Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $45.3100 (2.51%) ($44.7800 - $45.3100) on Mon. Nov. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $45.3100(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $41.94(-7.44%)
Resistance Level   $45.57
5 Day Moving Average   $44.68(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.04(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.57(-0.57%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2012	45	45.57	45.04	44.68			45.31(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	2	-83	1.92	52%	0.04	-72.8	1.12%	0	-0.4	43	0
2	Nov_16_2012	44.98	45.65	45.09	44.64			44.2(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-7	-96	2.99	45%	0.09	-64	1.08%	0	-1.9	30	0
3	Nov_15_2012	44.94	45.82	45.28	44.81			44.48(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-5	-81	0.94	45%	0.07	-45.7	1.08%	0	-1.8	38	0
4	Nov_14_2012	44.91	45.95	45.48	44.94			44.5(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.7	45%	0.09	-30.6	1.08%	0	-1.9	38	0
5	Nov_13_2012	44.87	46.04	45.64	45.16			44.9(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-12	-63	1.18	45%	0.11	-24.8	1.08%	0	-1.5	30	0

6	Nov_12_2012	44.82	46.1	45.76	45.46			45.13(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-6	-47	1.24	45%	0.07	-20	1.08%	0	-1.4	36	0
7	Nov_9_2012	44.79	46.14	45.85	45.61			45.04(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-8	-52	2.28	45%	0.09	-19.9	1.08%	0	-1.7	31	0
8	Nov_8_2012	44.75	46.17	45.93	45.81			45.11(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-10000	-12	-60	3.08	45%	0.07	-15.4	1.08%	0	-1.8	29	0
9	Nov_7_2012	44.72	46.19	46	46.1			45.6(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-4	-54	1.74	45%	0.09	-7.1	1.07%	0	-1	37	0
10	Nov_6_2012	44.68	46.19	46.12	46.2			46.4(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	3	-41	0.99	50%	0.11	0.8	1.05%	0	0.3	52	0

11	Nov_5_2012	44.63	46.23	46.13	46.12			45.89(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-0	-39	1.4	46%	0.11	7	1.05%	0	-0.6	53	0
12	Nov_2_2012	44.58	46.27	46.26	46.13			46.07(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	3	-19	1.46	53%	0.11	10.2	1.18%	0	-0.3	54	0
13	Nov_1_2012	44.53	46.26	46.39	46.06			46.56(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-10000	7	-2	1.45	53%	0.13	7.8	1.2%	0	0.5	62	0
14	Oct_31_2012	44.47	46.23	46.44	45.88			46.06(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-6	-1	1.41	53%	0.32	-1.6	1.2%	0	-0.3	58	0
15	Oct_26_2012	44.33	46.22	46.46	46.05			46(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-4	9	2.81	63%	0.11	-0.8	1.22%	0	-0.4	49	0

16	Oct_25_2012	44.28	46.19	46.45	46.17			45.97(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10000	-8	6	0.83	63%	0.14	-15.9	1.3%	0	-0.4	45	0
17	Oct_24_2012	44.22	46.19	46.45	46.41			45.69(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-10000	-12	12	0.67	63%	0.16	-15.7	1.31%	0	-0.8	44	0
18	Oct_23_2012	44.15	46.21	46.44	46.78			45.7(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	1	-10000	-9	30	2.29	58%	0.14	-18.2	1.32%	0	-0.8	51	0
19	Oct_22_2012	44.09	46.24	46.43	47.05			46.89(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	4	45	1.05	63%	0.2	-18.2	1.32%	0	1.1	57	0
20	Oct_19_2012	44	46.23	46.43	46.92			46.59(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	5	43	1.26	58%	0.16	-31.1	1.36%	0	0.5	58	0

21	Oct_18_2012	43.93	46.29	46.36	46.76			47.2(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	9	48	2.42	58%	0.18	-38	1.35%	0	1.2	68	0
22	Oct_17_2012	43.85	46.31	46.27	46.47			47.51(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	13	37	1.15	58%	0.16	-45.1	1.35%	0	1.4	58	0
23	Oct_16_2012	43.78	46.32	46.1	46.06			47.08(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	11	16	1.64	58%	0.07	-52.1	1.35%	0	0.9	60	0
24	Oct_15_2012	43.75	46.36	45.99	46.06			46.24(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-2	-10000	0	-8	1.34	55%	0.14	-53.6	1.33%	0	-0.1	49	0
25	Oct_12_2012	43.69	46.45	45.94	45.73			45.75(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-6	-19	1.57	58%		-42	1.34%	0	-0.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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