Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $49.5900 (0.22%) ($49.0000 - $49.9400) on Wed. Sep. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $49.5900(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    VWO(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.36(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.79(-0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.14(0.92%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   29.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2009	43.68	49.14	49.79	49.36			49.59(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-3	-13	0.57	65%	0.25	41	1.52%	0	0.3	55	0
2	Sep_29_2009	43.57	48.97	49.89	49.46			49.48(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10000	-5	3	0.26	65%	0.25	33.2	1.53%	0	0.3	58	0
3	Sep_28_2009	43.46	48.86	49.91	49.67			49.66(1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-10000	-1	25	0.28	65%	0.23	37.9	1.53%	0	0.5	65	0
4	Sep_25_2009	43.36	48.76	49.89	49.72			48.97(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-7	43	0.75	65%	0.25	40.3	1.53%	0	0.1	70	0
5	Sep_24_2009	43.25	48.7	49.92	50			49.1(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-7	79	0.94	65%	0.25	50.9	1.53%	0	0.3	75	0

6	Sep_23_2009	43.14	48.6	49.94	50.27			50.07(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-3	122	0.44	68%	0.3	60.2	1.5%	0	0.9	85	0
7	Sep_22_2009	43.01	48.47	49.82	50.37			50.56(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	5	157	0.69	63%	0.28	71.5	1.5%	0	1.3	90	0
8	Sep_21_2009	42.89	48.28	49.59	50.18			49.91(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	3	151	0.3	63%	0.33	80.6	1.57%	0	1.1	67	0
9	Sep_18_2009	42.75	48.14	49.31	50.08			50.37(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	7	147	0.35	63%	0.33	85.8	1.57%	0	1.5	67	0
10	Sep_17_2009	42.61	47.91	48.9	49.82			50.44(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	6	128	0.37	63%	0.35	82.6	1.57%	0	1.7	68	0

11	Sep_16_2009	42.46	47.65	48.45	49.57			50.59(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	10	112	0.8	63%	0.4	80.3	1.57%	0	2.1	72	0
12	Sep_15_2009	42.29	47.36	47.96	49.2			49.59(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	8	85	0.33	55%	0.36	76.6	1.56%	0	1.6	63	0
13	Sep_14_2009	42.14	47.09	47.72	48.91			49.39(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	12	73	0.32	55%	0.33	64	1.65%	0	1.6	65	0
14	Sep_11_2009	42	46.89	47.52	48.42			49.1(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	15	58	0.52	55%	0.36	57.9	1.65%	0	1.6	63	0
15	Sep_10_2009	41.85	46.73	47.35	47.82			49.17(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	17	45	0.27	55%	0.36	51.8	1.66%	0	1.9	70	0

16	Sep_9_2009	41.7	46.53	47.12	47.14			48.77(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	16	29	0.27	55%	0.36	38.2	1.65%	0	1.9	71	0
17	Sep_8_2009	41.55	46.33	46.97	46.54			48.11(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	4	17	0.3	55%	0.53	20.3	1.65%	0	1.6	71	0
18	Sep_4_2009	41.33	46.18	46.84	46.38			46.94(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	4	-10000	-4	29	0.32	53%	0.29	13.6	1.63%	0	0.7	72	0
19	Sep_3_2009	41.21	46.11	46.84	46.52			46.11(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	45	0.31	47%	0.27	21.5	1.62%	0	0	54	0
20	Sep_2_2009	41.1	46.08	46.85	46.81			45.79(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-6	57	0.5	47%	0.29	36.1	1.67%	0	-0.3	49	0

21	Sep_1_2009	40.98	46.09	46.83	47.06			45.75(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	10	-10000	-9	68	0.78	47%	0.29	56.2	1.68%	0	-0.3	54	0
22	Aug_31_2009	40.86	46.11	46.77	47.42			47.31(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	93	0.62	51%	0.15	78.1	1.64%	0	1.2	65	0
23	Aug_28_2009	40.8	46.04	46.46	47.35			47.62(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	3	83	0.58	51%	0.34	86.6	1.65%	0	1.6	63	0
24	Aug_27_2009	40.66	45.9	46.25	47.25			47.57(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	83	0.48	51%	0.37	88.2	1.65%	0	1.7	59	0
25	Aug_26_2009	40.51	45.72	46.09	46.91			47.07(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	9	73	0.31	51%		77.6	1.67%	0	1.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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