Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $58.2500 (0.19%) ($58.0100 - $58.3200) on Fri. Mar. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $58.2500(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.66(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.84(2.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.51(3.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2006	54.21	56.51	56.84	57.66			58.25(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	16	103	0.06	69%	0.15	76.1	0.86%	0	2.2	69	0
2	Mar_16_2006	54.13	56.37	56.65	57.26			58.14(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	-10000	20	82	0.05	69%	0.15	72.7	0.87%	0	2.6	69	0
3	Mar_15_2006	54.05	56.22	56.46	56.76			57.73(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	-10000	17	51	0.06	65%	0.13	64.1	0.86%	0	2.6	65	0
4	Mar_14_2006	53.98	56.11	56.3	56.35			57.43(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	15	20	0.02	65%	0.13	61.6	0.87%	0	2.8	60	0
5	Mar_13_2006	53.91	55.99	56.12	55.99			56.73(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.03	63%	0.15	50.7	0.86%	0	1.8	59	0

6	Mar_10_2006	53.83	55.92	56.06	55.91			56.25(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-6	-10000	-3	-16	0.09	65%	0.13	48.6	0.86%	0	0.8	55	0
7	Mar_9_2006	53.76	55.88	56.05	55.97			55.68(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-5	-8	0.04	63%	0.09	49.3	0.86%	0	-0.5	53	0
8	Mar_8_2006	53.71	55.86	56.1	56.1			55.65(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-5	12	0.09	63%	0.11	46.8	0.86%	0	-0.5	58	0
9	Mar_7_2006	53.65	55.81	56.18	56.22			55.63(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-10000	-1	32	0.11	59%	0.09	36.3	0.86%	0	-0.4	54	0
10	Mar_6_2006	53.6	55.79	56.22	56.25			56.35(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	1	46	0.11	64%	0.09	30.9	0.85%	0	1	68	0

11	Mar_3_2006	53.55	55.73	56.18	56.22			56.52(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	3	52	0.08	64%	0.11	28.4	0.85%	0	1.5	67	0
12	Mar_2_2006	53.49	55.68	56.09	56.14			56.35(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	50	0.08	64%	0.09	26.7	0.85%	0	1.3	65	0
13	Mar_1_2006	53.44	55.65	55.99	56.11			56.26(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-1	49	0.1	68%	0.11	36	0.86%	0	1.3	67	0
14	Feb_28_2006	53.38	55.63	55.91	56.14			55.75(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10000	-2	61	0.12	66%	0.07	51.8	0.87%	0	0.3	69	0
15	Feb_27_2006	53.34	55.62	55.86	56.18			56.22(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	3	70	0.07	66%	0.08	63.9	0.86%	0	1.3	66	0

16	Feb_24_2006	53.3	55.58	55.77	56.12			56.13(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	4	68	0.12	63%	0.09	79.7	0.87%	0	1.3	64	0
17	Feb_23_2006	53.25	55.54	55.7	56.02			56.2(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	8	63	0.05	63%	0.08	90.8	0.87%	0	1.6	56	0
18	Feb_22_2006	53.21	55.48	55.59	55.83			56.38(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	7	41	0.13	64%	0.09	89.2	0.87%	0	2.2	53	0
19	Feb_21_2006	53.16	55.39	55.41	55.66			55.99(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	7	15	0.14	64%	0.08	84.3	0.87%	0	1.5	48	0
20	Feb_17_2006	53.12	55.33	55.32	55.5			55.88(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	5	-3	0.04	67%	0.06	54.4	0.87%	0	1.1	53	0

21	Feb_16_2006	53.09	55.23	55.24	55.39			55.64(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	2	-15	0.14	67%	0.08	38.3	0.88%	0	0.8	52	0
22	Feb_15_2006	53.05	55.16	55.22	55.34			55.28(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	2	-18	0.09	67%	0.06	25.5	0.88%	0	0.2	48	0
23	Feb_14_2006	53.02	55.11	55.28	55.3			55.51(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	8	-8	0.1	67%	0.06	20	0.88%	0	0.7	58	0
24	Feb_13_2006	52.99	55.07	55.31	55.12			55.17(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-9	0.05	67%	0.08	4.9	0.88%	0	0.2	59	0
25	Feb_10_2006	52.95	55.06	55.35	55.1			55.33(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	2	0	0.11	67%		1	0.88%	0	0.5	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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