Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 9, 2005

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $53.3900 (0.89%) ($53.0900 - $53.4000) on Fri. Sep. 9, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $53.3900(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.1(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.28(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.97(2.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2005	49.91	51.97	52.28	53.1			53.39(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	8	150	0.03	77%	0.1	40	0.75%	0	1.7	70	0
2	Sep_8_2005	49.86	51.91	52.05	52.94			52.92(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	12	140	0.03	76%	0.08	44.2	0.74%	0	1.2	68	0
3	Sep_7_2005	49.82	51.87	51.87	52.71			53.18(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	-10000	26	122	0.05	76%	0.08	40	0.74%	0	1.7	67	0
4	Sep_6_2005	49.78	51.8	51.68	52.21			53.29(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	37	-10000	26	69	0.01	76%	0.12	28.1	0.74%	0	2.1	57	0
5	Sep_2_2005	49.72	51.7	51.49	51.72			52.74(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	18	-10000	20	12	0.02	72%	0.08	14.2	0.74%	0	1.7	49	0

6	Sep_1_2005	49.68	51.62	51.34	51.34			52.59(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	1	-10000	15	-40	0.01	72%	0.06	5.4	0.74%	0	1.7	47	0
7	Aug_31_2005	49.65	51.62	51.2	51.05			51.75(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-18	-10000	7	-91	0.02	65%	0.04	-6.7	0.72%	0	0.4	36	0
8	Aug_30_2005	49.63	51.56	51.16	50.92			50.7(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0.03	61%	0	-2.9	0.7%	0	-1.6	28	0
9	Aug_29_2005	49.63	51.6	51.31	51.06			50.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-34	-10000	-9	-108	0.02	61%	0.02	14.6	0.7%	0	-1.5	36	0
10	Aug_26_2005	49.62	51.61	51.47	51.22			50.83(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-6	-78	0.07	61%	0.04	29.1	0.71%	0	-1.4	44	0

11	Aug_25_2005	49.6	51.6	51.64	51.33			51.15(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.04	61%	0.02	36.7	0.7%	0	-0.8	49	0
12	Aug_24_2005	49.59	51.59	51.78	51.36			51.09(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-5	-33	0.03	61%	0.04	40.5	0.7%	0	-0.8	49	0
13	Aug_23_2005	49.57	51.57	51.89	51.44			51.4(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-22	0.02	63%	0.06	40.8	0.7%	0	-0.3	46	0
14	Aug_22_2005	49.54	51.52	51.94	51.6			51.64(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-10000	-9	1	0.04	63%	0.04	44.4	0.7%	0	0.2	56	0
15	Aug_19_2005	49.52	51.45	51.93	51.77			51.35(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-13	22	0.02	63%	0.04	50.7	0.7%	0	-0.1	58	0

16	Aug_18_2005	49.5	51.39	51.95	52			51.31(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-14	60	0.01	66%	0.04	58.3	0.7%	0	-0.1	65	0
17	Aug_17_2005	49.48	51.35	51.97	52.26			51.51(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	19	-10000	-6	92	0.02	66%	0.06	67.3	0.72%	0	0.2	57	0
18	Aug_16_2005	49.45	51.3	52	52.38			52.19(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	3	131	0.01	70%	0.06	71.4	0.7%	0	1	68	0
19	Aug_15_2005	49.42	51.19	51.92	52.32			52.5(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	46	-10000	11	151	0.02	70%	0.06	66.1	0.7%	0	1.5	75	0
20	Aug_12_2005	49.39	51.05	51.76	52.11			52.5(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	12	148	0.01	66%	0.06	63.5	0.7%	0	1.7	75	0

21	Aug_11_2005	49.36	50.93	51.55	51.89			52.58(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	-10000	13	130	0.02	66%	0.08	65	0.72%	0	2.1	76	0
22	Aug_10_2005	49.32	50.8	51.38	51.64			52.15(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	4	117	0.04	59%	0.06	73.6	0.71%	0	1.9	67	0
23	Aug_9_2005	49.29	50.69	51.22	51.57			51.87(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	6	110	0.05	61%	0.04	87.3	0.75%	0	1.8	66	0
24	Aug_8_2005	49.27	50.61	51.04	51.46			51.45(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	5	102	0.01	59%	0.02	97.6	0.75%	0	1.4	66	0
25	Aug_5_2005	49.26	50.52	50.91	51.36			51.38(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	11	103	0.05	59%		93.8	0.76%	0	1.3	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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