Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 24, 2011

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $51.8600 (1.61%) ($51.2800 - $51.8900) on Thu. Mar. 24, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $51.8600(1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.07(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.38(2.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.08(1.53%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2011	50.58	51.08	50.38	51.07			51.86(1.61%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	8	-10000	14	-10	0.82	50%	0	-13.3	1.32%	0	0.7	47	0
2	Mar_23_2011	50.58	51.04	50.23	50.6			51.04(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	20	-49	1.22	48%	-0.02	-29.1	1.32%	0	0	40	0
3	Mar_22_2011	50.59	51.05	50.29	49.94			50.97(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-15	-10000	10	-88	0.92	42%	0	-46.6	1.32%	0	-0.1	45	0
4	Mar_21_2011	50.59	51.06	50.36	49.61			51.36(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-21	-10000	4	-96	1.54	42%	0.02	-55.5	1.44%	0	0.3	49	0
5	Mar_18_2011	50.58	51.12	50.37	49.47			50.12(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-33	-10000	-5	-116	1.36	38%	-0.02	-54	1.4%	0	-0.8	39	0

6	Mar_17_2011	50.59	51.23	50.56	49.63			49.51(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-6	-110	2.43	38%	-0.04	-47.9	1.4%	0	-1.4	39	0
7	Mar_16_2011	50.61	51.37	50.87	49.84			47.76(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-45	-10000	-25	-105	2.29	31%	-0.06	-45.2	1.32%	0	-3.1	34	0
8	Mar_15_2011	50.64	51.59	51.32	50.66			49.32(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-10000	-16	-59	2.93	32%	-0.04	-40.9	1.27%	0	-2.8	41	0
9	Mar_14_2011	50.66	51.72	51.57	51.17			50.63(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.85	36%	-0.02	-32.5	1.24%	0	-1.8	49	0
10	Mar_11_2011	50.67	51.78	51.75	51.4			50.91(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-7	-18	0.97	36%	0	-22.7	1.23%	0	-1.5	39	0

11	Mar_10_2011	50.67	51.82	51.86	51.63			50.57(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-14	-10000	-14	-13	0.85	36%	-0.02	-11.5	1.24%	0	-2.3	39	0
12	Mar_9_2011	50.68	51.91	51.96	52.07			51.87(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-1	7	0.79	39%	0.04	16.9	1.2%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Mar_8_2011	50.66	51.91	51.9	52.1			51.88(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	3	7	0.5	39%	0.02	20.2	1.2%	0	-0.1	53	0
14	Mar_7_2011	50.65	51.92	51.83	52.02			51.75(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-5	-6	0.64	39%	0	24.7	1.2%	0	-0.4	52	0
15	Mar_4_2011	50.65	51.91	51.92	52.17			52.1(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	1	13	0.95	39%	0.02	45.1	1.19%	0	0.4	52	0

16	Mar_3_2011	50.64	51.88	51.95	52.13			52.73(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	9	21	0.7	41%	0.02	45.1	1.19%	0	1.8	58	0
17	Mar_2_2011	50.63	51.88	51.89	51.84			52.02(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	5	5	0.99	44%	0.04	37.3	1.19%	0	0.4	48	0
18	Mar_1_2011	50.61	51.83	51.84	51.68			51.49(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-10000	3	-10	1.45	51%	0.02	41	1.22%	0	-0.8	45	0
19	Feb_28_2011	50.6	51.81	51.87	51.6			52.49(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.9	-5	-10000	-1	-16	0.87	48%	0.04	33	1.28%	0	1.4	56	0
20	Feb_25_2011	50.58	51.7	51.79	51.64			51.92(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-12	0.88	46%	0.04	26.4	1.29%	0	0.4	55	0

21	Feb_24_2011	50.56	51.7	51.76	51.75			51.3(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-6	-8	0.95	46%	0.02	45.5	1.29%	0	-0.6	49	0
22	Feb_23_2011	50.55	51.67	51.86	51.95			51.21(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-2	8	0.61	41%	0.02	64.5	1.3%	0	-0.8	46	0
23	Feb_22_2011	50.54	51.67	51.96	52.02			51.1(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	1	-10000	-3	11	1.39	39%	0.08	67.5	1.37%	0	-0.9	42	0
24	Feb_18_2011	50.5	51.66	52.04	52.13			52.68(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	5	27	0.43	47%	0.08	73.8	1.32%	0	1.6	69	0
25	Feb_17_2011	50.46	51.55	51.91	51.96			52.47(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	5	30	0.56	47%		65.7	1.35%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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