Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $43.2200 (-0.78%) ($43.0300 - $43.6700) on Wed. Jul. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $43.2200(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    VWO(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.68(-1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.05(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.39(4.42%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 4.69% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2009	37.72	41.39	43.05	43.68			43.22(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	2	156	0.26	56%	0.4	48.6	1.87%	0	0.9	79	0
2	Jul_28_2009	37.57	41.23	42.87	43.59			43.56(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	-10000	4	177	0.3	56%	0.45	50.8	1.89%	0	1.2	84	0
3	Jul_27_2009	37.4	41.08	42.51	43.43			44.1(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	-10000	7	186	0.39	56%	0.48	55.6	1.88%	0	1.7	85	0
4	Jul_24_2009	37.22	40.87	42.05	43.13			43.92(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	-10000	11	178	0.26	56%	0.43	55	1.89%	0	1.8	73	0
5	Jul_23_2009	37.06	40.67	41.52	42.68			43.6(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	9	150	0.35	56%	0.43	54.2	1.9%	0	1.9	69	0

6	Jul_22_2009	36.9	40.46	41.06	42.33			42.79(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	7	122	0.34	56%	0.41	53	1.92%	0	1.7	57	0
7	Jul_21_2009	36.75	40.29	40.62	42.04			42.74(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	15	101	0.55	56%	0.44	49.2	1.92%	0	1.9	61	0
8	Jul_20_2009	36.59	40.09	40.2	41.43			42.61(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	16	61	0.2	50%	0.36	34.5	1.94%	0	2.2	57	0
9	Jul_17_2009	36.46	39.97	39.87	40.8			41.65(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	15	28	0.17	47%	0.33	15.7	2.05%	0	1.7	56	0
10	Jul_16_2009	36.34	39.87	39.67	40.17			41.88(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	10	-10000	14	-1	0.18	47%	0.33	-12.7	2.04%	0	2.2	57	0

11	Jul_15_2009	36.22	39.75	39.55	39.6			41.3(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	8	-10000	15	-15	0.37	47%	0.3	-43.7	2.04%	0	2	58	0
12	Jul_14_2009	36.11	39.68	39.42	39.01			39.69(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	6	-39	0.67	42%	0.28	-81	1.99%	0	0	52	0
13	Jul_13_2009	36.01	39.7	39.51	38.79			39.49(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-11	-10000	-1	-40	0.38	42%	0.25	-93.9	2%	0	-0.3	54	0
14	Jul_10_2009	35.92	39.81	39.57	38.82			38.47(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-7	-44	0.4	39%	0.2	-74.1	1.99%	0	-1.6	40	0
15	Jul_9_2009	35.85	39.99	39.76	39.1			39.06(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-10	-31	0.73	39%	0.22	-60	1.99%	0	-1	46	0

16	Jul_8_2009	35.77	40.1	39.83	39.5			38.34(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-10	-16	0.61	39%	0.2	-47.4	2%	0	-1.9	42	0
17	Jul_7_2009	35.7	40.26	39.97	39.89			38.6(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-10000	-10	-3	0.48	39%	0.08	-45.7	2%	0	-1.9	43	0
18	Jul_6_2009	35.67	40.39	40.04	40.31			39.61(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-3	10	0.24	41%	0.25	-43.3	2.01%	0	-1	46	0
19	Jul_2_2009	35.58	40.46	40.04	40.43			39.88(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.45	47%	0.17	-40.4	2.01%	0	-0.7	37	0
20	Jul_1_2009	35.52	40.46	40.12	40.51			41.08(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	7	-2	0.4	51%	0.23	-32.2	2.04%	0	0.6	41	0

21	Jun_30_2009	35.44	40.55	39.99	40.22			40.28(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	4	-26	0.42	51%	0.14	-30.6	2.08%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	Jun_29_2009	35.39	40.67	39.95	40.07			40.71(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	8	-39	0.2	51%	0.17	-24.3	2.15%	0	0	44	0
23	Jun_26_2009	35.33	40.74	39.89	39.73			40.18(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-1	-59	0.38	47%	0.17	-24.1	2.21%	0	-0.6	44	0
24	Jun_25_2009	35.27	40.79	40.04	39.77			40.29(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	2	-52	0.21	47%	0.2	-16.9	2.21%	0	-0.5	44	0
25	Jun_24_2009	35.2	40.81	40.19	39.69			39.64(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.21	44%		-16.3	2.21%	0	-1.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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