Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $48.7200 (-0.53%) ($48.5000 - $49.6500) on Thu. Sep. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $48.7200(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49(-0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.51(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.66(2.22%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2010	44.26	47.66	48.51	49			48.72(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	5	62	0.85	66%	0.09	105.8	1.65%	0	0.9	69	0
2	Sep_29_2010	44.22	47.51	48.42	48.79			48.98(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	63	0.6	61%	0.14	105.1	1.65%	0	1.2	71	0
3	Sep_28_2010	44.16	47.26	48.29	48.67			49.25(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	5	71	1.6	61%	0.11	91.5	1.72%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Sep_27_2010	44.11	46.97	48.14	48.48			48.76(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	3	80	0.84	61%	0.18	78.7	1.72%	0	1.2	77	0
5	Sep_24_2010	44.03	46.76	48	48.37			49.28(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	10	88	1.03	61%	0.18	77	1.71%	0	1.6	69	0

6	Sep_23_2010	43.95	46.47	47.72	47.97			47.66(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	-0	74	0.6	57%	0.11	64.6	1.69%	0	0.7	65	0
7	Sep_22_2010	43.9	46.26	47.6	47.98			48.39(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	83	0.58	57%	0.07	55.4	1.68%	0	1.3	74	0
8	Sep_21_2010	43.87	46.02	47.36	47.86			48.3(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	2	95	1.27	57%	0.05	46.9	1.69%	0	1.3	81	0
9	Sep_20_2010	43.85	45.81	47.07	47.76			48.22(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	4	107	0.52	57%	0.05	43.9	1.69%	0	1.5	81	0
10	Sep_17_2010	43.83	45.6	46.88	47.59			47.29(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	4	117	0.78	55%	0	41.6	1.68%	0	1.1	69	0

11	Sep_16_2010	43.83	45.46	46.75	47.42			47.69(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	7	132	0.44	55%	0.05	39.2	1.68%	0	1.5	76	0
12	Sep_15_2010	43.81	45.35	46.53	47.15			47.79(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	10	140	0.4	59%	0.02	38.7	1.68%	0	1.7	76	0
13	Sep_14_2010	43.8	45.24	46.14	46.77			47.81(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	12	126	0.65	59%	0	28.8	1.74%	0	1.9	76	0
14	Sep_13_2010	43.8	45.09	45.71	46.29			47.36(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	5	100	0.61	59%	-0.05	11.2	1.74%	0	1.9	67	0
15	Sep_10_2010	43.82	44.96	45.41	46.09			46.45(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	3	96	0.36	62%	-0.05	-5.1	1.72%	0	1.4	64	0

16	Sep_9_2010	43.84	44.88	45.11	45.98			46.33(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	4	80	1.19	62%	-0.05	-20.4	1.83%	0	1.5	58	0
17	Sep_8_2010	43.86	44.8	44.82	45.82			45.9(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	10	61	0.78	62%	-0.07	-38.9	1.83%	0	1.2	49	0
18	Sep_7_2010	43.89	44.86	44.57	45.4			45.39(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	9	28	0.87	62%	-0.2	-46	1.84%	0	0.5	46	0
19	Sep_3_2010	43.98	44.96	44.44	45.02			46.38(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	9	6	0.93	58%	-0.09	-44.3	1.91%	0	1.1	55	0
20	Sep_2_2010	44.02	45.01	44.2	44.62			45.9(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	12	-13	0.82	61%	-0.09	-44	1.91%	0	0.6	55	0

21	Sep_1_2010	44.06	45.08	44.06	44.12			45.52(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	10	-35	1.39	61%	-0.09	-46	1.95%	0	0.3	52	0
22	Aug_31_2010	44.1	45.17	44.05	43.7			43.79(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	2	-53	0.68	58%	-0.11	-46.3	1.9%	0	-0.9	39	0
23	Aug_30_2010	44.15	45.36	44.24	43.63			43.49(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-19	-10000	-3	-68	0.87	58%	-0.14	-43.2	1.91%	0	-1.1	24	0
24	Aug_27_2010	44.21	45.57	44.42	43.77			44.4(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	1	-78	0.93	65%	-0.09	-38	1.91%	0	-0.7	25	0
25	Aug_26_2010	44.25	45.65	44.46	43.73			43.41(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-28	-10000	-6	-94	1.02	64%		-39.5	2.06%	0	-1.5	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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