Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $49.6000 (-0.46%) ($49.4800 - $49.7500) on Wed. Jan. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $49.6000(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(5%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.87(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.47(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.09(1.04%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2013	46.99	49.09	49.47	49.87			49.6(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	5	87	1.58	65%	0.11	71.3	0.91%	0	0.8	62	0
2	Jan_15_2013	46.94	49.03	49.45	49.76			49.83(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	8	93	2.57	65%	0.09	76.3	0.94%	0	1.4	65	0
3	Jan_14_2013	46.9	48.95	49.35	49.57			50.01(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	8	86	1.23	65%	0.13	77.2	0.94%	0	1.9	65	0
4	Jan_11_2013	46.84	48.85	49.14	49.38			50.05(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	7	62	1.05	65%	0.11	76.4	0.94%	0	2.3	59	0
5	Jan_10_2013	46.79	48.76	48.99	49.22			49.84(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	9	46	3.09	65%	0.11	80.2	0.94%	0	2.3	55	0

6	Jan_9_2013	46.74	48.66	48.84	49.02			49.05(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-3	20	1.8	57%	0.06	81.4	0.93%	0	0.9	50	0
7	Jan_8_2013	46.71	48.59	48.76	49.1			48.9(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	0	25	1.54	57%	0.09	88.6	0.96%	0	0.7	54	0
8	Jan_7_2013	46.67	48.53	48.72	49.09			49.06(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	10	30	2.82	57%	0.09	81.8	0.96%	0	1.1	58	0
9	Jan_4_2013	46.63	48.46	48.69	48.86			49.26(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	6	22	2.11	60%	0.11	68.2	0.96%	0	1.5	62	0
10	Jan_3_2013	46.58	48.38	48.66	48.71			48.85(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	4	21	2.68	60%	0.09	71.4	0.97%	0	0.9	57	0

11	Jan_2_2013	46.54	48.32	48.67	48.61			49.43(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	9	28	3.9	63%	0.15	76.9	0.96%	0	2.1	66	0
12	Dec_31_2012	46.47	48.22	48.57	48.39			48.84(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	4	21	2.53	61%	0.09	76	0.95%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Dec_28_2012	46.43	48.14	48.52	48.31			47.9(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-9	20	3.64	50%	0.09	73.1	0.93%	0	-0.5	59	0
14	Dec_27_2012	46.39	48.11	48.54	48.51			48.54(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-4	40	2.86	53%	0.09	92.2	0.96%	0	0.8	65	0
15	Dec_26_2012	46.35	48.02	48.51	48.61			48.36(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-6	53	0.95	53%	0.11	97.7	0.97%	0	0.5	62	0

16	Dec_24_2012	46.3	47.93	48.48	48.74			48.31(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-10000	-1	68	1.54	46%	0.11	92.9	0.99%	0	0.5	64	0
17	Dec_21_2012	46.25	47.84	48.43	48.77			48.44(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	1	72	1.65	46%	0.13	105.5	1.05%	0	0.8	69	0
18	Dec_20_2012	46.19	47.76	48.34	48.75			48.88(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	7	78	2.16	46%	0.13	119.6	1.04%	0	1.4	81	0
19	Dec_19_2012	46.13	47.6	48.22	48.58			49.06(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	-10000	7	74	2.36	46%	0.13	109.4	1.05%	0	1.7	86	0
20	Dec_18_2012	46.07	47.42	48.09	48.4			48.99(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	8	75	3.91	46%	0.13	103.2	1.05%	0	1.7	88	0

21	Dec_17_2012	46.01	47.24	47.94	48.2			48.49(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	6	77	2.54	46%	0.13	96.9	1.04%	0	1.4	88	0
22	Dec_14_2012	45.95	47.03	47.83	48.04			48.32(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	6	77	1.13	46%	0.13	75.2	1.04%	0	1.2	79	0
23	Dec_13_2012	45.89	46.85	47.72	47.88			48.03(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	3	71	1.34	50%	0.15	64.5	1.05%	0	1	72	0
24	Dec_12_2012	45.82	46.68	47.63	47.81			48.19(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	4	85	1.76	50%	0.17	56.3	1.07%	0	1.2	83	0
25	Dec_11_2012	45.74	46.51	47.49	47.72			47.99(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	3	94	1.55	50%		49.2	1.07%	0	1.2	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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