Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $33.2100 (-4.76%) ($33.1000 - $33.9700) on Thu. Jan. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.91% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $33.2100(-4.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(87%)    VWO(84%)    SPY(83%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.955% (StdDev 3.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $35.45
5 Day Moving Average   $33.45(-0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.42(-0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.45(-6.32%)
To recent high   -25.8%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 7.11% (three month std-dev: 3.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2009	41.5	35.45	33.42	33.45			33.21(-4.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	2	-65	0.34	44%	-0.57	-41.4	3.91%	0	-0.9	30	0
2	Jan_28_2009	41.74	35.7	33.52	33.33			34.87(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	5	-85	0.33	52%	-0.52	-44.6	3.89%	0	-0.3	35	0
3	Jan_27_2009	41.96	35.8	33.58	33.03			33.62(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	5	-99	0.38	50%	-0.59	-51.5	4.15%	0	-0.8	27	0
4	Jan_26_2009	42.21	35.97	33.86	32.67			33.2(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-4	-117	0.46	50%	-0.59	-62.5	4.2%	0	-1.1	30	0
5	Jan_23_2009	42.46	36.17	34.27	32.95			32.37(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-34	-10000	-6	-116	0.48	47%	-0.59	-70.6	4.25%	0	-1.6	24	0

6	Jan_22_2009	42.71	36.53	34.92	33.39			32.6(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-5	-106	0.56	45%	-0.67	-74.7	4.25%	0	-1.7	29	0
7	Jan_21_2009	43	36.87	35.52	33.73			33.34(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-7	-97	0.55	43%	-0.62	-79.5	4.33%	0	-1.6	33	0
8	Jan_20_2009	43.27	37.19	36.11	34.24			31.83(-8.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-13	-82	0.48	43%	-0.71	-77.3	4.34%	0	-2.6	32	0
9	Jan_16_2009	43.58	37.63	36.83	35.2			34.63(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.38	48%	-0.62	-77.5	4.25%	0	-1.8	42	0
10	Jan_15_2009	43.85	37.99	37.28	35.79			34.54(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-12	-40	0.73	44%	-0.61	-63.8	4.31%	0	-2.1	40	0

11	Jan_14_2009	44.12	38.36	37.69	36.7			34.29(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-10	-24	0.5	44%	-0.61	-39.9	4.52%	0	-2.4	30	0
12	Jan_13_2009	44.39	38.65	38.11	37.58			35.9(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-8	-10	0.53	49%	-0.56	-24.6	4.49%	0	-1.7	35	0
13	Jan_12_2009	44.64	38.84	38.25	38.27			36.64(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4	-10000	-4	-3	0.82	49%	-0.56	-6.3	4.84%	0	-1.5	36	0
14	Jan_9_2009	44.89	38.98	38.3	38.68			37.59(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.5	47%	-0.51	11.1	4.84%	0	-1	36	0
15	Jan_8_2009	45.12	39.08	38.3	38.98			39.09(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.32	47%	-0.49	24.4	4.88%	0	0	34	0

16	Jan_7_2009	45.34	39.08	38.26	38.83			38.66(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	1	-24	0.38	46%	-0.48	26.4	4.89%	0	-0.3	31	0
17	Jan_6_2009	45.56	39.05	38.26	38.72			39.38(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	5	-25	0.39	44%	-0.48	35.3	4.92%	0	0.2	49	0
18	Jan_5_2009	45.78	38.93	38.3	38.23			38.68(-1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	4	-34	0.65	44%	-0.5	19.9	4.96%	0	-0.2	47	0
19	Jan_2_2009	46.01	38.83	38.44	37.86			39.09(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.44	43%	-0.84	5.3	4.96%	0	0.2	50	0
20	Dec_31_2008	46.4	38.75	38.68	37.44			38.36(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-2	-41	0.53	43%	-0.54	-3.7	4.97%	0	-0.2	46	0

21	Dec_30_2008	46.65	38.69	39.02	37.63			38.1(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-2	-29	0.8	45%	-0.53	-1	4.97%	0	-0.4	51	0
22	Dec_29_2008	46.9	38.57	39.18	37.85			36.94(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-6	-24	0.53	42%	-0.57	4.1	4.99%	0	-0.9	45	0
23	Dec_26_2008	47.17	38.66	39.46	38.38			36.79(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-7	-9	0.43	42%	-0.94	28.2	5.15%	0	-1.1	55	0
24	Dec_24_2008	47.62	38.75	39.75	39.1			37.01(-5.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-10	10	0.37	43%	-0.56	51.4	5.12%	0	-1	59	0
25	Dec_23_2008	47.89	38.81	40.02	40.08			39.31(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-5	34	0.87	44%		71.7	5.08%	0	0.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.