Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $48.1900 (0.42%) ($48.0800 - $48.4900) on Wed. Dec. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $48.1900(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.81(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.63(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.68(3.23%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2012	45.82	46.68	47.63	47.81			48.19(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	4	85	1.76	50%	0.17	56.3	1.07%	0	1.2	83	0
2	Dec_11_2012	45.74	46.51	47.49	47.72			47.99(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	3	94	1.55	50%	0.18	49.2	1.07%	0	1.2	83	0
3	Dec_10_2012	45.66	46.37	47.33	47.64			47.65(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	27	-10000	2	101	1.96	50%	0.11	45.6	1.08%	0	1.1	83	0
4	Dec_7_2012	45.61	46.23	47.22	47.59			47.52(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	2	125	2.47	50%	0.11	41.6	1.09%	0	1.1	87	0
5	Dec_6_2012	45.56	46.11	47.14	47.53			47.7(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	4	148	1.07	56%	0.11	35.7	1.1%	0	1.4	84	0

6	Dec_5_2012	45.51	46	46.94	47.42			47.73(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	7	150	3.91	56%	0.11	33.5	1.16%	0	1.6	84	0
7	Dec_4_2012	45.46	45.92	46.72	47.22			47.62(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	9	147	2.47	56%	0.13	32.1	1.16%	0	1.7	76	0
8	Dec_3_2012	45.4	45.82	46.49	46.96			47.38(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	6	135	9.62	56%	0.11	27.1	1.16%	0	1.6	71	0
9	Nov_30_2012	45.35	45.75	46.18	46.79			47.2(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	3	117	1.58	56%	0.13	26	1.17%	0	1.6	71	0
10	Nov_29_2012	45.29	45.7	45.91	46.7			47.18(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	11	110	3.15	56%	0.13	29.3	1.18%	0	1.8	69	0

11	Nov_28_2012	45.23	45.64	45.64	46.39			46.73(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	9	80	2.4	56%	0.11	15.4	1.18%	0	1.4	59	0
12	Nov_27_2012	45.18	45.59	45.45	46.13			46.3(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	7	50	1.11	56%	0.09	3	1.17%	0	0.9	46	0
13	Nov_26_2012	45.14	45.57	45.33	45.94			46.56(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	18	34	1.35	56%	0.11	-11.5	1.17%	0	1.3	54	0
14	Nov_23_2012	45.09	45.52	45.16	45.46			46.74(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	11	-10000	17	-6	1.29	56%	0.09	-41.7	1.17%	0	1.7	53	0
15	Nov_21_2012	45.05	45.46	44.98	45.01			45.6(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	9	-55	1.53	52%	0.04	-75.9	1.12%	0	0.2	38	0

16	Nov_20_2012	45.03	45.52	44.97	44.79			45.47(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	4	-78	1.16	52%	0.07	-81.6	1.12%	0	-0.1	44	0
17	Nov_19_2012	45	45.57	45.04	44.68			45.31(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	2	-83	1.92	52%	0.04	-72.8	1.12%	0	-0.4	43	0
18	Nov_16_2012	44.98	45.65	45.09	44.64			44.2(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-7	-96	2.99	45%	0.09	-64	1.08%	0	-1.9	30	0
19	Nov_15_2012	44.94	45.82	45.28	44.81			44.48(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-5	-81	0.94	45%	0.07	-45.7	1.08%	0	-1.8	38	0
20	Nov_14_2012	44.91	45.95	45.48	44.94			44.5(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.7	45%	0.09	-30.6	1.08%	0	-1.9	38	0

21	Nov_13_2012	44.87	46.04	45.64	45.16			44.9(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-12	-63	1.18	45%	0.11	-24.8	1.08%	0	-1.5	30	0
22	Nov_12_2012	44.82	46.1	45.76	45.46			45.13(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-6	-47	1.24	45%	0.07	-20	1.08%	0	-1.4	36	0
23	Nov_9_2012	44.79	46.14	45.85	45.61			45.04(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-8	-52	2.28	45%	0.09	-19.9	1.08%	0	-1.7	31	0
24	Nov_8_2012	44.75	46.17	45.93	45.81			45.11(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-10000	-12	-60	3.08	45%	0.07	-15.4	1.08%	0	-1.8	29	0
25	Nov_7_2012	44.72	46.19	46	46.1			45.6(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-4	-54	1.74	45%		-7.1	1.07%	0	-1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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