Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 27, 2007

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $73.2900 (-0.6%) ($73.1500 - $73.6200) on Mon. Aug. 27, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $73.2900(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.36(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.38(2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.6(0.95%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2007	75.24	72.6	71.38	72.36			73.29(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	12	-28	0.13	43%	-0.03	-30	1.3%	0	0.4	44	0
2	Aug_24_2007	75.26	72.61	71.26	71.79			73.73(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	13	-59	0.19	43%	0.01	-50	1.31%	0	0.6	46	0
3	Aug_23_2007	75.25	72.55	71.08	71.17			72.18(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	13	-90	0.21	40%	0	-71.8	1.28%	0	-0.2	46	0
4	Aug_22_2007	75.25	72.64	71.15	70.56			72.3(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	12	-123	0.44	40%	0.01	-83.8	1.28%	0	-0.2	41	0
5	Aug_21_2007	75.24	72.84	71.47	70.04			70.3(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10000	-5	-148	0.25	36%	-0.03	-88.9	1.23%	0	-1.2	34	0

6	Aug_20_2007	75.26	73.16	71.89	70.27			70.45(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-9	-141	0.32	36%	0	-85.2	1.23%	0	-1.2	37	0
7	Aug_17_2007	75.26	73.54	72.28	70.66			70.61(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-10000	-8	-124	0.24	38%	0	-79.9	1.24%	0	-1.2	40	0
8	Aug_16_2007	75.26	73.9	72.57	71.01			69.13(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-19	-116	0.66	35%	-0.01	-76.6	1.21%	0	-1.9	40	0
9	Aug_15_2007	75.27	74.38	73.15	71.83			69.7(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-10000	-29	-88	0.39	35%	-0.01	-73.8	1.21%	0	-2	36	0
10	Aug_14_2007	75.28	74.82	73.68	73.11			71.44(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-15	-49	0.74	37%	0	-62.7	1.18%	0	-1.5	33	0

11	Aug_13_2007	75.28	75.2	73.97	73.75			72.43(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-9	-38	0.14	38%	0.03	-53	1.17%	0	-1.2	35	0
12	Aug_10_2007	75.26	75.52	74.12	74.14			72.35(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-5	-50	0.33	40%	0.01	-47	1.2%	0	-1.4	31	0
13	Aug_9_2007	75.25	75.86	74.19	74.34			73.21(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-7	-74	0.4	40%	0.04	-42.8	1.23%	0	-1.2	34	0
14	Aug_8_2007	75.22	76.18	74.19	74.65			76.12(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-18	-10000	7	-92	0.25	43%	0.09	-36.9	1.13%	0	-0	38	0
15	Aug_7_2007	75.15	76.27	74.3	74.36			74.64(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	2	-121	0.16	40%	0.08	-39.7	1.11%	0	-0.7	32	0

16	Aug_6_2007	75.09	76.4	74.48	74.27			74.36(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	-10000	3	-140	0.16	40%	0.09	-41.5	1.11%	0	-0.9	29	0
17	Aug_3_2007	75.02	76.61	74.84	74.14			73.36(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-35	-10000	4	-151	0.2	40%	0.08	-40.3	1.11%	0	-1.5	24	0
18	Aug_2_2007	74.96	76.85	75.29	73.99			74.75(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-41	-10000	3	-171	0.25	43%	0.11	-40.8	1.09%	0	-1	26	0
19	Aug_1_2007	74.88	77	75.65	73.88			74.71(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-54	-10000	-9	-188	0.29	43%	0.11	-38.5	1.09%	0	-1.1	25	0
20	Jul_31_2007	74.8	77.16	76.01	74.26			74.16(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-12	-176	0.2	43%	0.07	-29.2	1.09%	0	-1.5	32	0

21	Jul_30_2007	74.75	77.33	76.48	74.77			73.7(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10000	-22	-152	0.38	43%	0.08	-19.6	1.09%	0	-2	37	0
22	Jul_27_2007	74.69	77.49	77.01	75.68			72.65(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-49	-10000	-26	-119	0.29	40%	0.07	-3.8	1.08%	0	-3	28	0
23	Jul_26_2007	74.64	77.69	77.71	76.75			74.19(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-34	-10000	-22	-71	0.49	43%	0.08	16.7	1.04%	0	-2.8	34	0
24	Jul_25_2007	74.58	77.79	78.27	77.63			76.59(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.15	47%	0.13	40.7	0.97%	0	-1.1	47	0
25	Jul_24_2007	74.48	77.74	78.45	78.01			76.72(-1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10000	-11	0	0.22	47%		39.1	0.98%	0	-0.8	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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