Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 12, 2005

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $52.5000 (-0.15%) ($52.5000 - $52.7000) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $52.5000(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.11(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.76(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.05(2.84%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2005	49.39	51.05	51.76	52.11			52.5(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	12	148	0.01	66%	0.06	63.5	0.7%	0	1.7	75	0
2	Aug_11_2005	49.36	50.93	51.55	51.89			52.58(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	-10000	13	130	0.02	66%	0.08	65	0.72%	0	2.1	76	0
3	Aug_10_2005	49.32	50.8	51.38	51.64			52.15(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	4	117	0.04	59%	0.06	73.6	0.71%	0	1.9	67	0
4	Aug_9_2005	49.29	50.69	51.22	51.57			51.87(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	6	110	0.05	61%	0.04	87.3	0.75%	0	1.8	66	0
5	Aug_8_2005	49.27	50.61	51.04	51.46			51.45(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	5	102	0.01	59%	0.02	97.6	0.75%	0	1.4	66	0

6	Aug_5_2005	49.26	50.52	50.91	51.36			51.38(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	11	103	0.05	59%	0.02	93.8	0.76%	0	1.3	69	0
7	Aug_4_2005	49.25	50.41	50.79	51.15			51.36(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	4	84	0.02	62%	0.02	80.1	0.76%	0	1.3	63	0
8	Aug_3_2005	49.24	50.28	50.69	51.08			51.79(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	13	87	0.02	64%	0.02	74.8	0.77%	0	2.1	66	0
9	Aug_2_2005	49.23	50.14	50.54	50.82			51.3(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	12	71	0.02	63%	0	67.6	0.77%	0	1.7	64	0
10	Aug_1_2005	49.23	50.01	50.41	50.58			50.96(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	9	44	0.04	63%	0	61.7	0.77%	0	1.5	54	0

11	Jul_29_2005	49.23	49.91	50.28	50.41			50.32(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	3	30	0.04	62%	0	55.6	0.76%	0	0.7	60	0
12	Jul_28_2005	49.23	49.85	50.26	50.36			51.01(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	6	41	0.01	62%	0.04	53.8	0.74%	0	1.8	71	0
13	Jul_27_2005	49.21	49.75	50.17	50.25			50.52(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	2	51	0.01	60%	0.02	49.6	0.76%	0	1.3	72	0
14	Jul_26_2005	49.2	49.68	50.12	50.25			50.08(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	0	64	0.01	55%	0.02	47.1	0.76%	0	0.7	64	0
15	Jul_25_2005	49.19	49.62	50.15	50.22			50.1(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	5	90	0.02	57%	0.02	43	0.77%	0	0.8	66	0

16	Jul_22_2005	49.18	49.57	50.1	50.22			50.1(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	0	89	0.01	55%	0.02	33.9	0.78%	0	0.9	63	0
17	Jul_21_2005	49.17	49.5	50.02	50.13			50.47(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	4	95	0.04	58%	0.02	31.7	0.78%	0	1.6	68	0
18	Jul_20_2005	49.16	49.45	49.85	50.06			50.36(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	3	84	0.02	54%	0.04	35.7	0.8%	0	1.6	64	0
19	Jul_19_2005	49.14	49.4	49.71	50			50.07(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-4	74	0.01	56%	0.02	44.8	0.82%	0	1.3	62	0
20	Jul_18_2005	49.13	49.36	49.59	50.08			49.67(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	22	-10000	1	83	0.01	56%	0	58.4	0.82%	0	0.6	61	0

21	Jul_15_2005	49.13	49.37	49.53	50.05			50.07(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	8	86	0.02	55%	0.02	66.3	0.81%	0	1.4	65	0
22	Jul_14_2005	49.12	49.31	49.41	49.88			50.15(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	14	78	0.01	53%	0.04	58.8	0.81%	0	1.7	68	0
23	Jul_13_2005	49.1	49.24	49.3	49.59			50.06(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	11	48	0.01	50%	0.02	45.1	0.82%	0	1.8	55	0
24	Jul_12_2005	49.09	49.17	49.2	49.37			50.46(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	19	-10000	16	26	0.02	50%	0.02	29.9	0.84%	0	3	58	0
25	Jul_11_2005	49.08	49.07	49.03	49.04			49.52(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	-10000	5	-12	0.01	49%		9.2	0.81%	0	1.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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