Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $52.3400 (-0.8%) ($52.0300 - $52.5000) on Mon. Nov. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $52.3400(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.49(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.76(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.45(1.73%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2010	46.88	51.45	51.76	52.49			52.34(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	8	64	0.87	63%	0.19	72.4	1.48%	0	1.1	67	0
2	Nov_5_2010	46.79	51.35	51.66	52.18			52.76(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	9	52	1.62	63%	0.21	74.3	1.47%	0	1.9	58	0
3	Nov_4_2010	46.69	51.23	51.5	51.85			53.42(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	19	-10000	12	40	1.33	63%	0.21	73.8	1.46%	0	3	62	0
4	Nov_3_2010	46.59	51.07	51.26	51.4			52.09(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	9	16	1.21	61%	0.19	90.4	1.43%	0	1.9	53	0
5	Nov_2_2010	46.5	50.98	51.16	51.09			51.85(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	4	0	1.51	65%	0.19	90	1.43%	0	1.7	54	0

6	Nov_1_2010	46.41	50.89	50.99	50.93			50.79(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-3	-12	1.14	63%	0.22	67.2	1.48%	0	-0.1	54	0
7	Oct_29_2010	46.31	50.79	51.05	51.05			51.1(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.85	63%	0.19	64.9	1.48%	0	0.4	58	0
8	Oct_28_2010	46.22	50.71	51.07	51.05			51.18(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	0	9	0.67	63%	0.26	59.5	1.48%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Oct_27_2010	46.1	50.59	51.11	51.09			50.55(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-4	17	0.63	63%	0.24	62.4	1.48%	0	-0	55	0
10	Oct_26_2010	45.99	50.52	51.18	51.23			51.03(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	5	35	1.4	63%	0.26	67.7	1.47%	0	0.5	57	0

11	Oct_25_2010	45.87	50.43	51.13	51.05			51.41(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	0	28	0.66	63%	0.26	64.3	1.47%	0	1	63	0
12	Oct_22_2010	45.75	50.3	51.03	51.04			51.3(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	-0	41	0.46	67%	0.2	67.7	1.47%	0	1	73	0
13	Oct_21_2010	45.66	50.2	50.95	51.05			51.15(-0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-2	48	0.6	67%	0.22	70.5	1.56%	0	0.9	63	0
14	Oct_20_2010	45.56	50.04	50.87	51.14			51.28(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	0	63	0.8	67%	0.22	72.1	1.58%	0	1.1	68	0
15	Oct_19_2010	45.46	49.89	50.77	51.13			50.13(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	17	-10000	-2	75	1.25	65%	0.11	74.6	1.56%	0	0.2	60	0

16	Oct_18_2010	45.41	49.81	50.79	51.2			51.36(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	5	90	1.39	69%	0.24	76.4	1.53%	0	1.3	67	0
17	Oct_15_2010	45.3	49.65	50.52	50.99			51.35(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	4	78	0.7	63%	0.22	72.7	1.59%	0	1.4	70	0
18	Oct_14_2010	45.2	49.45	50.32	50.83			51.59(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	7	74	1.13	63%	0.27	74.1	1.59%	0	1.8	65	0
19	Oct_13_2010	45.08	49.25	50.03	50.56			51.23(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	4	71	0.71	65%	0.27	79.4	1.59%	0	1.8	72	0
20	Oct_12_2010	44.96	49.07	49.8	50.39			50.48(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	2	67	0.84	65%	0.25	89	1.62%	0	1.4	63	0

21	Oct_11_2010	44.85	48.94	49.67	50.31			50.31(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	9	75	0.35	65%	0.2	100.5	1.62%	0	1.3	63	0
22	Oct_8_2010	44.76	48.79	49.52	49.96			50.54(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	6	64	0.81	65%	0.25	90.5	1.62%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Oct_7_2010	44.65	48.58	49.38	49.71			50.23(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	8	69	0.35	68%	0.2	85.8	1.62%	0	1.5	68	0
24	Oct_6_2010	44.56	48.39	49.13	49.41			50.37(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	56	0.78	68%	0.2	78.8	1.67%	0	1.7	65	0
25	Oct_5_2010	44.47	48.17	48.92	49.13			50.11(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	4	48	1.04	68%		78.1	1.68%	0	1.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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