Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $46.3300 (2.14%) ($46.0600 - $46.6200) on Wed. Aug. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.83% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $46.3300(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(91%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(80%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(14%)    IGOV(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.415% (StdDev 2.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.13(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.65(3.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.93(3.12%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 2.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2011	51.11	44.93	44.65	45.13			46.33(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	-10000	4	-13	2.15	40%	-0.14	-68.5	2.83%	0	0.9	55	0
2	Aug_30_2011	51.18	45.04	44.6	44.9			45.36(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	1	-5	1.41	40%	-0.16	-72	2.83%	0	0.2	61	0
3	Aug_29_2011	51.26	45.18	44.63	44.83			45.74(3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	7	-5	2.81	40%	-0.16	-71.6	2.85%	0	0.3	49	0
4	Aug_26_2011	51.34	45.38	44.71	44.38			44.38(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	5	1	2.53	38%	-0.19	-71.1	2.82%	0	-0.4	57	0
5	Aug_25_2011	51.44	45.69	44.84	44.08			43.82(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	0	-13	2.27	38%	-0.19	-71	2.82%	0	-0.7	45	0

6	Aug_24_2011	51.54	46.03	44.96	44.06			45.19(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-17	1.27	39%	-0.14	-70	2.8%	0	-0.3	51	0
7	Aug_23_2011	51.61	46.31	44.72	44.26			45(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-40	2.65	38%	-0.15	-62.2	2.8%	0	-0.4	43	0
8	Aug_22_2011	51.69	46.67	44.8	44.45			43.51(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-11	-50	1.81	36%	-0.19	-55	2.78%	0	-1	42	0
9	Aug_19_2011	51.79	47.11	44.73	45.12			42.88(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-9	-65	2.68	36%	-0.17	-45.4	2.77%	0	-1.3	38	0
10	Aug_18_2011	51.88	47.59	45.12	45.69			43.73(-5.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-4	-68	2.79	36%	-0.17	-39.1	2.77%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Aug_17_2011	51.97	48.04	45.3	45.92			46.2(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	12	-82	1.78	38%	-0.1	-35.9	2.7%	0	-0.6	41	0
12	Aug_16_2011	52.02	48.29	45.53	45.19			45.94(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-0	-115	1.98	38%	-0.12	-41.9	2.7%	0	-0.7	40	0
13	Aug_15_2011	52.08	48.53	45.77	45.21			46.84(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	-10000	15	-127	1.89	38%	-0.08	-42.5	2.69%	0	-0.5	39	0
14	Aug_12_2011	52.12	48.68	46.05	44.33			45.72(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-44	-10000	-3	-166	2.06	37%	-0.11	-51.6	2.68%	0	-0.9	37	0
15	Aug_11_2011	52.18	48.94	46.54	44.52			44.91(5.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-1	-169	5.85	36%	-0.13	-53.9	2.67%	0	-1.3	35	0

16	Aug_10_2011	52.25	49.24	47.13	44.61			42.55(-7.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-64	-10000	-22	-189	5.8	33%	-0.15	-60	2.57%	0	-2.2	28	0
17	Aug_9_2011	52.33	49.7	48.01	45.92			46.01(8.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-10000	-9	-164	8.13	35%	-0.11	-60.8	2.41%	0	-1.4	38	0
18	Aug_8_2011	52.39	49.94	48.67	46.44			42.45(-9.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-65	-10000	-30	-168	5.36	28%	-0.15	-65.1	2.16%	0	-3	28	0
19	Aug_5_2011	52.47	50.39	49.7	47.98			46.7(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-19	-124	7.65	31%	-0.04	-72.9	1.86%	0	-2	42	0
20	Aug_4_2011	52.49	50.71	50.31	48.86			45.35(-7.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-41	-10000	-25	-89	3.53	28%	-0.06	-67	1.83%	0	-3.1	32	0

21	Aug_3_2011	52.52	51.14	51.08	50			49.07(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-10	-36	2.95	32%	0	-64.1	1.59%	0	-1.6	44	0
22	Aug_2_2011	52.52	51.34	51.33	50.42			48.62(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-20	-22	2.67	32%	-0.04	-51	1.59%	0	-2.1	39	0
23	Aug_1_2011	52.54	51.6	51.57	51.25			50.18(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-11	18	1.79	33%	-0.02	-28.2	1.54%	0	-1.2	52	0
24	Jul_29_2011	52.55	51.79	51.56	51.68			51.07(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-8	31	3.31	34%	0.02	-3.8	1.54%	0	-0.6	53	0
25	Jul_28_2011	52.54	51.91	51.55	52			51.04(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-8	32	1.23	34%		11.7	1.54%	0	-0.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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