Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $42.2100 (1.76%) ($41.5400 - $42.2600) on Fri. Jul. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $42.2100(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.88(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.3(-0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.84(0.88%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2012	43.33	41.84	42.3	41.88			42.21(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	2	37	1.82	44%	-0.09	38.2	1.53%	0	0.5	54	0
2	Jul_12_2012	43.37	41.77	42.19	41.83			41.48(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-6	30	1.74	44%	-0.09	37.5	1.55%	0	-0.4	54	0
3	Jul_11_2012	43.41	41.73	42.17	42.04			41.94(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-9	29	0.93	46%	-0.09	42.6	1.57%	0	0.2	47	0
4	Jul_10_2012	43.45	41.69	42.07	42.35			41.78(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-8	34	2.69	44%	-0.05	62.6	1.58%	0	0.1	48	0
5	Jul_9_2012	43.47	41.61	41.95	42.62			41.98(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-5	44	1.29	44%	-0.07	72.3	1.62%	0	0.4	56	0

6	Jul_6_2012	43.5	41.54	41.91	42.79			41.97(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	19	-10000	6	58	1.96	44%	-0.09	87.6	1.62%	0	0.5	53	0
7	Jul_5_2012	43.54	41.47	41.84	42.58			42.51(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	9	52	2.55	44%	-0.09	85.3	1.62%	0	1.1	59	0
8	Jul_3_2012	43.58	41.37	41.81	42.29			43.5(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	16	57	1.2	42%	-0.05	76.5	1.62%	0	2	67	0
9	Jul_2_2012	43.6	41.15	41.65	41.74			43.13(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	16	40	1.9	44%	-0.05	56.7	1.64%	0	2	62	0
10	Jun_29_2012	43.62	40.95	41.44	41.2			42.83(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	7	18	4.32	44%	-0.07	36.4	1.64%	0	1.9	65	0

11	Jun_28_2012	43.65	40.74	41.29	40.95			40.93(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-2	11	1.79	39%	-0.11	24.7	1.53%	0	0.2	53	0
12	Jun_27_2012	43.7	40.67	41.3	41			41.08(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10000	-8	14	1.62	39%	-0.09	21.3	1.54%	0	0.4	54	0
13	Jun_26_2012	43.74	40.67	41.25	41.26			40.72(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-9	28	1.65	41%	-0.11	22.4	1.54%	0	0.1	53	0
14	Jun_25_2012	43.79	40.59	41.28	41.55			40.44(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-10000	-4	61	3.27	41%	-0.11	28.2	1.55%	0	-0.2	61	0
15	Jun_22_2012	43.84	40.58	41.26	41.68			41.59(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	0	83	1.38	43%	-0.07	32.4	1.52%	0	1	69	0

16	Jun_21_2012	43.87	40.51	41.17	41.67			41.17(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	27	-10000	2	103	2.42	43%	-0.09	33.3	1.52%	0	0.7	69	0
17	Jun_20_2012	43.91	40.47	41.11	41.61			42.37(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	-10000	12	119	5.78	46%	-0.02	31	1.48%	0	2	68	0
18	Jun_19_2012	43.92	40.38	40.92	41.24			42.16(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	8	107	2.96	46%	-0.02	20.7	1.49%	0	2.1	68	0
19	Jun_18_2012	43.93	40.31	40.61	40.99			41.12(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	7	84	1.19	43%	-0.09	9.5	1.45%	0	1.1	52	0
20	Jun_15_2012	43.97	40.26	40.41	40.78			41.51(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	6	62	2.15	43%	-0.05	-13.8	1.46%	0	1.7	57	0

21	Jun_14_2012	43.99	40.19	40.13	40.61			40.91(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	2	37	1.61	41%	-0.07	-40.7	1.45%	0	1.1	54	0
22	Jun_13_2012	44.02	40.18	39.99	40.54			40.5(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	0	24	2.69	43%	-0.07	-56.3	1.45%	0	0.5	49	0
23	Jun_12_2012	44.05	40.21	39.88	40.53			40.92(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	12	15	1.74	43%	-0.07	-67.2	1.46%	0	1	48	0
24	Jun_11_2012	44.08	40.24	39.83	40.18			40.08(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	-10000	8	-12	2.87	41%	-0.09	-88.5	1.44%	0	-0.2	40	0
25	Jun_8_2012	44.12	40.36	39.84	39.96			40.64(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	14	-22	1.27	44%		-83.3	1.43%	0	0.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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