Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 31, 2007

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $76.6000 (0.33%) ($76.4000 - $76.7900) on Thu. May. 31, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $76.6000(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.1(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.06(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.82(1.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2007	71.6	75.82	76.06	76.1			76.6(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	2	37	0.18	71%	0.14	40	0.95%	0	1.4	71	0
2	May_30_2007	71.5	75.76	75.96	76.04			76.35(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	3	34	0.2	68%	0.14	37	0.96%	0	1.1	53	0
3	May_29_2007	71.4	75.69	75.87	75.94			75.99(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	1	28	0.21	64%	0.18	32.9	0.97%	0	0.5	52	0
4	May_25_2007	71.27	75.64	75.79	75.92			76.03(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-2	14	0.12	55%	0.11	33.8	1.16%	0	0.7	47	0
5	May_24_2007	71.19	75.61	75.76	75.92			75.53(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	4	-10000	0	14	0.12	55%	0.1	37.8	1.17%	0	-0.1	45	0

6	May_23_2007	71.12	75.59	75.62	76			76.29(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	3	6	0.26	55%	0.07	43.2	1.17%	0	1.3	55	0
7	May_22_2007	71.07	75.55	75.56	75.87			75.88(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	2	3	0.16	55%	0.07	46.6	1.17%	0	0.6	53	0
8	May_21_2007	71.02	75.51	75.53	75.77			75.86(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	3	4	0.28	55%	0.11	43.2	1.17%	0	0.6	56	0
9	May_18_2007	70.94	75.46	75.58	75.64			76.45(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	4	-10000	3	8	0.23	55%	0.13	39.2	1.16%	0	1.8	59	0
10	May_17_2007	70.85	75.4	75.56	75.49			75.51(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	7	11	0.23	54%	0.1	45.2	1.16%	0	0.2	52	0

11	May_16_2007	70.78	75.35	75.55	75.19			75.64(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	-1	-3	0.18	54%	0.13	38.2	1.17%	0	0.5	54	0
12	May_15_2007	70.69	75.3	75.53	75.22			75.4(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-2	0.25	54%	0.07	53.2	1.17%	0	0.2	49	0
13	May_14_2007	70.64	75.26	75.5	75.27			75.22(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.44	56%	0.11	67.9	1.17%	0	-0.1	53	0
14	May_11_2007	70.56	75.24	75.48	75.51			75.67(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	-3	10	0.22	57%	0.1	85.4	1.16%	0	0.6	57	0
15	May_10_2007	70.49	75.15	75.45	75.66			74(-2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-1	-10000	-6	14	0.48	54%	0.06	88	1.14%	0	-1.5	41	0

16	May_9_2007	70.45	75.13	75.58	75.94			75.8(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	2	34	0.15	58%	0.1	93.1	1.11%	0	0.8	63	0
17	May_8_2007	70.38	74.99	75.56	75.87			75.64(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	3	39	0.15	58%	0.09	89.6	1.11%	0	0.7	60	0
18	May_7_2007	70.32	74.87	75.49	75.74			76.44(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	7	38	0.22	58%	0.11	83.6	1.1%	0	1.5	67	0
19	May_4_2007	70.24	74.67	75.33	75.45			76.4(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	5	28	0.32	60%	0.09	87.3	1.09%	0	1.7	67	0
20	May_3_2007	70.18	74.49	75.21	75.23			75.4(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	1	28	0.15	58%	0.1	92.5	1.09%	0	0.9	68	0

21	May_2_2007	70.11	74.33	75.12	75.19			75.48(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	-1	34	0.16	58%	0.09	92.5	1.09%	0	1.1	72	0
22	May_1_2007	70.05	74.16	75.04	75.22			74.99(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	1	49	0.21	58%	0.1	94.8	1.09%	0	0.7	74	0
23	Apr_30_2007	69.98	74	75	75.2			75(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	1	60	0.11	58%	0.09	89.9	1.09%	0	0.8	69	0
24	Apr_27_2007	69.92	73.81	74.97	75.17			75.29(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-1	75	0.12	58%	0.1	81.4	1.08%	0	1.1	75	0
25	Apr_26_2007	69.85	73.59	74.83	75.19			75.19(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	4	85	0.14	58%		78.1	1.09%	0	1.1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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