Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 6, 2008

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $64.4900 (0.09%) ($63.7400 - $64.6100) on Wed. Aug. 6, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $64.4900(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.66(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.7(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.63(1.35%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2008	68.48	63.63	63.7	63.66			64.49(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.69	38%	-0.04	-6	1.2%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Aug_5_2008	68.51	63.58	63.73	63.62			64.43(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.25	38%	-0.01	-12.2	1.21%	0	0.9	62	0
3	Aug_4_2008	68.52	63.56	63.75	63.48			62.77(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2	-10000	-2	-3	0.26	34%	-0.06	-24.1	1.16%	0	-0.9	61	0
4	Aug_1_2008	68.56	63.6	63.96	63.54			62.88(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	-6	17	0.16	34%	-0.09	-30.1	1.16%	0	-0.8	56	0
5	Jul_31_2008	68.62	63.6	64.14	63.76			63.72(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	1	46	0.19	35%	-0.06	-25.7	1.16%	0	0	58	0

6	Jul_30_2008	68.66	63.69	64.16	63.73			64.31(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	8	-10000	-4	45	0.39	35%	-0.06	-39.9	1.16%	0	0.7	52	0
7	Jul_29_2008	68.7	63.7	63.98	63.87			63.7(0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-6	43	0.16	35%	-0.03	-41.6	1.16%	0	0	51	0
8	Jul_28_2008	68.72	63.78	63.79	64.1			63.11(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-9	34	0.12	35%	-0.04	-34.4	1.15%	0	-0.6	45	0
9	Jul_25_2008	68.75	63.88	63.72	64.44			63.98(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-3	44	0.16	36%	-0.04	-30.4	1.14%	0	0.1	52	0
10	Jul_24_2008	68.78	63.93	63.57	64.56			63.56(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-2	34	0.16	36%	-0.07	-37.6	1.15%	0	-0.3	44	0

11	Jul_23_2008	68.83	64.07	63.59	64.62			65.02(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	15	45	0.17	39%	-0.03	-36.5	1.12%	0	0.8	55	0
12	Jul_22_2008	68.85	64.09	63.42	64.09			64.83(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	19	13	0.38	39%	-0.04	-55.5	1.12%	0	0.6	49	0
13	Jul_21_2008	68.88	64.14	63.33	63.42			64.81(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	15	-32	0.28	39%	-0.04	-74.2	1.12%	0	0.5	44	0
14	Jul_18_2008	68.91	64.21	63.18	62.89			64.58(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	-10000	12	-70	0.21	39%	-0.07	-85.5	1.12%	0	0.3	46	0
15	Jul_17_2008	68.96	64.34	63.15	62.46			63.85(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-24	-10000	1	-99	0.37	37%	-0.1	-83.4	1.12%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Jul_16_2008	69.03	64.52	63.13	62.44			62.37(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-7	-130	0.25	38%	-0.1	-76.7	1.08%	0	-1.2	29	0
17	Jul_15_2008	69.1	64.81	63.36	62.67			61.47(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-10000	-15	-126	0.43	36%	-0.12	-70.4	1.15%	0	-1.8	30	0
18	Jul_14_2008	69.18	65.15	63.77	63.21			62.16(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-8	-106	0.26	36%	-0.07	-68.4	1.14%	0	-1.7	31	0
19	Jul_11_2008	69.23	65.44	64.08	63.48			62.47(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-12	-106	0.29	34%	-0.07	-72	1.14%	0	-1.7	31	0
20	Jul_10_2008	69.28	65.69	64.34	63.91			63.75(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-0	-103	0.27	36%	-0.04	-81.8	1.14%	0	-1.2	30	0

21	Jul_9_2008	69.31	65.88	64.61	63.92			63.52(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-114	0.2	36%	-0.06	-91.7	1.14%	0	-1.5	28	0
22	Jul_8_2008	69.35	66.13	64.85	64.15			64.15(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-8	-126	0.26	36%	-0.07	-97	1.13%	0	-1.3	27	0
23	Jul_7_2008	69.4	66.4	65.04	64.44			63.52(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-9	-131	0.38	36%	0	-92	1.13%	0	-1.7	25	0
24	Jul_3_2008	69.4	66.71	65.33	64.76			64.6(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-2	-129	0.2	38%	-0.03	-81.8	1.11%	0	-1.1	31	0
25	Jul_2_2008	69.42	67.05	65.62	64.84			63.81(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-10000	-16	-134	0.41	35%		-80.4	1.09%	0	-1.7	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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