Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $33.6700 (0.81%) ($33.2300 - $34.0700) on Wed. Feb. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.61% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $33.6700(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(87%)    SPY(83%)    VWO(83%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.805% (StdDev 3.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.29(-1.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.78(-0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.65(0.06%)
To recent high   -19.9%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 3.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2009	39.42	33.65	33.78	34.29			33.67(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10000	1	25	0.52	40%	-0.58	-77	3.61%	0	0	57	0
2	Feb_10_2009	39.65	33.75	33.89	34.23			33.4(-5.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-1	30	0.5	40%	-0.65	-84.6	3.62%	0	-0.3	51	0
3	Feb_9_2009	39.91	33.9	33.92	34.31			35.3(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	9	46	0.26	42%	-0.6	-78.4	3.58%	0	1.2	66	0
4	Feb_6_2009	40.15	33.99	33.7	33.77			34.97(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	6	23	0.21	43%	-0.52	-81.8	3.65%	0	0.7	51	0
5	Feb_5_2009	40.36	34.16	33.43	33.39			34.12(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	3	2	0.3	40%	-0.47	-69.7	3.72%	0	-0	48	0

6	Feb_4_2009	40.55	34.36	33.43	33.21			33.37(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-5	-13	0.49	44%	-0.54	-63.3	3.79%	0	-0.5	47	0
7	Feb_3_2009	40.77	34.65	33.28	33.51			33.8(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	1	-14	0.28	44%	-0.54	-49.1	3.93%	0	-0.4	42	0
8	Feb_2_2009	40.99	34.87	33.09	33.47			32.61(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-2	-36	0.3	44%	-0.63	-43.9	3.9%	0	-0.9	35	0
9	Jan_30_2009	41.25	35.19	33.28	33.59			33.05(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-44	0.31	44%	-0.6	-38	3.9%	0	-0.9	33	0
10	Jan_29_2009	41.5	35.45	33.42	33.45			33.21(-4.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	2	-65	0.34	44%	-0.57	-41.4	3.91%	0	-0.9	30	0

11	Jan_28_2009	41.74	35.7	33.52	33.33			34.87(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	5	-85	0.33	52%	-0.52	-44.6	3.89%	0	-0.3	35	0
12	Jan_27_2009	41.96	35.8	33.58	33.03			33.62(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	5	-99	0.38	50%	-0.59	-51.5	4.15%	0	-0.8	27	0
13	Jan_26_2009	42.21	35.97	33.86	32.67			33.2(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-4	-117	0.46	50%	-0.59	-62.5	4.2%	0	-1.1	30	0
14	Jan_23_2009	42.46	36.17	34.27	32.95			32.37(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-34	-10000	-6	-116	0.48	47%	-0.59	-70.6	4.25%	0	-1.6	24	0
15	Jan_22_2009	42.71	36.53	34.92	33.39			32.6(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-5	-106	0.56	45%	-0.67	-74.7	4.25%	0	-1.7	29	0

16	Jan_21_2009	43	36.87	35.52	33.73			33.34(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-7	-97	0.55	43%	-0.62	-79.5	4.33%	0	-1.6	33	0
17	Jan_20_2009	43.27	37.19	36.11	34.24			31.83(-8.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-13	-82	0.48	43%	-0.71	-77.3	4.34%	0	-2.6	32	0
18	Jan_16_2009	43.58	37.63	36.83	35.2			34.63(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.38	48%	-0.62	-77.5	4.25%	0	-1.8	42	0
19	Jan_15_2009	43.85	37.99	37.28	35.79			34.54(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-12	-40	0.73	44%	-0.61	-63.8	4.31%	0	-2.1	40	0
20	Jan_14_2009	44.12	38.36	37.69	36.7			34.29(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-10	-24	0.5	44%	-0.61	-39.9	4.52%	0	-2.4	30	0

21	Jan_13_2009	44.39	38.65	38.11	37.58			35.9(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-8	-10	0.53	49%	-0.56	-24.6	4.49%	0	-1.7	35	0
22	Jan_12_2009	44.64	38.84	38.25	38.27			36.64(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4	-10000	-4	-3	0.82	49%	-0.56	-6.3	4.84%	0	-1.5	36	0
23	Jan_9_2009	44.89	38.98	38.3	38.68			37.59(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.5	47%	-0.51	11.1	4.84%	0	-1	36	0
24	Jan_8_2009	45.12	39.08	38.3	38.98			39.09(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.32	47%	-0.49	24.4	4.88%	0	0	34	0
25	Jan_7_2009	45.34	39.05	38.26	38.83			38.66(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	1	-24	0.38	46%		26.4	4.89%	0	-0.3	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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