Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 31, 2008

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $41.7200 (1.53%) ($40.0600 - $42.2100) on Fri. Oct. 31, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.13% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $41.7200(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(84%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -2.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(13%)    GLD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.065% (StdDev 4.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23(-44.87%)
5 Day Moving Average   $39.4(5.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.68(5.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.61(0.26%)
To recent high   -35.3%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 8.8% (three month std-dev: 4.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2008	57.34	41.61	39.68	39.4			41.72(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	12	-63	0.43	40%	-0.45	-75.5	4.13%	0	0	42	0
2	Oct_30_2008	57.6	42.01	39.67	38.41			41.09(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	5	-82	0.56	40%	-0.45	-80.3	4.12%	0	-0.2	53	0
3	Oct_29_2008	57.86	42.45	39.8	38			40.22(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	4	-88	1.08	40%	-0.5	-79.5	4.11%	0	-0.5	50	0
4	Oct_28_2008	58.15	43.05	39.84	37.66			39.08(11.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-6	-110	1.18	40%	-0.53	-77.4	4.1%	0	-0.8	44	0
5	Oct_27_2008	58.46	43.74	40.48	38.14			34.9(-5.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-25	-117	0.81	35%	-0.6	-76.9	3.78%	0	-1.7	35	0

6	Oct_24_2008	58.81	44.57	41.64	40			36.74(-5.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-14	-81	0.95	36%	-0.59	-71.3	3.75%	0	-1.4	35	0
7	Oct_23_2008	59.16	45.57	42.1	41.07			39.04(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-10	-92	0.91	37%	-0.54	-65.7	3.7%	0	-1.2	34	0
8	Oct_22_2008	59.48	46.49	42.39	41.84			38.55(-7.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-6	-106	0.81	37%	-0.54	-60.2	3.69%	0	-1.4	33	0
9	Oct_21_2008	59.8	47.38	43	42.28			41.47(-6.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-11	-129	0.41	39%	-0.52	-57.1	3.61%	0	-1	33	0
10	Oct_20_2008	60.11	48.12	43.4	43.17			44.2(4.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-6	-138	0.76	41%	-0.46	-51.1	3.54%	0	-0.7	35	0

11	Oct_17_2008	60.39	48.79	43.71	43.6			42.1(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-32	-10000	4	-140	0.58	40%	-0.49	-45.9	3.48%	0	-1.1	36	0
12	Oct_16_2008	60.69	49.62	44.52	43.3			42.87(5.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	4	-164	0.77	41%	-0.49	-47.9	3.5%	0	-1.1	31	0
13	Oct_15_2008	60.99	50.25	45.27	43.03			40.76(-11.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-10000	-10	-198	0.88	38%	-0.51	-52.3	3.43%	0	-1.6	26	0
14	Oct_14_2008	61.3	50.91	46.48	43.76			45.93(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-51	-10000	1	-206	1.1	42%	-0.26	-56.1	3.16%	0	-0.9	34	0
15	Oct_13_2008	61.46	51.35	47.17	43.68			46.35(14.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-58	-10000	-4	-220	0.74	42%	-0.44	-59	3.16%	0	-0.9	34	0

16	Oct_10_2008	61.73	51.81	47.62	43.97			40.59(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-101	-10000	-34	-300	0.93	33%	-0.53	-60.3	2.59%	0	-2.1	16	0
17	Oct_9_2008	62.06	52.71	49.28	45.98			41.53(-6.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-88	-10000	-30	-261	0.87	33%	-0.51	-57.7	2.58%	0	-2.3	16	0
18	Oct_8_2008	62.38	53.51	50.93	47.83			44.41(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-75	-10000	-28	-217	0.93	35%	-0.46	-57.9	2.48%	0	-2.2	32	0
19	Oct_7_2008	62.67	54.16	52.15	49.56			45.5(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-60	-10000	-25	-166	0.8	35%	-0.46	-59.3	2.47%	0	-2.5	39	0
20	Oct_6_2008	62.96	54.75	53.29	51.14			47.83(-5.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-10	-119	1.22	37%	-0.43	-62.8	2.42%	0	-2.4	40	0

21	Oct_3_2008	63.23	55.28	54.34	51.8			50.64(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-21	-100	1.06	40%	-0.36	-73.5	2.35%	0	-1.9	43	0
22	Oct_2_2008	63.46	55.61	55.18	53.1			50.78(-4.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10000	-22	-64	0.36	40%	-0.33	-75.1	2.36%	0	-2.1	39	0
23	Oct_1_2008	63.67	55.96	55.67	54.53			53.07(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-10	-31	0.31	41%	-0.31	-68.1	2.31%	0	-1.3	45	0
24	Sep_30_2008	63.87	56.31	55.72	55.18			53.37(4.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-10	-30	0.38	41%	-0.31	-60.2	2.31%	0	-1.3	45	0
25	Sep_29_2008	64.07	56.65	55.89	55.8			51.13(-10.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-10000	-22	-27	0.69	38%		-54.5	2.24%	0	-2.6	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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