Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 28, 2011

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $52.4900 (1.1%) ($52.1800 - $52.7100) on Mon. Feb. 28, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $52.4900(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.6(1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.87(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.81(1.31%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2011	50.6	51.81	51.87	51.6			52.49(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.9	-5	-10000	-1	-16	0.87	48%	0.04	33	1.28%	0	1.4	56	0
2	Feb_25_2011	50.58	51.7	51.79	51.64			51.92(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-12	0.88	46%	0.04	26.4	1.29%	0	0.4	55	0
3	Feb_24_2011	50.56	51.7	51.76	51.75			51.3(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-6	-8	0.95	46%	0.02	45.5	1.29%	0	-0.6	49	0
4	Feb_23_2011	50.55	51.67	51.86	51.95			51.21(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-2	8	0.61	41%	0.02	64.5	1.3%	0	-0.8	46	0
5	Feb_22_2011	50.54	51.67	51.96	52.02			51.1(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	1	-10000	-3	11	1.39	39%	0.08	67.5	1.37%	0	-0.9	42	0

6	Feb_18_2011	50.5	51.66	52.04	52.13			52.68(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	5	27	0.43	47%	0.08	73.8	1.32%	0	1.6	69	0
7	Feb_17_2011	50.46	51.55	51.91	51.96			52.47(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	5	30	0.56	47%	0.06	65.7	1.35%	0	1.3	73	0
8	Feb_16_2011	50.43	51.41	51.82	51.79			52.27(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	0	21	1.23	44%	0.06	59.4	1.36%	0	1.2	56	0
9	Feb_15_2011	50.4	51.31	51.77	51.78			51.58(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-3	24	0.51	44%	0.06	73.9	1.39%	0	0.4	55	0
10	Feb_14_2011	50.37	51.26	51.81	51.9			51.64(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-1	40	0.64	44%	0.06	97.1	1.39%	0	0.5	58	0

11	Feb_11_2011	50.34	51.19	51.75	51.92			51.84(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	2	43	0.97	44%	0.08	110.5	1.39%	0	0.9	58	0
12	Feb_10_2011	50.3	51.09	51.59	51.85			51.62(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	0	37	0.68	44%	0.06	112.6	1.4%	0	0.7	60	0
13	Feb_9_2011	50.27	51	51.58	51.84			52.22(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	2	52	1.1	44%	0.08	110.6	1.39%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Feb_8_2011	50.23	50.8	51.47	51.75			52.16(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	1	56	0.85	44%	0.08	86.9	1.4%	0	1.4	66	0
15	Feb_7_2011	50.19	50.59	51.33	51.73			51.76(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	5	59	1.22	44%	0.1	68.8	1.4%	0	1	58	0

16	Feb_4_2011	50.14	50.4	51.25	51.55			51.48(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	7	59	0.48	47%	0.08	55.4	1.4%	0	0.9	59	0
17	Feb_3_2011	50.1	50.24	51.15	51.29			51.58(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	1	49	0.67	47%	0.06	46.6	1.44%	0	1.1	63	0
18	Feb_2_2011	50.07	50.1	50.98	51.27			51.77(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	51	1.51	50%	0.08	47	1.44%	0	1.3	66	0
19	Feb_1_2011	50.03	49.97	50.81	51.14			52.04(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	6	62	1.31	50%	0.1	50.4	1.46%	0	1.7	74	0
20	Jan_31_2011	49.98	49.83	50.65	51.14			50.9(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	0	72	1.25	47%	0.1	52.9	1.44%	0	1	73	0

21	Jan_28_2011	49.93	49.73	50.59	50.9			50.15(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-10000	-2	92	2.46	45%	0.08	56.2	1.43%	0	0.4	69	0
22	Jan_27_2011	49.89	49.66	50.56	50.97			51.47(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	10	117	1.77	48%	0.1	56.8	1.4%	0	1.6	75	0
23	Jan_26_2011	49.84	49.52	50.37	50.63			51.14(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	6	107	1.94	48%	0.12	42.7	1.4%	0	1.6	66	0
24	Jan_25_2011	49.78	49.38	50.09	50.42			50.82(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	1	90	0.77	48%	0.02	29.3	1.4%	0	1.5	60	0
25	Jan_24_2011	49.77	49.25	49.79	50.38			50.93(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	4	77	1.25	48%		20.1	1.4%	0	1.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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