Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 7, 2005

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $51.5800 (0.31%) ($51.3500 - $51.8000) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $51.5800(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.72(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.29(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.94(1.26%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2005	51.1		51.29	51.72			51.58(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	3	125	0.02	57%	0.04	0	0.77%	0	1	63	0
2	Nov_4_2005	51.08	50.94	51.19	51.67			51.42(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-10000	5	120	0.03	56%	0.04	-6.1	0.77%	0	0.7	54	0
3	Nov_3_2005	51.06	50.95	51.03	51.56			52.2(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	18	99	0.13	60%	0.08	-13.9	0.75%	0	1.8	56	0
4	Nov_2_2005	51.02	50.93	50.78	51.22			52.01(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	14	54	0.04	60%	0.06	-34.8	0.76%	0	1.6	60	0
5	Nov_1_2005	50.99	50.91	50.61	50.95			51.38(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	7	20	0.07	60%	0.06	-49.3	0.75%	0	0.7	52	0

6	Oct_31_2005	50.96	50.94	50.49	50.81			51.34(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	8	-8	0.02	60%	0.04	-51	0.76%	0	0.5	47	0
7	Oct_28_2005	50.94	50.98	50.43	50.65			50.88(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	12	-31	0.01	58%	0.04	-52.3	0.77%	0	-0.1	41	0
8	Oct_27_2005	50.92	51.05	50.46	50.42			50.48(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	9	-59	0.37	58%	0.04	-51.7	0.78%	0	-0.6	36	0
9	Oct_26_2005	50.9	51.16	50.47	50.25			50.65(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	2	-95	0.05	58%	0.02	-51.7	0.78%	0	-0.6	36	0
10	Oct_25_2005	50.89	51.25	50.5	50.21			50.68(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	4	-111	0.07	58%	0.04	-50	0.78%	0	-0.6	37	0

11	Oct_24_2005	50.87	51.32	50.56	50.13			50.56(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-36	-10000	-3	-134	0.05	58%	0.04	-54.2	0.78%	0	-0.8	33	0
12	Oct_21_2005	50.85	51.4	50.66	50.19			49.75(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-10000	-16	-148	0.04	55%	0.02	-55.5	0.76%	0	-1.9	22	0
13	Oct_20_2005	50.84	51.51	50.87	50.5			49.61(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-40	-10000	-10	-130	0.04	55%	0.02	-57.3	0.76%	0	-2.3	19	0
14	Oct_19_2005	50.83	51.63	51.11	50.7			50.45(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-6	-130	0.07	59%	0.06	-63.6	0.74%	0	-1.7	20	0
15	Oct_18_2005	50.8	51.71	51.25	50.81			50.27(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-10000	-12	-133	0.13	59%	-0.02	-67.2	0.74%	0	-2.3	26	0

16	Oct_17_2005	50.81	51.82	51.45	51.04			50.88(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-8	-114	0.02	62%	0.04	-67.9	0.73%	0	-1.7	38	0
17	Oct_14_2005	50.79	51.9	51.59	51.2			51.29(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-6	-98	0.02	64%	0.04	-63.2	0.73%	0	-1.1	41	0
18	Oct_13_2005	50.77	51.98	51.7	51.32			50.63(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-32	-10000	-14	-87	0.05	62%	0.04	-64.7	0.71%	0	-2.5	37	0
19	Oct_12_2005	50.75	52.07	51.92	51.58			51(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-10000	-9	-48	0.02	66%	0.06	-69.9	0.71%	0	-2.5	39	0
20	Oct_11_2005	50.72	52.14	52.08	51.75			51.42(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-8	-25	0.01	69%	0.04	-81.2	0.74%	0	-2	42	0

21	Oct_10_2005	50.7	52.19	52.15	51.9			51.68(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-6	-14	0.04	69%	0.06	-83.6	0.74%	0	-1.5	42	0
22	Oct_7_2005	50.67	52.25	52.19	52.02			51.85(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-6	-8	0.02	70%	0.06	-64.9	0.75%	0	-1	41	0
23	Oct_6_2005	50.64	52.32	52.19	52.14			51.93(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0.04	70%	0.06	-47.4	0.75%	0	-1	34	0
24	Oct_5_2005	50.61	52.37	52.2	52.33			51.87(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-6	-3	0.02	70%	0.08	-22	0.75%	0	-1.2	45	0
25	Oct_4_2005	50.57	52.43	52.22	52.45			52.18(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	2	-10000	1	4	0.05	70%		11.6	0.75%	0	-0.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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