Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $49.2000 (-0.53%) ($49.2000 - $49.6500) on Thu. Feb. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $49.2000(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(5%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $46.77(-4.94%)
Resistance Level   $49.89
5 Day Moving Average   $49.1(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.48(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.89(-1.38%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2013	48.14	49.89	49.48	49.1			49.2(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	1	-63	2.18	54%	0.08	-66	0.95%	0	-1	48	0
2	Feb_27_2013	48.1	49.99	49.61	49.08			49.46(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-64	2.25	54%	0.08	-58	0.96%	0	-0.7	45	0
3	Feb_26_2013	48.06	50.08	49.68	49.16			48.73(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-16	-68	4.1	51%	0.06	-47.4	0.94%	0	-1.7	39	0
4	Feb_25_2013	48.03	50.19	49.8	49.53			48.26(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-22	-10000	-14	-46	2.73	49%	0.04	-32.4	0.94%	0	-2.6	40	0
5	Feb_22_2013	48.01	50.34	50	49.87			49.84(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-2	-35	1.4	61%	0.06	-16.8	0.89%	0	-0.8	38	0

6	Feb_21_2013	47.98	50.37	49.99	49.92			49.11(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-10000	-13	-52	2.44	58%	0.08	-8.5	0.88%	0	-2.1	38	0
7	Feb_20_2013	47.94	50.43	50.11	50.2			49.87(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-4	-40	3.4	63%	0.08	8.9	0.86%	0	-1.1	40	0
8	Feb_19_2013	47.9	50.45	50.17	50.28			50.56(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	8	-40	1.48	71%	0.17	14.1	0.84%	0	0.2	44	0
9	Feb_15_2013	47.82	50.42	50.11	50.12			49.95(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-1	-65	1.22	69%	0.06	5.9	0.88%	0	-0.9	42	0
10	Feb_14_2013	47.79	50.44	50.25	50.15			50.1(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	4	-58	1.03	69%	0.1	10.1	0.88%	0	-0.7	41	0

11	Feb_13_2013	47.74	50.42	50.33	50.07			50.52(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	3	-61	0.85	69%	0.1	9.5	0.88%	0	0.2	51	0
12	Feb_12_2013	47.69	50.39	50.39	50.01			50.27(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-15	-10000	-2	-55	1.11	69%	0.06	14.7	0.88%	0	-0.2	52	0
13	Feb_11_2013	47.66	50.38	50.48	50.05			49.78(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-2	-41	2.77	68%	0.04	24.8	0.87%	0	-1.1	49	0
14	Feb_8_2013	47.64	50.4	50.59	50.1			50.07(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-13	-31	2.67	68%	0.06	34.6	0.87%	0	-0.6	53	0
15	Feb_7_2013	47.61	50.39	50.7	50.38			49.69(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-10000	-11	2	2.72	62%	0.02	56.9	0.88%	0	-1.3	48	0

16	Feb_6_2013	47.6	50.37	50.7	50.63			50.25(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-8	32	1.83	67%	0.06	61.3	0.9%	0	-0.2	59	0
17	Feb_5_2013	47.57	50.31	50.79	50.82			50.46(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-6	52	1.37	67%	0.04	63	0.9%	0	0.2	58	0
18	Feb_4_2013	47.55	50.24	50.77	50.97			50.05(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	11	-10000	-7	65	2.95	67%	0.02	72.4	0.9%	0	-0.3	53	0
19	Feb_1_2013	47.54	50.21	50.79	51.14			51.46(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	3	90	2.77	77%	0.08	81.5	0.84%	0	1.6	69	0
20	Jan_31_2013	47.5	50.08	50.65	51.07			50.93(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	4	90	1.25	76%	0.08	83.3	0.84%	0	1.1	67	0

21	Jan_30_2013	47.46	50	50.52	50.98			51.19(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	10	95	1.14	76%	0.08	90.4	0.83%	0	1.6	79	0
22	Jan_29_2013	47.42	49.88	50.39	50.77			51.21(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	10	92	1.56	76%	0.11	90.6	0.84%	0	1.9	81	0
23	Jan_28_2013	47.37	49.72	50.26	50.55			50.92(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	8	86	1.8	76%	0.11	80.9	0.85%	0	1.8	75	0
24	Jan_25_2013	47.32	49.6	50.17	50.37			51.12(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	10	86	1.81	76%	0.11	63.4	0.84%	0	2.1	74	0
25	Jan_24_2013	47.27	49.46	50.03	50.17			50.44(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	86	2.16	74%		57.1	0.83%	0	1.5	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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