Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $53.2000 (0.62%) ($53.1100 - $53.7000) on Thu. Dec. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $53.2000(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.11(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.68(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.23(1.86%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2005	51.7	52.23	52.68	53.11			53.2(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	85	0.03	52%	0.06	58.5	0.73%	0	1.4	69	0
2	Dec_7_2005	51.67	52.14	52.6	53.01			52.87(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	12	103	0.05	52%	0.06	52.8	0.73%	0	1.1	73	0
3	Dec_6_2005	51.64	52.06	52.56	52.79			53.37(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	13	107	0.06	56%	0.08	44.8	0.72%	0	2	75	0
4	Dec_5_2005	51.6	51.97	52.42	52.55			53.12(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	10	92	0.02	56%	0.06	41.1	0.73%	0	2	67	0
5	Dec_2_2005	51.57	51.88	52.29	52.36			53(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	9	78	0.04	56%	0.04	41	0.74%	0	2.2	63	0

6	Dec_1_2005	51.55	51.83	52.15	52.18			52.69(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	1	63	0.02	58%	0.06	54	0.74%	0	1.9	63	0
7	Nov_30_2005	51.52	51.79	51.98	52.16			51.79(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-6	50	0.02	59%	0.02	73.4	0.77%	0	0	56	0
8	Nov_29_2005	51.51	51.77	51.93	52.28			52.15(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	1	62	0.17	59%	0.06	87.7	0.76%	0	0.9	61	0
9	Nov_28_2005	51.48	51.73	51.87	52.26			52.19(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	3	61	0.04	59%	0.06	96.3	0.76%	0	1.1	59	0
10	Nov_25_2005	51.45	51.67	51.81	52.19			52.1(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	5	60	0.01	59%	0.12	100	0.77%	0	1	60	0

11	Nov_23_2005	51.39	51.59	51.75	52.09			52.55(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	16	49	0.06	61%	0.08	87.1	0.76%	0	1.8	52	0
12	Nov_22_2005	51.35	51.49	51.63	51.77			52.43(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	13	13	0.02	61%	0.02	76.3	0.76%	0	1.9	53	0
13	Nov_21_2005	51.34	51.41	51.52	51.52			52.02(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	5	-11	0.04	60%	0.06	68.8	0.76%	0	1.3	58	0
14	Nov_18_2005	51.31	51.33	51.47	51.42			51.85(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	2	-18	0.02	60%	0.06	51.4	0.76%	0	0.9	57	0
15	Nov_17_2005	51.28	51.23	51.43	51.39			51.62(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.09	57%	0.04	33.1	0.76%	0	0.6	60	0

16	Nov_16_2005	51.26	51.14	51.47	51.36			50.95(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-5	5	0.16	55%	0.04	25.2	0.76%	0	-0.3	60	0
17	Nov_15_2005	51.24	51.12	51.58	51.46			51.16(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-3	33	0.06	55%	0.04	24.8	0.76%	0	0.1	59	0
18	Nov_14_2005	51.22	51.08	51.61	51.51			51.53(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-1	50	0.13	55%	0.06	19.5	0.75%	0	0.7	64	0
19	Nov_11_2005	51.19	51.04	51.6	51.52			51.69(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	3	64	0.1	56%	0.06	15.3	0.75%	0	1	68	0
20	Nov_10_2005	51.16	51.02	51.52	51.47			51.49(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-7	72	0.02	56%	0.04	9.3	0.76%	0	0.7	74	0

21	Nov_9_2005	51.14	50.97	51.43	51.61			51.43(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-6	99	0.03	57%	0.04	7	0.76%	0	0.7	75	0
22	Nov_8_2005	51.12	50.95	51.36	51.73			51.43(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	1	117	0.06	57%	0.04	6.3	0.77%	0	0.7	60	0
23	Nov_7_2005	51.1	50.95	51.29	51.72			51.58(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	3	125	0.02	57%	0.04	0	0.77%	0	1	63	0
24	Nov_4_2005	51.08	50.94	51.19	51.67			51.42(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-10000	5	120	0.03	56%	0.04	-6.1	0.77%	0	0.7	54	0
25	Nov_3_2005	51.06	50.95	51.03	51.56			52.2(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	18	99	0.13	60%		-13.9	0.75%	0	1.8	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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