.6	1.08%	0	0.6	69	0
23	May_15_2013	50	51.16	52.1	52.21			52.36(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-2	65	1.68	52%	0.04	50.7	1.08%	0	0.9	73	0
24	May_14_2013	49.98	50.96	51.97	52.28			52.21(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	1	79	1.31	52%	0.08	47.2	1.08%	0	0.9	74	0
25	May_13_2013	49.94	50.84	51.89	52.24			52.05(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	1	93	1	52%		48.7	1.09%	0	0.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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