Trading Signals: VFMO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VFMO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 18, 2018

Trading Signals: VFMO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 15, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF)
VFMO latest price $84.3400 (0.39%) ($83.6100 - $84.3400) on Mon. Jun. 18, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $84.3400(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VFMO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VFMO advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VFMO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(86%)    VUG(83%)    IWO(82%)    XLY(81%)    SPY(80%)
Factors Impacting VFMO price   VFMO will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-28%)    UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-17%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.18(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.9(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.8(1.86%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VFMO price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(55%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.4%(60%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 2.93%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.65%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2018	79.08	82.8	83.9	84.18	84.14	83.96	84.34(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-20	-6	64	0	52%	0.08	73	1.25%	0	1.2	79	1.3
2	Jun_15_2018	79.02	82.63	83.75	84.07	84.17	84.15	84.01(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	0	-5	70	0.01	52%	0.08	73.7	1.25%	0	1.1	69	1.4
3	Jun_14_2018	78.96	82.47	83.59	84.01	84.15	84.32	84.29(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	20	14	82	0.01	52%	0.08	75.2	1.25%	0	1.4	68	1.7
4	Jun_13_2018	78.9	82.3	83.31	83.83	83.93	84.19	84.1(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	30	13	79	0.01	52%	0.09	79.2	1.25%	0	1.5	69	1.3
5	Jun_12_2018	78.83	82.08	83.11	83.77	83.75	83.99	84.15(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	20	19	85	0.01	52%	0.08	81.2	1.26%	0	1.6	67	1.6

6	Jun_11_2018	78.77	81.89	82.75	83.58	83.62	83.67	83.78(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	14	73	0.01	52%	0.09	87.2	1.26%	0	1.6	65	1.7
7	Jun_8_2018	78.7	81.71	82.5	83.38	83.44	83.52	83.71(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	10	8	66	0.01	55%	0.08	96.5	1.28%	0	1.7	67	1.5
8	Jun_7_2018	78.64	81.53	82.27	83.1	83.23	83.58	83.39(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	30	25	69	0.03	55%	0.08	109.6	1.28%	0	1.7	66	1.3
9	Jun_6_2018	78.58	81.34	82.04	82.7	82.87	83.36	83.82(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	50	37	64	0.01	55%	0.09	112	1.28%	0	2.3	71	1.6
10	Jun_5_2018	78.51	81.07	81.78	82.34	82.39	82.88	83.21(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	40	37	62	0.01	55%	0.09	112.7	1.27%	0	2	73	0.8

11	Jun_4_2018	78.44	80.84	81.59	81.79	82.08	82.39	82.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	40	36	50	0.01	55%	0.06	107.5	1.28%	0	1.8	66	0.2
12	Jun_1_2018	78.39	80.61	81.4	81.49	81.6	81.9	82.33(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	30	13	35	0.01	55%	0.08	99.3	1.28%	0	1.5	64	0.7
13	May_31_2018	78.33	80.35	81.25	81.33	81.39	81.78	81.37(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	40	21	37	0.01	55%	0.05	80.5	1.29%	0	0.8	60	0
14	May_30_2018	78.29	80.14	81.2	81.28	81.35	81.29	82.06(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-0	19	42	0	57%	0.06	73.6	1.29%	0	1.3	70	0.2
15	May_29_2018	78.24	79.87	80.97	81.14	81.12	81.01	80.43(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-10	-24	28	0	52%	0.04	64.8	1.28%	0	0.4	70	-0.7

16	May_25_2018	78.21	79.7	80.98	81.34	81.3	81.41	81.28(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	10	7	57	0	51%	0.06	60.1	1.28%	0	0.9	77	1.2
17	May_24_2018	78.16	79.5	80.89	81.28	81.35	81.23	81.51(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-10	7	69	0	51%	0.06	57.8	1.29%	0	1.2	82	1.2
18	May_23_2018	78.11	79.3	80.75	81.16	81.2	81.19	81.13(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	0	-10	77	0	52%	0.05	53.4	1.3%	0	1.1	85	1.4
19	May_22_2018	78.07	79.08	80.6	81.09	81.21	81.47	81.34(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	21	102	0	52%	0.06	45.9	1.3%	0	1.3	84	1.5
20	May_21_2018	78.02	78.85	80.33	80.78	80.99	81.22	81.43(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	30	24	106	0	52%	0.08	35.8	1.3%	0	1.5	87	1.6

21	May_18_2018	77.96	78.67	80.05	80.56	80.56	80.95	81(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	30	12	107	0	51%	0.05	35	1.29%	0	1.5	80	1.5
22	May_17_2018	77.92	78.51	79.75	80.43	80.47	80.76	80.92(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	30	29	116	0	51%	0.06	38.4	1.3%	0	1.7	74	1.6
23	May_16_2018	77.87	78.38	79.37	80.29	80.31	80.16	80.78(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10	6	100	0	51%	0.06	40.6	1.31%	0	1.8	69	1.5
24	May_15_2018	77.82	78.3	79	80.05	80.25	80.17	79.78(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	0	-3	93	0	51%	0.04	47.2	1.31%	0	1.2	70	1
25	May_14_2018	77.79	78.26	78.68	79.78	80.13	80.46	80.33(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	40	24	95	0	51%		52.9	1.31%	0	1.7	74	2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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