Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $45.8900 (-0.09%) ($45.3800 - $46.2300) on Fri. Jul. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $45.8900(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.96(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.28(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.44(3.26%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2010	44.66	44.44	45.28	45.96			45.89(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	1	45	0.6	50%	-0.04	84.1	2.53%	0	1	66	0
2	Jul_29_2010	44.68	44.2	45.07	45.91			45.93(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	3	45	1.62	52%	-0.02	72.9	2.54%	0	1.1	63	0
3	Jul_28_2010	44.69	43.93	44.99	45.76			45.81(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	9	52	0.99	52%	-0.04	56.3	2.55%	0	1.1	64	0
4	Jul_27_2010	44.71	43.67	44.88	45.26			46.21(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	7	45	1.14	49%	-0.02	41.2	2.55%	0	1.4	68	0
5	Jul_26_2010	44.72	43.46	44.71	44.86			45.97(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	6	46	1.12	49%	-0.04	33.8	2.63%	0	1.5	74	0

6	Jul_23_2010	44.74	43.28	44.45	44.5			45.65(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	7	50	1.23	49%	0	27	2.62%	0	1.5	75	0
7	Jul_22_2010	44.74	43.1	44.25	44.12			45.17(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	-0	50	1.35	49%	-0.04	17.7	2.63%	0	1.4	74	0
8	Jul_21_2010	44.76	42.99	44.25	44.14			43.32(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-5	68	1.27	46%	-0.04	19.2	2.57%	0	0.2	72	0
9	Jul_20_2010	44.78	42.95	44.09	44.42			44.18(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-2	93	0.49	46%	-0.02	22.4	2.56%	0	0.9	73	0
10	Jul_19_2010	44.79	42.9	43.87	44.52			44.16(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	2	98	0.59	46%	-0.02	28.8	2.57%	0	0.9	60	0

11	Jul_16_2010	44.8	42.85	43.56	44.52			43.75(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-10000	0	88	1.21	45%	-0.02	32.5	2.56%	0	0.7	57	0
12	Jul_15_2010	44.81	42.83	43.31	44.38			45.28(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	6	86	1.13	47%	0	39.6	2.55%	0	1.8	66	0
13	Jul_14_2010	44.81	42.71	42.81	44.04			44.75(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	6	63	0.66	47%	0	49.1	2.54%	0	1.6	56	0
14	Jul_13_2010	44.81	42.64	42.39	43.72			44.66(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	11	45	1.25	47%	-0.02	59.6	2.55%	0	1.7	58	0
15	Jul_12_2010	44.82	42.5	42.12	43.12			43.45(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	10	21	2.42	45%	-0.07	61.7	2.52%	0	0.9	50	0

16	Jul_9_2010	44.85	42.41	41.99	42.61			43.75(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	-10000	10	0	0.74	46%	-0.04	57.6	2.52%	0	1.2	50	0
17	Jul_8_2010	44.87	42.3	41.82	42.06			43.59(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	-10000	13	-23	1.57	46%	-0.04	44.8	2.53%	0	1.2	48	0
18	Jul_7_2010	44.89	42.11	41.74	41.38			43.16(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-4	-10000	10	-46	2.16	46%	-0.04	15.3	2.53%	0	0.9	48	0
19	Jul_6_2010	44.91	41.94	41.67	40.88			41.67(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-2	-73	2.45	44%	-0.07	0.7	2.49%	0	-0.2	35	0
20	Jul_2_2010	44.94	41.84	41.81	40.98			40.9(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-6	-68	2.15	44%	-0.09	-2.7	2.46%	0	-0.7	45	0

21	Jul_1_2010	44.98	41.79	42.06	41.29			40.99(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-5	-49	2.48	45%	-0.09	-3.3	2.48%	0	-0.6	49	0
22	Jun_30_2010	45.02	41.83	42.32	41.54			40.19(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-12	-35	1.94	45%	-0.11	9.9	2.46%	0	-1.2	44	0
23	Jun_29_2010	45.07	41.93	42.64	42.14			40.64(-3.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-5	-10000	-8	3	5.27	45%	-0.07	29.1	2.46%	0	-0.9	61	0
24	Jun_28_2010	45.1	41.94	42.64	42.55			42.18(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	39	0.74	47%	-0.04	39.8	2.42%	0	0.2	69	0
25	Jun_25_2010	45.12	41.88	42.96	42.76			42.44(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-4	62	1.08	47%		43.4	2.42%	0	0.4	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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