Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $39.0900 (1.9%) ($38.0800 - $39.1800) on Fri. Jan. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.96% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $39.0900(1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(87%)    SPY(83%)    VWO(83%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -2.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.48% (StdDev 4.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.86(3.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.44(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.83(0.67%)
To recent high   -23%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 3.76% (three month std-dev: 4.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2009	46.01	38.83	38.44	37.86			39.09(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.44	43%	-0.84	5.3	4.96%	0	0.2	50	0
2	Dec_31_2008	46.4	38.75	38.68	37.44			38.36(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-2	-41	0.53	43%	-0.54	-3.7	4.97%	0	-0.2	46	0
3	Dec_30_2008	46.65	38.69	39.02	37.63			38.1(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-2	-29	0.8	45%	-0.53	-1	4.97%	0	-0.4	51	0
4	Dec_29_2008	46.9	38.57	39.18	37.85			36.94(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-6	-24	0.53	42%	-0.57	4.1	4.99%	0	-0.9	45	0
5	Dec_26_2008	47.17	38.66	39.46	38.38			36.79(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-7	-9	0.43	42%	-0.94	28.2	5.15%	0	-1.1	55	0

6	Dec_24_2008	47.62	38.75	39.75	39.1			37.01(-5.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-10	10	0.37	43%	-0.56	51.4	5.12%	0	-1	59	0
7	Dec_23_2008	47.89	38.81	40.02	40.08			39.31(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-5	34	0.87	44%	-0.5	71.7	5.08%	0	0.3	61	0
8	Dec_22_2008	48.13	38.71	39.96	40.63			39.22(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-1	51	1.3	44%	-0.5	81.3	5.09%	0	0.3	63	0
9	Dec_19_2008	48.37	38.5	39.91	40.71			39.58(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	0	64	0.45	46%	-0.49	65.6	5.09%	0	0.6	72	0
10	Dec_18_2008	48.61	38.18	39.67	40.69			40.37(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	2	60	0.76	47%	-0.51	40.1	5.17%	0	1	56	0

11	Dec_17_2008	48.86	37.9	39.29	40.48			41.91(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	5	53	0.68	46%	-0.45	32.1	5.18%	0	1.8	62	0
12	Dec_16_2008	49.08	37.65	38.82	39.96			42.05(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	7	45	0.73	46%	-0.43	23.8	5.19%	0	2.1	63	0
13	Dec_15_2008	49.29	37.39	38.3	39.24			39.62(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	31	0.73	44%	-0.48	8.1	5.13%	0	1.2	60	0
14	Dec_12_2008	49.53	37.29	37.87	39.02			39.49(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	5	31	0.47	44%	-0.5	-4.1	5.16%	0	1.3	68	0
15	Dec_11_2008	49.78	37.31	37.75	38.5			39.31(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	6	40	0.54	44%	-0.52	-9.6	5.16%	0	1.1	73	0

16	Dec_10_2008	50.04	37.19	37.63	37.89			39.34(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	4	39	0.91	44%	-0.5	-31.8	5.16%	0	1.3	63	0
17	Dec_9_2008	50.29	37.17	37.46	37.51			38.43(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	3	34	0.76	44%	-0.53	-51.2	5.15%	0	0.7	53	0
18	Dec_8_2008	50.56	37.25	37.33	37.22			38.54(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	7	31	0.68	44%	-0.51	-54.7	5.16%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Dec_5_2008	50.82	37.37	36.94	36.55			36.87(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-10000	-4	6	0.52	44%	-0.55	-58.6	5.13%	0	-0.2	48	0
20	Dec_4_2008	51.1	37.48	36.58	36.9			36.26(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-9	0.87	43%	-0.51	-57.7	5.12%	0	-0.6	41	0

21	Dec_3_2008	51.36	37.74	36.45	37.31			37.43(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-1	-8	0.87	43%	-0.47	-46.1	5.14%	0	-0.1	52	0
22	Dec_2_2008	51.6	38.08	36.42	37.41			37(5.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-0	-12	0.73	43%	-0.5	-29	5.13%	0	-0.4	46	0
23	Dec_1_2008	51.86	38.29	36.43	37.45			35.19(-8.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-5	-10000	1	-21	0.45	42%	-0.52	-18.1	5.08%	0	-1.1	40	0
24	Nov_28_2008	52.13	38.62	36.72	37.33			38.64(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	13	-29	0.45	44%	-0.7	-11.7	4.98%	0	0	43	0
25	Nov_26_2008	52.5	38.73	36.82	36.15			38.31(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	8	-49	0.66	44%		-20.1	4.94%	0	-0.2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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