Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $49.3900 (0.59%) ($48.6500 - $49.3900) on Mon. Sep. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $49.3900(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    VWO(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.91(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.72(3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.09(4.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20091014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2009	42.14	47.09	47.72	48.91			49.39(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	12	73	0.32	55%	0.33	64	1.65%	0	1.6	65	0
2	Sep_11_2009	42	46.89	47.52	48.42			49.1(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	15	58	0.52	55%	0.36	57.9	1.65%	0	1.6	63	0
3	Sep_10_2009	41.85	46.73	47.35	47.82			49.17(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	17	45	0.27	55%	0.36	51.8	1.66%	0	1.9	70	0
4	Sep_9_2009	41.7	46.53	47.12	47.14			48.77(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	16	29	0.27	55%	0.36	38.2	1.65%	0	1.9	71	0
5	Sep_8_2009	41.55	46.33	46.97	46.54			48.11(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	4	17	0.3	55%	0.53	20.3	1.65%	0	1.6	71	0

6	Sep_4_2009	41.33	46.18	46.84	46.38			46.94(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	4	-10000	-4	29	0.32	53%	0.29	13.6	1.63%	0	0.7	72	0
7	Sep_3_2009	41.21	46.11	46.84	46.52			46.11(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	45	0.31	47%	0.27	21.5	1.62%	0	0	54	0
8	Sep_2_2009	41.1	46.08	46.85	46.81			45.79(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-6	57	0.5	47%	0.29	36.1	1.67%	0	-0.3	49	0
9	Sep_1_2009	40.98	46.09	46.83	47.06			45.75(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	10	-10000	-9	68	0.78	47%	0.29	56.2	1.68%	0	-0.3	54	0
10	Aug_31_2009	40.86	46.11	46.77	47.42			47.31(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	93	0.62	51%	0.15	78.1	1.64%	0	1.2	65	0

11	Aug_28_2009	40.8	46.04	46.46	47.35			47.62(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	3	83	0.58	51%	0.34	86.6	1.65%	0	1.6	63	0
12	Aug_27_2009	40.66	45.9	46.25	47.25			47.57(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	83	0.48	51%	0.37	88.2	1.65%	0	1.7	59	0
13	Aug_26_2009	40.51	45.72	46.09	46.91			47.07(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	9	73	0.31	51%	0.35	77.6	1.67%	0	1.3	58	0
14	Aug_25_2009	40.37	45.53	45.91	46.56			47.51(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	14	56	0.3	51%	0.35	69	1.67%	0	1.8	57	0
15	Aug_24_2009	40.23	45.33	45.63	46.02			46.98(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	16	25	0.7	51%	0.32	63.7	1.68%	0	1.6	54	0

16	Aug_21_2009	40.1	45.19	45.43	45.42			47.1(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	4	-10000	8	-10	0.8	51%	0.33	56.3	1.68%	0	2	54	0
17	Aug_20_2009	39.97	45.02	45.26	45.12			45.87(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.46	47%	0.33	62.9	1.65%	0	0.9	57	0
18	Aug_19_2009	39.84	44.91	45.22	45.12			45.32(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.23	47%	0.35	68.2	1.64%	0	0.4	59	0
19	Aug_18_2009	39.7	44.79	45.27	45.17			44.84(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	0	9	0.29	53%	0.35	70.3	1.65%	0	0	62	0
20	Aug_17_2009	39.56	44.7	45.39	45.16			43.98(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-6	24	0.29	50%	0.33	77.3	1.72%	0	-0.6	56	0

21	Aug_14_2009	39.43	44.64	45.61	45.4			45.59(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	-0	52	0.34	55%	0.31	86	1.67%	0	0.7	61	0
22	Aug_13_2009	39.31	44.46	45.54	45.41			46.14(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	3	63	0.35	51%	0.36	92.7	1.66%	0	1.2	66	0
23	Aug_12_2009	39.17	44.25	45.34	45.28			45.32(1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-3	58	0.26	48%	0.33	96.1	1.71%	0	0.7	65	0
24	Aug_11_2009	39.04	44.05	45.15	45.4			44.77(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-6	67	0.18	48%	0.28	93.8	1.71%	0	0.4	67	0
25	Aug_10_2009	38.93	43.82	45.05	45.65			45.18(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-4	85	0.62	48%		91.3	1.75%	0	0.7	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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