Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 7, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $32.8900 (-3.07%) ($32.7900 - $33.3900) on Tue. Apr. 7, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.18% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $32.8900(-3.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VWO(83%)    SPY(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(14%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.59% (StdDev 3.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.66(-2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.93(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.06(2.59%)
To recent high   -15.9%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 5.18% (three month std-dev: 3.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2009	34.29	32.06	32.93	33.66			32.89(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	4	48	0.2	44%	-0.12	91.1	3.18%	0	0.5	56	0
2	Apr_6_2009	34.33	31.85	32.89	33.47			33.93(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	13	54	0.25	44%	-0.15	77.9	3.17%	0	1.1	63	0
3	Apr_3_2009	34.38	31.51	32.83	32.81			34.58(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	10	50	0.39	44%	-0.17	62.7	3.14%	0	1.5	68	0
4	Apr_2_2009	34.44	31.15	32.5	32.28			34.19(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	4	39	0.34	44%	-0.09	50.5	3.17%	0	1.5	68	0
5	Apr_1_2009	34.47	30.82	32.24	32.09			32.73(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	-1	43	0.25	41%	-0.2	44.9	3.12%	0	1	65	0

6	Mar_31_2009	34.54	30.61	32.14	32.13			31.9(4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-2	61	0.36	41%	-0.26	42.1	3.13%	0	0.6	67	0
7	Mar_30_2009	34.63	30.4	32.07	32.23			30.65(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-12	78	0.35	38%	-0.32	35.7	3.08%	0	0.1	65	0
8	Mar_27_2009	34.74	30.26	32.06	32.82			31.94(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-10000	2	129	0.47	40%	-0.23	39.7	3.05%	0	0.8	79	0
9	Mar_26_2009	34.82	30.14	31.87	32.7			33.23(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	6	147	0.21	42%	-0.26	36.5	3.03%	0	1.5	80	0
10	Mar_25_2009	34.91	29.95	31.54	32.4			32.93(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	5	156	0.28	42%	-0.34	31.2	3.03%	0	1.6	79	0

11	Mar_24_2009	35.03	29.78	31.14	32.16			32.42(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	6	152	0.24	39%	-0.26	26.3	3.05%	0	1.5	67	0
12	Mar_23_2009	35.12	29.68	30.76	31.88			33.56(7.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	49	-10000	14	154	0.33	40%	-0.26	21.4	3.11%	0	2.3	77	0
13	Mar_20_2009	35.21	29.46	30.09	31.21			31.34(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	7	131	0.32	34%	-0.28	0.4	2.94%	0	1.3	70	0
14	Mar_19_2009	35.31	29.41	29.7	30.91			31.77(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	8	107	0.42	34%	-0.25	-14	2.96%	0	1.6	58	0
15	Mar_18_2009	35.4	29.36	29.27	30.53			31.73(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	13	82	0.54	34%	-0.23	-29.4	2.96%	0	1.6	57	0

16	Mar_17_2009	35.48	29.36	28.93	29.96			31(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	11	50	0.47	34%	-0.11	-47.6	2.97%	0	1.2	53	0
17	Mar_16_2009	35.52	29.32	28.57	29.48			30.19(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	16	13	0.25	40%	-0.17	-69.4	2.95%	0	0.6	46	0
18	Mar_13_2009	35.58	29.45	28.31	28.79			29.87(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	12	-27	0.39	40%	-0.28	-74.3	3.04%	0	0.3	51	0
19	Mar_12_2009	35.68	29.62	28.25	28.29			29.86(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	11	-54	0.34	40%	-0.25	-73	3.06%	0	0.1	45	0
20	Mar_11_2009	35.77	29.79	28.2	27.81			28.87(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	-10000	1	-87	0.46	37%	-0.36	-72.8	3.02%	0	-0.4	39	0

21	Mar_10_2009	35.9	30	28.29	27.77			28.59(6.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	5	-96	0.35	37%	-0.44	-70.7	3.02%	0	-0.6	37	0
22	Mar_9_2009	36.06	30.32	28.48	27.55			26.76(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-5	-118	0.67	30%	-0.44	-62.3	2.89%	0	-1.5	25	0
23	Mar_6_2009	36.22	30.73	28.78	27.74			27.38(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-42	-10000	-11	-134	0.52	30%	-0.47	-57.1	2.93%	0	-1.4	22	0
24	Mar_5_2009	36.39	31.07	29.12	28.18			27.46(-4.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-10000	-11	-136	0.38	30%	-0.36	-52.4	2.95%	0	-1.5	21	0
25	Mar_4_2009	36.52	31.38	29.5	28.64			28.67(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-6	-134	0.73	32%		-53.3	2.92%	0	-1.2	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.