Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 30, 2005

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $52.4300 (-0.87%) ($52.3500 - $52.7100) on Fri. Sep. 30, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $52.4300(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $52.51
5 Day Moving Average   $52.38(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.23(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.51(-0.15%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2005	50.48	52.51	52.23	52.38			52.43(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-10000	7	-7	0.07	70%	0.08	50	0.75%	0	-0.2	44	0
2	Sep_29_2005	50.44	52.52	52.27	52.25			52.89(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	10	-24	0.23	73%	0.1	56.8	0.74%	0	0.8	40	0
3	Sep_28_2005	50.39	52.46	52.21	52.06			52.46(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	5	-52	0.04	72%	0.08	50.5	0.74%	0	0	43	0
4	Sep_27_2005	50.35	52.38	52.19	51.97			52.06(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10000	-2	-75	0.01	71%	0.06	29.7	0.74%	0	-0.5	35	0
5	Sep_26_2005	50.32	52.33	52.22	52			52.06(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-87	0.02	71%	0.06	23.1	0.74%	0	-0.4	34	0

6	Sep_23_2005	50.29	52.28	52.3	52.06			51.79(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-12	-85	0.06	67%	0.06	20.4	0.74%	0	-0.6	40	0
7	Sep_22_2005	50.26	52.26	52.45	52.29			51.93(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0.04	67%	0.06	26.8	0.76%	0	-0.4	44	0
8	Sep_21_2005	50.23	52.22	52.55	52.37			51.99(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-3	-30	0.02	67%	0.06	26.7	0.76%	0	-0.3	55	0
9	Sep_20_2005	50.2	52.2	52.67	52.44			52.21(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	10	0.03	67%	0.08	24.2	0.75%	0	0	66	0
10	Sep_19_2005	50.16	52.17	52.78	52.48			52.4(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-4	45	0.03	67%	0.1	21.2	0.76%	0	0.3	67	0

11	Sep_16_2005	50.11	52.12	52.82	52.56			52.92(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	17	-10000	-4	79	0.09	72%	0.1	17.8	0.77%	0	0.9	72	0
12	Sep_15_2005	50.06	52.04	52.79	52.65			52.34(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-6	109	0.02	70%	0.08	15	0.76%	0	0.3	64	0
13	Sep_14_2005	50.02	52	52.74	52.77			52.34(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-10000	-8	128	0.03	70%	0.08	15	0.77%	0	0.4	64	0
14	Sep_13_2005	49.98	52	52.61	52.94			52.38(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	27	-10000	-9	136	0.03	70%	0.06	22.8	0.77%	0	0.4	60	0
15	Sep_12_2005	49.95	51.99	52.47	53.12			52.82(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	38	-10000	1	150	0.02	73%	0.08	33.7	0.76%	0	0.9	61	0

16	Sep_9_2005	49.91	51.97	52.28	53.1			53.39(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	8	150	0.03	77%	0.1	40	0.75%	0	1.7	70	0
17	Sep_8_2005	49.86	51.91	52.05	52.94			52.92(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	12	140	0.03	76%	0.08	44.2	0.74%	0	1.2	68	0
18	Sep_7_2005	49.82	51.87	51.87	52.71			53.18(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	-10000	26	122	0.05	76%	0.08	40	0.74%	0	1.7	67	0
19	Sep_6_2005	49.78	51.8	51.68	52.21			53.29(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	37	-10000	26	69	0.01	76%	0.12	28.1	0.74%	0	2.1	57	0
20	Sep_2_2005	49.72	51.7	51.49	51.72			52.74(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	18	-10000	20	12	0.02	72%	0.08	14.2	0.74%	0	1.7	49	0

21	Sep_1_2005	49.68	51.62	51.34	51.34			52.59(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	1	-10000	15	-40	0.01	72%	0.06	5.4	0.74%	0	1.7	47	0
22	Aug_31_2005	49.65	51.62	51.2	51.05			51.75(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-18	-10000	7	-91	0.02	65%	0.04	-6.7	0.72%	0	0.4	36	0
23	Aug_30_2005	49.63	51.56	51.16	50.92			50.7(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0.03	61%	0	-2.9	0.7%	0	-1.6	28	0
24	Aug_29_2005	49.63	51.6	51.31	51.06			50.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-34	-10000	-9	-108	0.02	61%	0.02	14.6	0.7%	0	-1.5	36	0
25	Aug_26_2005	49.62	51.61	51.47	51.22			50.83(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-6	-78	0.07	61%		29.1	0.71%	0	-1.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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