Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $40.7100 (1.32%) ($40.2400 - $40.8100) on Mon. Jun. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $40.7100(1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    VWO(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(13%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.07(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.95(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.67(0.1%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   32.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2009	35.39	40.67	39.95	40.07			40.71(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	8	-39	0.2	51%	0.17	-24.3	2.15%	0	0	44	0
2	Jun_26_2009	35.33	40.74	39.89	39.73			40.18(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-1	-59	0.38	47%	0.17	-24.1	2.21%	0	-0.6	44	0
3	Jun_25_2009	35.27	40.79	40.04	39.77			40.29(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	2	-52	0.21	47%	0.2	-16.9	2.21%	0	-0.5	44	0
4	Jun_24_2009	35.2	40.81	40.19	39.69			39.64(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.21	44%	0.17	-16.3	2.21%	0	-1.2	35	0
5	Jun_23_2009	35.14	40.85	40.37	39.73			39.52(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-2	-54	0.26	51%	0.2	-14.9	2.26%	0	-1.4	37	0

6	Jun_22_2009	35.07	40.91	40.56	39.81			39.01(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-5	-57	0.32	51%	0.17	-6.1	2.41%	0	-2	26	0
7	Jun_19_2009	35.01	40.98	40.77	40.05			40.41(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-6	-58	0.36	54%	0.2	14.5	2.37%	0	-0.7	37	0
8	Jun_18_2009	34.94	40.96	40.84	40.35			39.86(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-9	-52	0.27	54%	0.14	32.6	2.36%	0	-1.3	43	0
9	Jun_17_2009	34.89	40.98	41.02	40.79			39.83(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-7	-31	0.62	54%	0.2	59.1	2.38%	0	-1.3	48	0
10	Jun_16_2009	34.82	40.99	41.19	41.11			39.93(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8	-10000	-6	-13	0.73	54%	0.2	74.9	2.39%	0	-1.2	52	0

11	Jun_15_2009	34.75	40.97	41.48	41.4			40.23(-3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	0	-10000	-3	10	0.33	54%	0.23	85	2.39%	0	-0.8	50	0
12	Jun_12_2009	34.67	40.86	41.69	41.55			41.89(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	3	31	0.84	60%	0.26	63.3	2.32%	0	0.9	63	0
13	Jun_11_2009	34.58	40.68	41.62	41.39			42.06(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	2	33	0.31	60%	0.26	55.6	2.34%	0	1.1	65	0
14	Jun_10_2009	34.49	40.46	41.48	41.31			41.43(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	0	34	0.51	64%	0.29	46.8	2.34%	0	0.7	63	0
15	Jun_9_2009	34.39	40.34	41.36	41.3			41.41(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-5	32	0.59	64%	0.2	50.6	2.47%	0	0.8	63	0

16	Jun_8_2009	34.32	40.2	41.29	41.58			40.98(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-5	50	0.77	64%	0.2	57.6	2.49%	0	0.5	65	0
17	Jun_5_2009	34.25	40.13	41.22	41.84			41.07(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-1	76	0.38	60%	0.18	73.4	2.49%	0	0.7	74	0
18	Jun_4_2009	34.19	39.98	41.11	41.87			41.66(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	4	89	0.31	63%	0.23	78.5	2.55%	0	1.1	72	0
19	Jun_3_2009	34.11	39.82	40.94	41.65			41.4(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	5	95	0.3	63%	0.18	85.9	2.59%	0	1.1	73	0
20	Jun_2_2009	34.05	39.64	40.78	41.39			42.8(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	-10000	8	96	0.39	60%	0.18	90.7	2.55%	0	2.2	70	0

21	Jun_1_2009	33.99	39.39	40.42	40.97			42.25(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	8	84	0.45	60%	0.15	106.2	2.7%	0	2.2	70	0
22	May_29_2009	33.94	39.11	39.96	40.53			41.25(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	5	60	0.29	60%	0.06	108.4	2.72%	0	1.8	57	0
23	May_28_2009	33.92	38.86	39.64	40.25			40.55(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	52	0.24	60%	0.06	104	2.73%	0	1.3	63	0
24	May_27_2009	33.9	38.62	39.36	40.12			40.08(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	1	43	0.24	60%	0.03	101.7	2.75%	0	1.1	58	0
25	May_26_2009	33.89	38.36	39.23	40.07			40.7(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	5	50	0.29	60%		92	2.74%	0	1.5	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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