Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCSH latest price $79.5900 (0.11%) ($79.5100 - $79.6200) on Tue. Mar. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $79.5900(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCSH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCSH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(71%)    LQD(70%)    BND(54%)    CEMB(52%)    PCY(51%)
Factors Impacting VCSH price   VCSH will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-29%)    UUP(-26%)    IPO(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    VIXM(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.49(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.39(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.52(0.09%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCSH price fluctuates within 0.25% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2017	79.51		79.39	79.49	79.48	79.53	79.59(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	0	50	25	1.32	51%	0	-16	0.12%	0	0.4	46	INF
2	Mar_20_2017	79.51	79.52	79.39	79.42	79.44	79.47	79.5(0.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	22	0	38	-25	1.19	51%	-0.01	-23.1	0.12%	0	-0.1	36	INF
3	Mar_17_2017	79.52	79.53	79.39	79.37	79.38	79.44	79.46(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	10	32	-67	1.01	51%	-0.01	-30.8	0.12%	0	-0.3	33	INF
4	Mar_16_2017	79.53	79.54	79.37	79.34	79.33	79.41	79.38(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	10	52	-94	3.35	51%	-0.01	-34.6	0.12%	0	-0.8	26	INF
5	Mar_15_2017	79.54	79.54	79.37	79.31	79.3	79.32	79.52(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	0	43	-133	0.96	51%	-0.01	-42.3	0.12%	0	-0.1	34	INF

6	Mar_14_2017	79.55	79.55	79.38	79.28	79.27	79.25	79.26(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-0	-22	-194	0.94	44%	-0.01	-50	0.11%	0	-1.4	29	INF
7	Mar_13_2017	79.56	79.57	79.43	79.31	79.29	79.27	79.23(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-0	-27	-171	0.96	44%	-0.03	-48	0.12%	0	-1.7	30	INF
8	Mar_10_2017	79.58	79.59	79.49	79.36	79.34	79.28	79.29(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-10	-38	-150	0.94	44%	-0.01	-43.5	0.12%	0	-1.7	32	INF
9	Mar_9_2017	79.59	79.61	79.56	79.41	79.4	79.31	79.25(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-79	-10	-60	-134	1.59	44%	-0.01	-33.3	0.12%	0	-2.1	32	INF
10	Mar_8_2017	79.6	79.63	79.62	79.46	79.45	79.4	79.35(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-64	-0	-53	-96	1.1	45%	-0.01	-21.1	0.12%	0	-1.9	47	INF

11	Mar_7_2017	79.61	79.65	79.66	79.51	79.49	79.48	79.43(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-0	-34	-63	1.44	45%	-0.01	-12.5	0.11%	0	-1.7	46	INF
12	Mar_6_2017	79.62	79.66	79.69	79.58	79.52	79.48	79.49(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-0	-38	-37	1.28	45%	-0.01	6.7	0.11%	0	-1.4	46	INF
13	Mar_3_2017	79.63	79.66	79.71	79.65	79.6	79.5	79.53(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-10	-64	-15	1.56	45%	-0.01	20	0.11%	0	-1.2	47	INF
14	Mar_2_2017	79.64	79.66	79.71	79.73	79.7	79.54	79.48(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-92	-20	-121	-5	1.16	49%	-0.01	40	0.11%	0	-1.6	43	INF
15	Mar_1_2017	79.65	79.66	79.71	79.8	79.8	79.71	79.61(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-58	-10	-84	21	1.92	46%	0	60	0.12%	0	-0.5	45	INF

16	Feb_28_2017	79.65	79.67	79.73	79.83	79.86	79.86	79.78(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	0	-7	57	1.37	49%	-0.01	66.7	0.12%	0	0.9	57	INF
17	Feb_27_2017	79.66	79.66	79.72	79.81	79.84	79.9	79.83(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	10	32	68	1.56	49%	-0.01	60	0.12%	0	1.4	59	INF
18	Feb_24_2017	79.67	79.64	79.7	79.78	79.79	79.87	79.93(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	10	67	77	1.39	51%	0	64.3	0.12%	0	2.6	71	INF
19	Feb_23_2017	79.67	79.62	79.67	79.73	79.73	79.77	79.85(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	0	55	67	1.61	48%	0	61.5	0.12%	0	2.3	72	INF
20	Feb_22_2017	79.67	79.6	79.65	79.66	79.67	79.71	79.74(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	0	29	39	2.18	47%	-0.01	60	0.13%	0	1.8	67	INF

21	Feb_21_2017	79.68	79.59	79.64	79.63	79.62	79.68	79.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	28	0	27	29	1.87	47%	-0.03	50	0.13%	0	1.4	54	INF
22	Feb_17_2017	79.7	79.58	79.63	79.61	79.59	79.64	79.7(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	0	41	39	1.24	46%	-0.01	50	0.13%	0	1.5	60	INF
23	Feb_16_2017	79.71	79.57	79.62	79.6	79.57	79.55	79.67(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-0	3	15	3.95	46%	0	45.5	0.13%	0	1.1	56	INF
24	Feb_15_2017	79.71	79.57	79.62	79.59	79.58	79.54	79.5(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-0	-46	-3	2.25	45%	-0.03	36.4	0.12%	0	-0.6	52	INF
25	Feb_14_2017	79.73	79.55	79.6	79.63	79.63	79.6	79.56(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-0	-19	20	1.33	44%		45.5	0.13%	0	0.1	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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