Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 28, 2007

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $78.2000 (0.57%) ($77.3000 - $78.2000) on Fri. Sep. 28, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $78.2000(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.34(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.59(2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.36(3.77%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2007	75.28	75.36	76.59	77.34			78.2(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	4	95	0.11	55%	0.05	71.2	1.45%	0	1.8	79	0
2	Sep_27_2007	75.24	75.09	76.18	77.1			77.76(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	5	95	0.13	55%	0.03	72.1	1.45%	0	1.7	73	0
3	Sep_26_2007	75.22	74.86	75.87	76.84			76.84(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	3	92	0.15	55%	0.03	76.4	1.44%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Sep_25_2007	75.2	74.59	75.61	76.7			77(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	92	0.16	55%	0	72.4	1.44%	0	1.5	64	0
5	Sep_24_2007	75.2	74.39	75.33	76.44			76.92(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	14	86	0.19	55%	0.01	80.9	1.44%	0	1.7	57	0

6	Sep_21_2007	75.19	74.22	74.9	75.68			77(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	10	53	0.17	53%	0.01	83.6	1.45%	0	2	60	0
7	Sep_20_2007	75.18	73.98	74.51	75.11			76.44(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	6	36	0.1	52%	0.01	89.4	1.45%	0	2	64	0
8	Sep_19_2007	75.17	73.76	74.26	74.77			76.15(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	7	30	0.47	52%	0.03	100.6	1.46%	0	2.1	61	0
9	Sep_18_2007	75.15	73.47	74.01	74.37			75.71(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	5	31	0.18	52%	0	80.6	1.46%	0	1.8	66	0
10	Sep_17_2007	75.15	73.21	73.9	74.09			73.12(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	9	-10000	2	31	0.17	48%	-0.03	65.9	1.39%	0	-0.1	50	0

11	Sep_14_2007	75.17	73.1	74.03	73.97			74.12(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	4	32	0.15	50%	-0.01	53.1	1.39%	0	0.7	52	0
12	Sep_13_2007	75.18	72.87	73.91	73.78			74.74(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	2	29	0.11	51%	-0.01	31.5	1.39%	0	1.2	59	0
13	Sep_12_2007	75.19	72.62	73.77	73.67			74.16(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	1	31	0.11	50%	-0.01	11.7	1.4%	0	0.9	57	0
14	Sep_11_2007	75.2	72.48	73.5	73.61			74.3(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-2	33	0.11	50%	0	2.6	1.42%	0	1.1	64	0
15	Sep_10_2007	75.2	72.37	73.39	73.73			72.55(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-7	52	0.1	47%	-0.04	-0.9	1.38%	0	0.1	60	0

16	Sep_7_2007	75.23	72.37	73.52	74.09			73.13(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	22	-10000	1	86	0.15	47%	-0.01	2.7	1.39%	0	0.5	61	0
17	Sep_6_2007	75.24	72.36	73.44	74.04			74.23(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	4	103	0.43	47%	-0.01	-2.7	1.41%	0	1.2	70	0
18	Sep_5_2007	75.25	72.42	73.25	73.85			73.86(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	10	115	0.1	46%	-0.01	-2.1	1.42%	0	0.8	66	0
19	Sep_4_2007	75.26	72.44	72.91	73.34			74.87(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	6	93	0.19	46%	0.03	-8.9	1.42%	0	1.4	61	0
20	Aug_31_2007	75.24	72.39	72.47	73.02			74.36(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	2	73	0.19	46%	0.01	-12.5	1.41%	0	1.1	55	0

21	Aug_30_2007	75.23	72.32	72.09	72.9			72.86(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	3	63	0.08	44%	0	-12.8	1.38%	0	0.3	51	0
22	Aug_29_2007	75.23	72.4	71.73	72.76			73.32(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	37	0.12	44%	0	-13.1	1.38%	0	0.5	49	0
23	Aug_28_2007	75.23	72.45	71.37	72.56			71.29(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	2	-10000	4	-5	0.13	41%	-0.01	-20.8	1.34%	0	-0.6	33	0
24	Aug_27_2007	75.24	72.6	71.38	72.36			73.29(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	12	-28	0.13	43%	-0.03	-30	1.3%	0	0.4	44	0
25	Aug_24_2007	75.26	72.61	71.26	71.79			73.73(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	13	-59	0.19	43%		-50	1.31%	0	0.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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