Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 2, 2007

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $74.7500 (0.05%) ($74.0800 - $74.7900) on Thu. Aug. 2, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $74.7500(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $69.69(-6.77%)
Resistance Level   $76.85
5 Day Moving Average   $73.99(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.29(-0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.85(-2.73%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2007	74.96	76.85	75.29	73.99			74.75(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-41	-10000	3	-171	0.25	43%	0.11	-40.8	1.09%	0	-1	26	0
2	Aug_1_2007	74.88	77	75.65	73.88			74.71(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-54	-10000	-9	-188	0.29	43%	0.11	-38.5	1.09%	0	-1.1	25	0
3	Jul_31_2007	74.8	77.16	76.01	74.26			74.16(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-12	-176	0.2	43%	0.07	-29.2	1.09%	0	-1.5	32	0
4	Jul_30_2007	74.75	77.33	76.48	74.77			73.7(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10000	-22	-152	0.38	43%	0.08	-19.6	1.09%	0	-2	37	0
5	Jul_27_2007	74.69	77.49	77.01	75.68			72.65(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-49	-10000	-26	-119	0.29	40%	0.07	-3.8	1.08%	0	-3	28	0

6	Jul_26_2007	74.64	77.69	77.71	76.75			74.19(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-34	-10000	-22	-71	0.49	43%	0.08	16.7	1.04%	0	-2.8	34	0
7	Jul_25_2007	74.58	77.79	78.27	77.63			76.59(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.15	47%	0.13	40.7	0.97%	0	-1.1	47	0
8	Jul_24_2007	74.48	77.74	78.45	78.01			76.72(-1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10000	-11	0	0.22	47%	0.15	39.1	0.98%	0	-0.8	46	0
9	Jul_23_2007	74.37	77.69	78.53	78.45			78.27(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-3	24	0.14	51%	0.16	41.9	0.94%	0	0.4	59	0
10	Jul_20_2007	74.25	77.55	78.54	78.56			77.96(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	42	0.14	53%	0.15	38.4	0.95%	0	0.3	63	0

11	Jul_19_2007	74.14	77.48	78.56	78.84			78.61(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-5	73	0.2	53%	0.14	47.8	0.95%	0	0.8	70	0
12	Jul_18_2007	74.04	77.35	78.46	79.02			78.5(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-10000	2	100	0.15	53%	0.15	55	0.95%	0	0.8	70	0
13	Jul_17_2007	73.93	77.27	78.39	78.96			78.9(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	9	122	0.22	53%	0.11	67	0.95%	0	1.2	75	0
14	Jul_16_2007	73.85	77.15	78.22	78.61			78.85(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	3	120	0.15	55%	0.11	69.2	0.95%	0	1.3	73	0
15	Jul_13_2007	73.77	77.03	77.98	78.51			79.32(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	7	127	0.11	55%	0.12	77.6	0.95%	0	1.8	76	0

16	Jul_12_2007	73.68	76.83	77.64	78.24			79.51(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	11	115	0.14	55%	0.12	84.1	0.95%	0	2.3	66	0
17	Jul_11_2007	73.59	76.59	77.24	77.85			78.2(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	3	94	0.12	52%	0.11	79.6	0.94%	0	1.5	64	0
18	Jul_10_2007	73.51	76.37	76.94	77.76			77.15(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	-10000	-0	77	0.18	50%	0.04	58.9	0.93%	0	0.7	50	0
19	Jul_9_2007	73.48	76.26	76.78	77.77			78.35(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	12	76	0.14	53%	0.11	49	0.91%	0	1.8	60	0
20	Jul_6_2007	73.4	76.08	76.48	77.36			78.01(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	13	49	0.13	53%	0.1	33.1	0.91%	0	1.8	59	0

21	Jul_5_2007	73.33	75.87	76.3	76.92			77.52(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	11	35	0.13	53%	0.15	10.3	0.92%	0	1.5	64	0
22	Jul_3_2007	73.22	75.76	76.14	76.54			77.75(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	15	28	0.23	53%	0.11	-2.2	0.92%	0	1.9	69	0
23	Jul_2_2007	73.14	75.76	76.03	76.02			77.2(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	11	27	0.18	53%	0.11	-13.5	0.92%	0	1.5	73	0
24	Jun_29_2007	73.06	75.69	75.96	75.65			76.33(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	5	21	0.19	53%	0.1	-17.4	0.91%	0	0.6	58	0
25	Jun_28_2007	72.99	75.72	75.98	75.47			75.82(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-4	23	0.19	53%		-15.8	0.91%	0	0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.