Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $52.0200 (0.33%) ($51.8000 - $52.1300) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $52.0200(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.52(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.52(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.41(1.19%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2005	51.34	51.41	51.52	51.52			52.02(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	5	-11	0.04	60%	0.06	68.8	0.76%	0	1.3	58	0
2	Nov_18_2005	51.31	51.33	51.47	51.42			51.85(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	2	-18	0.02	60%	0.06	51.4	0.76%	0	0.9	57	0
3	Nov_17_2005	51.28	51.23	51.43	51.39			51.62(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.09	57%	0.04	33.1	0.76%	0	0.6	60	0
4	Nov_16_2005	51.26	51.14	51.47	51.36			50.95(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-5	5	0.16	55%	0.04	25.2	0.76%	0	-0.3	60	0
5	Nov_15_2005	51.24	51.12	51.58	51.46			51.16(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-3	33	0.06	55%	0.04	24.8	0.76%	0	0.1	59	0

6	Nov_14_2005	51.22	51.08	51.61	51.51			51.53(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-1	50	0.13	55%	0.06	19.5	0.75%	0	0.7	64	0
7	Nov_11_2005	51.19	51.04	51.6	51.52			51.69(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	3	64	0.1	56%	0.06	15.3	0.75%	0	1	68	0
8	Nov_10_2005	51.16	51.02	51.52	51.47			51.49(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-7	72	0.02	56%	0.04	9.3	0.76%	0	0.7	74	0
9	Nov_9_2005	51.14	50.97	51.43	51.61			51.43(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-6	99	0.03	57%	0.04	7	0.76%	0	0.7	75	0
10	Nov_8_2005	51.12	50.95	51.36	51.73			51.43(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	1	117	0.06	57%	0.04	6.3	0.77%	0	0.7	60	0

11	Nov_7_2005	51.1	50.95	51.29	51.72			51.58(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	3	125	0.02	57%	0.04	0	0.77%	0	1	63	0
12	Nov_4_2005	51.08	50.94	51.19	51.67			51.42(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-10000	5	120	0.03	56%	0.04	-6.1	0.77%	0	0.7	54	0
13	Nov_3_2005	51.06	50.95	51.03	51.56			52.2(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	18	99	0.13	60%	0.08	-13.9	0.75%	0	1.8	56	0
14	Nov_2_2005	51.02	50.93	50.78	51.22			52.01(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	14	54	0.04	60%	0.06	-34.8	0.76%	0	1.6	60	0
15	Nov_1_2005	50.99	50.91	50.61	50.95			51.38(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	7	20	0.07	60%	0.06	-49.3	0.75%	0	0.7	52	0

16	Oct_31_2005	50.96	50.94	50.49	50.81			51.34(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	8	-8	0.02	60%	0.04	-51	0.76%	0	0.5	47	0
17	Oct_28_2005	50.94	50.98	50.43	50.65			50.88(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	12	-31	0.01	58%	0.04	-52.3	0.77%	0	-0.1	41	0
18	Oct_27_2005	50.92	51.05	50.46	50.42			50.48(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	9	-59	0.37	58%	0.04	-51.7	0.78%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Oct_26_2005	50.9	51.16	50.47	50.25			50.65(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	2	-95	0.05	58%	0.02	-51.7	0.78%	0	-0.6	36	0
20	Oct_25_2005	50.89	51.25	50.5	50.21			50.68(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	4	-111	0.07	58%	0.04	-50	0.78%	0	-0.6	37	0

21	Oct_24_2005	50.87	51.32	50.56	50.13			50.56(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-36	-10000	-3	-134	0.05	58%	0.04	-54.2	0.78%	0	-0.8	33	0
22	Oct_21_2005	50.85	51.4	50.66	50.19			49.75(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-10000	-16	-148	0.04	55%	0.02	-55.5	0.76%	0	-1.9	22	0
23	Oct_20_2005	50.84	51.51	50.87	50.5			49.61(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-40	-10000	-10	-130	0.04	55%	0.02	-57.3	0.76%	0	-2.3	19	0
24	Oct_19_2005	50.83	51.63	51.11	50.7			50.45(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-6	-130	0.07	59%	0.06	-63.6	0.74%	0	-1.7	20	0
25	Oct_18_2005	50.8	51.71	51.25	50.81			50.27(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-10000	-12	-133	0.13	59%		-67.2	0.74%	0	-2.3	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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