Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $59.1500 (1.27%) ($58.7400 - $59.1900) on Tue. Apr. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $59.1500(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.33(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.04(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.64(2.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2006	55.02	57.64	58.04	58.33			59.15(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	19	36	0.12	74%	0.15	55.1	0.69%	0	1.6	61	0
2	Apr_3_2006	54.94	57.47	57.89	57.94			58.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	8	3	0.11	77%	0.13	45.6	0.69%	0	1	59	0
3	Mar_31_2006	54.87	57.37	57.86	57.77			57.99(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	-10000	-0	5	0.04	76%	0.13	42.1	0.81%	0	0.7	62	0
4	Mar_30_2006	54.8	57.29	57.88	57.78			58.35(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	6	31	0.09	76%	0.13	44.7	0.81%	0	1.2	69	0
5	Mar_29_2006	54.73	57.19	57.88	57.63			57.75(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-4	46	0.05	75%	0.11	42	0.8%	0	0.6	70	0

6	Mar_28_2006	54.67	57.12	57.85	57.72			57.2(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-4	79	0.1	73%	0.11	42.9	0.8%	0	0.1	68	0
7	Mar_27_2006	54.61	57.05	57.89	57.82			57.57(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-6	111	0.12	61%	0.13	44.8	0.79%	0	0.6	72	0
8	Mar_24_2006	54.54	56.99	57.82	57.95			58.02(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	28	-10000	-2	116	0.12	61%	0.11	50.3	0.88%	0	1.1	66	0
9	Mar_23_2006	54.48	56.89	57.66	58			57.59(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	-10000	-4	119	0.31	61%	0.11	56.8	0.88%	0	0.8	61	0
10	Mar_22_2006	54.42	56.82	57.48	58.11			58.2(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	4	127	0.03	65%	0.13	66.3	0.87%	0	1.5	69	0

11	Mar_21_2006	54.35	56.72	57.24	58.02			57.72(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	2	116	0.13	65%	0.11	71.7	0.87%	0	1.2	67	0
12	Mar_20_2006	54.29	56.63	57.04	57.96			58.24(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	12	119	0.09	69%	0.15	76	0.86%	0	1.9	78	0
13	Mar_17_2006	54.21	56.51	56.84	57.66			58.25(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	16	103	0.06	69%	0.15	76.1	0.86%	0	2.2	69	0
14	Mar_16_2006	54.13	56.37	56.65	57.26			58.14(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	-10000	20	82	0.05	69%	0.15	72.7	0.87%	0	2.6	69	0
15	Mar_15_2006	54.05	56.22	56.46	56.76			57.73(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	-10000	17	51	0.06	65%	0.13	64.1	0.86%	0	2.6	65	0

16	Mar_14_2006	53.98	56.11	56.3	56.35			57.43(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	15	20	0.02	65%	0.13	61.6	0.87%	0	2.8	60	0
17	Mar_13_2006	53.91	55.99	56.12	55.99			56.73(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.03	63%	0.15	50.7	0.86%	0	1.8	59	0
18	Mar_10_2006	53.83	55.92	56.06	55.91			56.25(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-6	-10000	-3	-16	0.09	65%	0.13	48.6	0.86%	0	0.8	55	0
19	Mar_9_2006	53.76	55.88	56.05	55.97			55.68(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-5	-8	0.04	63%	0.09	49.3	0.86%	0	-0.5	53	0
20	Mar_8_2006	53.71	55.86	56.1	56.1			55.65(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-5	12	0.09	63%	0.11	46.8	0.86%	0	-0.5	58	0

21	Mar_7_2006	53.65	55.81	56.18	56.22			55.63(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-10000	-1	32	0.11	59%	0.09	36.3	0.86%	0	-0.4	54	0
22	Mar_6_2006	53.6	55.79	56.22	56.25			56.35(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	1	46	0.11	64%	0.09	30.9	0.85%	0	1	68	0
23	Mar_3_2006	53.55	55.73	56.18	56.22			56.52(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	3	52	0.08	64%	0.11	28.4	0.85%	0	1.5	67	0
24	Mar_2_2006	53.49	55.68	56.09	56.14			56.35(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	50	0.08	64%	0.09	26.7	0.85%	0	1.3	65	0
25	Mar_1_2006	53.44	55.65	55.99	56.11			56.26(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-1	49	0.1	68%		36	0.86%	0	1.3	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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