Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 22, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $47.6500 (0.29%) ($46.7300 - $47.7000) on Mon. Mar. 22, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $47.6500(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    VWO(82%)    SPY(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.05(-0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.82(-0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.92(1.56%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2010	48.67	46.92	47.82	48.05			47.65(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	1	49	0.64	47%	-0.02	50.8	1.67%	0	0.6	67	0
2	Mar_19_2010	48.68	46.82	47.8	48.02			47.51(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-2	63	0.54	47%	-0.06	54.8	1.66%	0	0.6	70	0
3	Mar_18_2010	48.71	46.73	47.81	48.11			48.15(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	2	86	0.56	47%	-0.02	60.2	1.67%	0	1.2	76	0
4	Mar_17_2010	48.72	46.62	47.64	48.04			48.57(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	5	97	0.45	44%	-0.02	65.9	1.67%	0	1.6	82	0
5	Mar_16_2010	48.73	46.46	47.43	47.83			48.35(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	-10000	6	98	0.74	44%	-0.04	67.4	1.7%	0	1.7	76	0

6	Mar_15_2010	48.75	46.31	47.18	47.58			47.51(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	1	96	0.48	42%	-0.08	75.1	1.69%	0	1.2	75	0
7	Mar_12_2010	48.79	46.16	46.98	47.55			47.97(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	2	96	0.75	42%	-0.08	75.4	1.68%	0	1.7	67	0
8	Mar_11_2010	48.83	46.01	46.7	47.47			47.8(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	8	92	0.7	42%	-0.08	82	1.7%	0	1.8	65	0
9	Mar_10_2010	48.87	45.85	46.41	47.17			47.52(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	5	73	0.45	42%	-0.1	68.1	1.69%	0	1.8	62	0
10	Mar_9_2010	48.92	45.72	46.18	46.97			47.08(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	6	64	0.57	42%	-0.1	57.4	1.69%	0	1.6	62	0

11	Mar_8_2010	48.97	45.54	45.95	46.72			47.4(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	11	50	0.75	40%	-0.08	30.6	1.69%	0	2	64	0
12	Mar_5_2010	49.01	45.37	45.76	46.3			47.55(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	12	42	1.11	40%	-0.1	11.7	1.7%	0	2.4	73	0
13	Mar_4_2010	49.06	45.37	45.55	45.83			46.32(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	8	26	0.79	36%	-0.1	-12.7	1.68%	0	1.5	60	0
14	Mar_3_2010	49.11	45.21	45.5	45.53			46.5(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	7	22	0.98	36%	-0.08	-24.9	1.68%	0	1.7	64	0
15	Mar_2_2010	49.15	45.23	45.39	45.28			45.81(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	6	13	1.14	36%	-0.1	-29.2	1.67%	0	0.7	55	0

16	Mar_1_2010	49.2	45.23	45.36	45.06			45.33(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-2	17	0.76	40%	-0.08	-38.3	1.66%	0	0.1	65	0
17	Feb_26_2010	49.24	45.26	45.28	45.13			45.19(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-3	22	1.15	37%	-0.1	-41.8	1.73%	0	-0.1	59	0
18	Feb_25_2010	49.29	45.3	45.27	45.23			44.84(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-6	30	1.89	39%	-0.1	-45.8	1.74%	0	-0.5	54	0
19	Feb_24_2010	49.34	45.41	45.27	45.45			45.21(1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	27	2.1	39%	-0.08	-45.4	1.75%	0	-0.2	42	0
20	Feb_23_2010	49.38	45.49	45.26	45.51			44.74(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-4	15	1.89	41%	-0.08	-57.2	1.74%	0	-0.7	37	0

21	Feb_22_2010	49.42	45.61	45.14	45.68			45.65(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	6	4	0.47	43%	-0.04	-59.3	1.75%	0	0	45	0
22	Feb_19_2010	49.44	45.65	44.98	45.44			45.72(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	4	-17	0.83	41%	-0.06	-81.9	1.76%	0	0.1	52	0
23	Feb_18_2010	49.47	45.72	44.85	45.3			45.92(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	6	-33	1.07	41%	-0.06	-92.6	1.77%	0	0.2	50	0
24	Feb_17_2010	49.5	45.86	44.9	45.05			45.54(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	2	-48	0.34	41%	-0.1	-88.6	1.77%	0	-0.2	43	0
25	Feb_16_2010	49.55	46.09	45.04	44.97			45.59(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	11	-46	0.48	43%		-74	1.77%	0	-0.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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