Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $47.3800 (0.38%) ($47.3300 - $47.6600) on Mon. Dec. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $47.3800(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.96(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.49(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.82(3.4%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2012	45.4	45.82	46.49	46.96			47.38(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	6	135	9.62	56%	0.11	27.1	1.16%	0	1.6	71	0
2	Nov_30_2012	45.35	45.75	46.18	46.79			47.2(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	3	117	1.58	56%	0.13	26	1.17%	0	1.6	71	0
3	Nov_29_2012	45.29	45.7	45.91	46.7			47.18(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	11	110	3.15	56%	0.13	29.3	1.18%	0	1.8	69	0
4	Nov_28_2012	45.23	45.64	45.64	46.39			46.73(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	9	80	2.4	56%	0.11	15.4	1.18%	0	1.4	59	0
5	Nov_27_2012	45.18	45.59	45.45	46.13			46.3(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	7	50	1.11	56%	0.09	3	1.17%	0	0.9	46	0

6	Nov_26_2012	45.14	45.57	45.33	45.94			46.56(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	18	34	1.35	56%	0.11	-11.5	1.17%	0	1.3	54	0
7	Nov_23_2012	45.09	45.52	45.16	45.46			46.74(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	11	-10000	17	-6	1.29	56%	0.09	-41.7	1.17%	0	1.7	53	0
8	Nov_21_2012	45.05	45.46	44.98	45.01			45.6(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	9	-55	1.53	52%	0.04	-75.9	1.12%	0	0.2	38	0
9	Nov_20_2012	45.03	45.52	44.97	44.79			45.47(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	4	-78	1.16	52%	0.07	-81.6	1.12%	0	-0.1	44	0
10	Nov_19_2012	45	45.57	45.04	44.68			45.31(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	2	-83	1.92	52%	0.04	-72.8	1.12%	0	-0.4	43	0

11	Nov_16_2012	44.98	45.65	45.09	44.64			44.2(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-7	-96	2.99	45%	0.09	-64	1.08%	0	-1.9	30	0
12	Nov_15_2012	44.94	45.82	45.28	44.81			44.48(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-5	-81	0.94	45%	0.07	-45.7	1.08%	0	-1.8	38	0
13	Nov_14_2012	44.91	45.95	45.48	44.94			44.5(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.7	45%	0.09	-30.6	1.08%	0	-1.9	38	0
14	Nov_13_2012	44.87	46.04	45.64	45.16			44.9(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-12	-63	1.18	45%	0.11	-24.8	1.08%	0	-1.5	30	0
15	Nov_12_2012	44.82	46.1	45.76	45.46			45.13(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-6	-47	1.24	45%	0.07	-20	1.08%	0	-1.4	36	0

16	Nov_9_2012	44.79	46.14	45.85	45.61			45.04(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-8	-52	2.28	45%	0.09	-19.9	1.08%	0	-1.7	31	0
17	Nov_8_2012	44.75	46.17	45.93	45.81			45.11(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-10000	-12	-60	3.08	45%	0.07	-15.4	1.08%	0	-1.8	29	0
18	Nov_7_2012	44.72	46.19	46	46.1			45.6(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-4	-54	1.74	45%	0.09	-7.1	1.07%	0	-1	37	0
19	Nov_6_2012	44.68	46.19	46.12	46.2			46.4(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	3	-41	0.99	50%	0.11	0.8	1.05%	0	0.3	52	0
20	Nov_5_2012	44.63	46.23	46.13	46.12			45.89(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-0	-39	1.4	46%	0.11	7	1.05%	0	-0.6	53	0

21	Nov_2_2012	44.58	46.27	46.26	46.13			46.07(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	3	-19	1.46	53%	0.11	10.2	1.18%	0	-0.3	54	0
22	Nov_1_2012	44.53	46.26	46.39	46.06			46.56(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-10000	7	-2	1.45	53%	0.13	7.8	1.2%	0	0.5	62	0
23	Oct_31_2012	44.47	46.23	46.44	45.88			46.06(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-6	-1	1.41	53%	0.32	-1.6	1.2%	0	-0.3	58	0
24	Oct_26_2012	44.33	46.22	46.46	46.05			46(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-4	9	2.81	63%	0.11	-0.8	1.22%	0	-0.4	49	0
25	Oct_25_2012	44.28	46.19	46.45	46.17			45.97(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10000	-8	6	0.83	63%		-15.9	1.3%	0	-0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.