Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $79.4800 (0.33%) ($79.2300 - $79.6600) on Wed. Oct. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $79.4800(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.91(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.66(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.32(2.79%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2007	75.53	77.32	78.66	78.91			79.48(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	5	57	0.12	54%	0.05	72.6	1.43%	0	1.2	74	0
2	Oct_9_2007	75.49	77.06	78.41	78.61			79.22(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	1	50	0.18	54%	0.04	69.1	1.45%	0	1.2	74	0
3	Oct_8_2007	75.46	76.81	78.19	78.55			78.35(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-2	55	0.17	54%	0.03	63	1.44%	0	0.8	73	0
4	Oct_5_2007	75.44	76.54	78.05	78.68			78.95(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-10000	3	81	0.14	54%	0.04	58.9	1.44%	0	1.2	87	0
5	Oct_4_2007	75.41	76.25	77.86	78.53			78.54(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	26	-10000	3	93	0.28	54%	0.04	59.6	1.44%	0	1.2	76	0

6	Oct_3_2007	75.38	76.03	77.65	78.37			78(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	4	99	0.17	54%	0.04	60.9	1.45%	0	1	68	0
7	Oct_2_2007	75.35	75.82	77.48	78.14			78.92(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	7	106	0.1	55%	0.05	65.7	1.44%	0	1.6	76	0
8	Oct_1_2007	75.31	75.6	77.15	77.76			78.98(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	7	103	0.25	55%	0.04	68.5	1.45%	0	1.9	75	0
9	Sep_28_2007	75.28	75.36	76.59	77.34			78.2(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	4	95	0.11	55%	0.05	71.2	1.45%	0	1.8	79	0
10	Sep_27_2007	75.24	75.09	76.18	77.1			77.76(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	5	95	0.13	55%	0.03	72.1	1.45%	0	1.7	73	0

11	Sep_26_2007	75.22	74.86	75.87	76.84			76.84(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	3	92	0.15	55%	0.03	76.4	1.44%	0	1.4	62	0
12	Sep_25_2007	75.2	74.59	75.61	76.7			77(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	92	0.16	55%	0	72.4	1.44%	0	1.5	64	0
13	Sep_24_2007	75.2	74.39	75.33	76.44			76.92(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	14	86	0.19	55%	0.01	80.9	1.44%	0	1.7	57	0
14	Sep_21_2007	75.19	74.22	74.9	75.68			77(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	10	53	0.17	53%	0.01	83.6	1.45%	0	2	60	0
15	Sep_20_2007	75.18	73.98	74.51	75.11			76.44(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	6	36	0.1	52%	0.01	89.4	1.45%	0	2	64	0

16	Sep_19_2007	75.17	73.76	74.26	74.77			76.15(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	7	30	0.47	52%	0.03	100.6	1.46%	0	2.1	61	0
17	Sep_18_2007	75.15	73.47	74.01	74.37			75.71(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	5	31	0.18	52%	0	80.6	1.46%	0	1.8	66	0
18	Sep_17_2007	75.15	73.21	73.9	74.09			73.12(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	9	-10000	2	31	0.17	48%	-0.03	65.9	1.39%	0	-0.1	50	0
19	Sep_14_2007	75.17	73.1	74.03	73.97			74.12(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	4	32	0.15	50%	-0.01	53.1	1.39%	0	0.7	52	0
20	Sep_13_2007	75.18	72.87	73.91	73.78			74.74(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	2	29	0.11	51%	-0.01	31.5	1.39%	0	1.2	59	0

21	Sep_12_2007	75.19	72.62	73.77	73.67			74.16(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	1	31	0.11	50%	-0.01	11.7	1.4%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Sep_11_2007	75.2	72.48	73.5	73.61			74.3(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-2	33	0.11	50%	0	2.6	1.42%	0	1.1	64	0
23	Sep_10_2007	75.2	72.37	73.39	73.73			72.55(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-7	52	0.1	47%	-0.04	-0.9	1.38%	0	0.1	60	0
24	Sep_7_2007	75.23	72.37	73.52	74.09			73.13(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	22	-10000	1	86	0.15	47%	-0.01	2.7	1.39%	0	0.5	61	0
25	Sep_6_2007	75.24	72.36	73.44	74.04			74.23(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	4	103	0.43	47%		-2.7	1.41%	0	1.2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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