Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $50.2200 (-0.3%) ($50.1300 - $50.5300) on Tue. Mar. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $50.2200(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(5%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.17(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.81(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.75(0.94%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130412

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_12_2013	48.42	49.75	49.81	50.17			50.22(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	2	67	1.86	56%	0.08	8.9	0.97%	0	0.8	52	0
2	Mar_11_2013	48.38	49.73	49.67	50.12			50.37(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	9	47	1.66	56%	0.08	4.1	0.97%	0	1.1	47	0
3	Mar_8_2013	48.34	49.71	49.46	49.91			50.2(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	9	14	2.41	56%	0.06	-16	0.97%	0	0.8	51	0
4	Mar_7_2013	48.31	49.71	49.42	49.69			50.23(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	9	-4	1.43	56%	0.06	-36.8	0.98%	0	0.9	50	0
5	Mar_6_2013	48.28	49.68	49.3	49.48			49.84(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	3	-38	1.69	56%	0.06	-53.8	0.97%	0	0.3	45	0

6	Mar_5_2013	48.25	49.68	49.29	49.41			49.94(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	11	-45	2.82	56%	0.08	-62	0.97%	0	0.4	47	0
7	Mar_4_2013	48.21	49.7	49.33	49.16			49.36(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	9	-56	2.69	54%	0.08	-80.2	0.96%	0	-0.6	48	0
8	Mar_1_2013	48.17	49.8	49.38	48.94			49.07(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-7	-80	1.47	54%	0.06	-74.8	0.96%	0	-1	44	0
9	Feb_28_2013	48.14	49.89	49.48	49.1			49.2(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	1	-63	2.18	54%	0.08	-66	0.95%	0	-1	48	0
10	Feb_27_2013	48.1	49.99	49.61	49.08			49.46(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-64	2.25	54%	0.08	-58	0.96%	0	-0.7	45	0

11	Feb_26_2013	48.06	50.08	49.68	49.16			48.73(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-16	-68	4.1	51%	0.06	-47.4	0.94%	0	-1.7	39	0
12	Feb_25_2013	48.03	50.19	49.8	49.53			48.26(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-22	-10000	-14	-46	2.73	49%	0.04	-32.4	0.94%	0	-2.6	40	0
13	Feb_22_2013	48.01	50.34	50	49.87			49.84(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-2	-35	1.4	61%	0.06	-16.8	0.89%	0	-0.8	38	0
14	Feb_21_2013	47.98	50.37	49.99	49.92			49.11(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-10000	-13	-52	2.44	58%	0.08	-8.5	0.88%	0	-2.1	38	0
15	Feb_20_2013	47.94	50.43	50.11	50.2			49.87(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-4	-40	3.4	63%	0.08	8.9	0.86%	0	-1.1	40	0

16	Feb_19_2013	47.9	50.45	50.17	50.28			50.56(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	8	-40	1.48	71%	0.17	14.1	0.84%	0	0.2	44	0
17	Feb_15_2013	47.82	50.42	50.11	50.12			49.95(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-1	-65	1.22	69%	0.06	5.9	0.88%	0	-0.9	42	0
18	Feb_14_2013	47.79	50.44	50.25	50.15			50.1(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	4	-58	1.03	69%	0.1	10.1	0.88%	0	-0.7	41	0
19	Feb_13_2013	47.74	50.42	50.33	50.07			50.52(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	3	-61	0.85	69%	0.1	9.5	0.88%	0	0.2	51	0
20	Feb_12_2013	47.69	50.39	50.39	50.01			50.27(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-15	-10000	-2	-55	1.11	69%	0.06	14.7	0.88%	0	-0.2	52	0

21	Feb_11_2013	47.66	50.38	50.48	50.05			49.78(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-2	-41	2.77	68%	0.04	24.8	0.87%	0	-1.1	49	0
22	Feb_8_2013	47.64	50.4	50.59	50.1			50.07(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-13	-31	2.67	68%	0.06	34.6	0.87%	0	-0.6	53	0
23	Feb_7_2013	47.61	50.39	50.7	50.38			49.69(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-10000	-11	2	2.72	62%	0.02	56.9	0.88%	0	-1.3	48	0
24	Feb_6_2013	47.6	50.37	50.7	50.63			50.25(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-8	32	1.83	67%	0.06	61.3	0.9%	0	-0.2	59	0
25	Feb_5_2013	47.57	50.31	50.79	50.82			50.46(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-6	52	1.37	67%		63	0.9%	0	0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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