Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $61.1500 (-1.12%) ($60.8800 - $61.6100) on Thu. Sep. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $61.1500(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $61.77
5 Day Moving Average   $62.17(-1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.08(-1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.77(-1%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2006	59.76	61.77	62.08	62.17			61.15(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-7	9	0.12	61%	0.03	52.1	1.23%	0	-0.9	42	0
2	Sep_6_2006	59.74	61.76	62.14	62.45			61.84(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-3	19	0.14	59%	0.03	61.2	1.22%	0	0.1	46	0
3	Sep_5_2006	59.72	61.68	62.13	62.55			62.72(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	4	28	0.13	58%	0.07	61.8	1.22%	0	1.3	68	0
4	Sep_1_2006	59.68	61.58	62.06	62.41			62.71(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	13	-10000	6	35	0.08	60%	0.08	60.2	1.24%	0	1.4	79	0
5	Aug_31_2006	59.63	61.49	61.99	62.17			62.41(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	38	0.07	60%	0.08	55.6	1.25%	0	1.2	78	0

6	Aug_30_2006	59.58	61.4	61.93	61.99			62.55(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	5	41	0.1	58%	0.08	57.9	1.25%	0	1.6	74	0
7	Aug_29_2006	59.53	61.3	61.88	61.79			62.37(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	3	42	0.1	58%	0.07	61.3	1.26%	0	1.5	69	0
8	Aug_28_2006	59.49	61.19	61.8	61.66			62(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	-0	45	0.06	58%	0.07	67.5	1.27%	0	1.2	70	0
9	Aug_25_2006	59.45	61.11	61.64	61.67			61.51(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-3	43	0.05	60%	0.03	80.2	1.27%	0	0.6	60	0
10	Aug_24_2006	59.43	61.06	61.53	61.78			61.52(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-2	44	0.16	60%	0.05	94.3	1.28%	0	0.6	57	0

11	Aug_23_2006	59.4	60.97	61.44	61.86			61.55(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-3	47	0.11	61%	0.03	99.3	1.29%	0	0.7	60	0
12	Aug_22_2006	59.38	60.86	61.36	61.98			61.71(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	0	54	0.13	59%	0.05	100	1.3%	0	0.9	60	0
13	Aug_21_2006	59.35	60.72	61.22	61.96			62.04(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	9	57	0.21	59%	0.08	107.1	1.33%	0	1.4	69	0
14	Aug_18_2006	59.3	60.57	61.08	61.61			62.1(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	10	46	0.1	59%	0.05	98.3	1.33%	0	1.5	65	0
15	Aug_17_2006	59.27	60.36	60.94	61.22			61.92(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	7	31	0.15	54%	0.08	86.8	1.33%	0	1.4	62	0

16	Aug_16_2006	59.22	60.17	60.81	60.94			62.14(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	7	27	0.34	54%	0.08	80.9	1.41%	0	1.8	72	0
17	Aug_15_2006	59.17	59.97	60.65	60.66			61.6(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	6	25	0.11	52%	0.07	64.4	1.41%	0	1.3	71	0
18	Aug_14_2006	59.13	59.73	60.5	60.39			60.27(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-2	19	0.09	50%	0.03	43	1.4%	0	0.4	67	0
19	Aug_11_2006	59.11	59.56	60.52	60.47			60.19(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-3	32	0.08	48%	0.05	33.5	1.41%	0	0.5	66	0
20	Aug_10_2006	59.08	59.42	60.56	60.61			60.5(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	0.07	48%	0.03	28.9	1.41%	0	0.8	76	0

21	Aug_9_2006	59.06	59.29	60.47	60.61			60.72(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-10000	0	70	0.08	48%	0.05	23.3	1.41%	0	1	79	0
22	Aug_8_2006	59.03	59.19	60.34	60.64			60.27(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	1	79	0.08	48%	0.03	23.5	1.41%	0	0.8	71	0
23	Aug_7_2006	59.01	59.16	60.21	60.61			60.66(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	1	96	0.04	48%	0.05	21.9	1.41%	0	1.1	84	0
24	Aug_4_2006	58.98	59.1	60.05	60.57			60.89(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	1	110	0.1	51%	0.03	21.8	1.43%	0	1.4	84	0
25	Aug_3_2006	58.96	59.02	59.76	60.51			60.65(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	5	116	0.32	50%		23.6	1.43%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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