Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 6, 2007

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $74.3600 (1.36%) ($73.2600 - $74.4700) on Mon. Aug. 6, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $74.3600(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $69.14(-7.02%)
Resistance Level   $76.4
5 Day Moving Average   $74.27(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.48(-0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.4(-2.67%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.89% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2007	75.09	76.4	74.48	74.27			74.36(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	-10000	3	-140	0.16	40%	0.09	-41.5	1.11%	0	-0.9	29	0
2	Aug_3_2007	75.02	76.61	74.84	74.14			73.36(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-35	-10000	4	-151	0.2	40%	0.08	-40.3	1.11%	0	-1.5	24	0
3	Aug_2_2007	74.96	76.85	75.29	73.99			74.75(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-41	-10000	3	-171	0.25	43%	0.11	-40.8	1.09%	0	-1	26	0
4	Aug_1_2007	74.88	77	75.65	73.88			74.71(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-54	-10000	-9	-188	0.29	43%	0.11	-38.5	1.09%	0	-1.1	25	0
5	Jul_31_2007	74.8	77.16	76.01	74.26			74.16(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-12	-176	0.2	43%	0.07	-29.2	1.09%	0	-1.5	32	0

6	Jul_30_2007	74.75	77.33	76.48	74.77			73.7(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10000	-22	-152	0.38	43%	0.08	-19.6	1.09%	0	-2	37	0
7	Jul_27_2007	74.69	77.49	77.01	75.68			72.65(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-49	-10000	-26	-119	0.29	40%	0.07	-3.8	1.08%	0	-3	28	0
8	Jul_26_2007	74.64	77.69	77.71	76.75			74.19(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-34	-10000	-22	-71	0.49	43%	0.08	16.7	1.04%	0	-2.8	34	0
9	Jul_25_2007	74.58	77.79	78.27	77.63			76.59(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.15	47%	0.13	40.7	0.97%	0	-1.1	47	0
10	Jul_24_2007	74.48	77.74	78.45	78.01			76.72(-1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10000	-11	0	0.22	47%	0.15	39.1	0.98%	0	-0.8	46	0

11	Jul_23_2007	74.37	77.69	78.53	78.45			78.27(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-3	24	0.14	51%	0.16	41.9	0.94%	0	0.4	59	0
12	Jul_20_2007	74.25	77.55	78.54	78.56			77.96(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	42	0.14	53%	0.15	38.4	0.95%	0	0.3	63	0
13	Jul_19_2007	74.14	77.48	78.56	78.84			78.61(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-5	73	0.2	53%	0.14	47.8	0.95%	0	0.8	70	0
14	Jul_18_2007	74.04	77.35	78.46	79.02			78.5(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-10000	2	100	0.15	53%	0.15	55	0.95%	0	0.8	70	0
15	Jul_17_2007	73.93	77.27	78.39	78.96			78.9(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	9	122	0.22	53%	0.11	67	0.95%	0	1.2	75	0

16	Jul_16_2007	73.85	77.15	78.22	78.61			78.85(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	3	120	0.15	55%	0.11	69.2	0.95%	0	1.3	73	0
17	Jul_13_2007	73.77	77.03	77.98	78.51			79.32(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	7	127	0.11	55%	0.12	77.6	0.95%	0	1.8	76	0
18	Jul_12_2007	73.68	76.83	77.64	78.24			79.51(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	11	115	0.14	55%	0.12	84.1	0.95%	0	2.3	66	0
19	Jul_11_2007	73.59	76.59	77.24	77.85			78.2(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	3	94	0.12	52%	0.11	79.6	0.94%	0	1.5	64	0
20	Jul_10_2007	73.51	76.37	76.94	77.76			77.15(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	-10000	-0	77	0.18	50%	0.04	58.9	0.93%	0	0.7	50	0

21	Jul_9_2007	73.48	76.26	76.78	77.77			78.35(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	12	76	0.14	53%	0.11	49	0.91%	0	1.8	60	0
22	Jul_6_2007	73.4	76.08	76.48	77.36			78.01(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	13	49	0.13	53%	0.1	33.1	0.91%	0	1.8	59	0
23	Jul_5_2007	73.33	75.87	76.3	76.92			77.52(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	11	35	0.13	53%	0.15	10.3	0.92%	0	1.5	64	0
24	Jul_3_2007	73.22	75.76	76.14	76.54			77.75(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	15	28	0.23	53%	0.11	-2.2	0.92%	0	1.9	69	0
25	Jul_2_2007	73.14	75.69	76.03	76.02			77.2(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	11	27	0.18	53%		-13.5	0.92%	0	1.5	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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