Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $50.3600 (1%) ($49.8400 - $50.4000) on Fri. Jan. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $50.3600(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    VWO(82%)    SPY(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.05(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.52(1.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.83(1.06%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2010	49.9	49.83	49.52	50.05			50.36(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	10	11	0.45	52%	0.08	-26.2	1.6%	0	0.8	56	0
2	Jan_7_2010	49.86	49.8	49.53	49.67			49.86(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	5	-8	0.94	52%	0.1	-56.5	1.6%	0	0.1	43	0
3	Jan_6_2010	49.81	49.81	49.57	49.49			50.18(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	5	-14	0.25	54%	0.1	-77.7	1.6%	0	0.6	50	0
4	Jan_5_2010	49.76	49.86	49.53	49.29			49.88(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	3	-29	0.43	55%	0.12	-81.5	1.62%	0	0	45	0
5	Jan_4_2010	49.7	49.93	49.48	49.15			49.96(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	6	-39	0.8	55%	0.18	-74	1.63%	0	0	49	0

6	Dec_31_2009	49.61	50	49.43	48.93			48.48(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-11	-62	0.46	49%	0.06	-76.2	1.59%	0	-1.8	40	0
7	Dec_30_2009	49.58	50.17	49.66	49.37			48.95(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-7	-36	0.34	49%	0.08	-60.6	1.63%	0	-1.4	45	0
8	Dec_29_2009	49.54	50.32	49.79	49.67			49.16(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-3	-22	0.21	49%	0.08	-51.4	1.63%	0	-1.3	45	0
9	Dec_28_2009	49.5	50.39	49.94	49.8			49.21(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-1	-20	0.29	49%	0.16	-51.5	1.63%	0	-1.4	37	0
10	Dec_24_2009	49.42	50.47	50.04	49.84			48.85(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-3	-28	0.17	48%	0.06	-58.1	1.63%	0	-2	34	0

11	Dec_23_2009	49.39	50.66	50.19	49.97			50.69(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-9	-10000	-1	-32	0.51	51%	0.08	-50.6	1.58%	0	0	42	0
12	Dec_22_2009	49.35	50.71	50.11	50			50.43(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	1	-45	0.37	51%	0.1	-51.1	1.59%	0	-0.3	36	0
13	Dec_21_2009	49.3	50.78	50.07	49.95			49.84(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.33	51%	0.1	-54.7	1.59%	0	-1	33	0
14	Dec_18_2009	49.25	50.84	50.2	50.11			49.41(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.57	51%	0.1	-56.6	1.59%	0	-1.6	44	0
15	Dec_17_2009	49.2	50.95	50.41	50.26			49.49(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-4	-41	0.68	51%	0.14	-54.6	1.59%	0	-1.8	43	0

16	Dec_16_2009	49.13	51.09	50.61	50.41			50.85(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	5	-41	0.37	55%	0.14	-47.2	1.55%	0	-0.3	38	0
17	Dec_15_2009	49.06	51.17	50.71	50.22			50.17(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	1	-49	0.28	55%	0.12	-47	1.56%	0	-1.2	40	0
18	Dec_14_2009	49	51.29	50.88	50.2			50.64(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.36	55%	0.14	-42.4	1.56%	0	-0.7	42	0
19	Dec_11_2009	48.93	51.35	50.87	50.33			50.16(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-7	-53	0.36	55%	0.12	-32.5	1.56%	0	-1.4	48	0
20	Dec_10_2009	48.87	51.41	50.94	50.59			50.22(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-7	-48	0.43	55%	0.16	-21.3	1.56%	0	-1.5	44	0

21	Dec_9_2009	48.79	51.48	51.17	50.85			49.92(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-11	-38	0.42	55%	0.14	-0.7	1.56%	0	-2	38	0
22	Dec_8_2009	48.72	51.57	51.38	51.27			50.06(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-13	-10000	-9	-24	0.51	57%	0.16	37.1	1.57%	0	-2.2	38	0
23	Dec_7_2009	48.64	51.67	51.57	51.64			51.29(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	1	-10000	4	-9	0.44	60%	0.19	83.3	1.56%	0	-0.6	42	0
24	Dec_4_2009	48.55	51.63	51.57	51.48			51.47(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	4	-21	0.5	61%	0.21	84.1	1.57%	0	-0.2	49	0
25	Dec_3_2009	48.45	51.58	51.54	51.33			51.53(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-5	-30	0.51	61%		70	1.59%	0	-0.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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