Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 24, 2008

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $71.2600 (-0.5%) ($70.4100 - $71.6300) on Thu. Apr. 24, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $71.2600(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.63(-0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.74(0.74%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2008	70.14	70.74	71	71.63			71.26(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	22	0.32	57%	-0.11	89	1.5%	0	0.5	50	0
2	Apr_23_2008	70.22	70.6	70.92	71.59			71.62(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-1	17	0.22	57%	-0.1	94.4	1.54%	0	0.8	53	0
3	Apr_22_2008	70.29	70.43	70.82	71.66			71.41(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	6	21	0.26	54%	-0.1	94.6	1.54%	0	0.7	53	0
4	Apr_21_2008	70.36	70.27	70.77	71.32			72.1(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	10	14	0.3	54%	-0.1	87	1.58%	0	1.3	58	0
5	Apr_18_2008	70.43	70.02	70.7	70.77			71.78(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	9	11	0.23	54%	-0.1	80.8	1.59%	0	1.2	67	0

6	Apr_17_2008	70.5	69.73	70.62	70.26			71.03(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	-10000	2	7	0.3	54%	-0.13	53.6	1.59%	0	0.8	67	0
7	Apr_16_2008	70.59	69.44	70.61	70.15			71.97(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	4	18	0.27	51%	-0.07	38.3	1.59%	0	1.3	73	0
8	Apr_15_2008	70.64	69.21	70.48	69.91			69.7(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-5	21	0.33	45%	-0.1	35.3	1.55%	0	0.3	66	0
9	Apr_14_2008	70.71	69.02	70.58	70.16			69.38(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-8	40	0.21	46%	-0.11	36.5	1.61%	0	0.2	65	0
10	Apr_11_2008	70.79	68.9	70.56	70.61			69.22(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-7	63	0.8	45%	-0.03	41.9	1.62%	0	0.2	71	0

11	Apr_10_2008	70.81	68.85	70.5	71.01			70.49(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-2	93	0.2	46%	-0.07	50.7	1.62%	0	0.8	87	0
12	Apr_9_2008	70.86	68.72	70.31	71.1			70.74(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.2	29	-10000	-0	116	0.16	46%	-0.08	53.8	1.62%	0	1	91	0
13	Apr_8_2008	70.92	68.57	70.06	71.12			70.99(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	1	123	0.18	46%	-0.07	57.7	1.62%	0	1.2	66	0
14	Apr_7_2008	70.97	68.31	69.78	71.06			71.59(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	10	141	0.22	46%	-0.08	53	1.62%	0	1.7	76	0
15	Apr_4_2008	71.03	68.04	69.32	70.5			71.23(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	10	128	0.24	44%	-0.1	44.9	1.62%	0	1.8	67	0

16	Apr_3_2008	71.1	67.82	68.77	69.91			70.97(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	9	98	0.24	44%	-0.11	33.1	1.64%	0	1.9	58	0
17	Apr_2_2008	71.18	67.65	68.18	69.38			70.84(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	10	69	0.29	44%	-0.11	20.9	1.64%	0	2.1	59	0
18	Apr_1_2008	71.26	67.46	67.82	68.84			70.67(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	9	52	0.33	44%	-0.1	2.6	1.64%	0	2.5	58	0
19	Mar_31_2008	71.33	67.29	67.29	68.33			68.79(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	7	35	0.19	41%	-0.13	-13.2	1.62%	0	1.4	61	0
20	Mar_28_2008	71.42	67.23	67.07	67.97			68.3(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	10	27	0.4	41%	-0.18	-23	1.62%	0	1	57	0

21	Mar_27_2008	71.55	67.28	67.04	67.42			68.31(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	12	17	0.16	41%	-0.15	-24.7	1.62%	0	0.9	54	0
22	Mar_26_2008	71.66	67.35	66.98	66.76			68.12(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	-10000	2	-7	0.25	41%	-0.18	-26.2	1.62%	0	0.6	50	0
23	Mar_25_2008	71.79	67.42	66.94	66.64			68.12(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	10	-5	0.3	41%	-0.17	-17.2	1.62%	0	0.5	53	0
24	Mar_24_2008	71.91	67.44	66.7	66.13			66.98(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	1	-34	0.5	37%	-0.32	-20	1.62%	0	-0.3	47	0
25	Mar_20_2008	72.14	67.47	66.65	66.07			65.58(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-10	-48	0.27	36%		-18	1.62%	0	-1.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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