Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCSH latest price $80.8600 (0.02%) ($80.7500 - $80.9500) on Fri. Jul. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.11% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $80.8600(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCSH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCSH advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCSH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(71%)    VCIT(71%)    BND(55%)    CEMB(52%)    PCY(51%)
Factors Impacting VCSH price   VCSH will decline at least -0.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-30%)    UUP(-26%)    IPO(-3%)    IBUY(-1%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.055% (StdDev 0.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.75(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.61(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.49(0.46%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCSH price fluctuates within 0.25% (three month std-dev: 0.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2016	79.89	80.49	80.61	80.75	80.76	80.83	80.86(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	10	45	133	2.01	61%	0.03	92	0.11%	0	1.9	68	INF
2	Jun_30_2016	79.87	80.46	80.57	80.71	80.71	80.78	80.84(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	90	10	75	134	1.34	64%	0.03	92	0.11%	0	1.9	68	INF
3	Jun_29_2016	79.85	80.42	80.53	80.62	80.64	80.7	80.78(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	80	10	70	110	1.61	66%	0.01	76.9	0.11%	0	1.7	70	INF
4	Jun_28_2016	79.84	80.37	80.5	80.54	80.55	80.64	80.77(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	65	10	59	84	1.25	66%	0.03	68	0.12%	0	2	69	INF
5	Jun_27_2016	79.82	80.33	80.46	80.46	80.48	80.58	80.52(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	10	73	73	1.29	63%	0.03	62.5	0.11%	0	1	65	INF

6	Jun_24_2016	79.8	80.3	80.44	80.45	80.42	80.46	80.63(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	0	55	77	1.45	65%	0.01	56	0.11%	0	1.6	74	INF
7	Jun_23_2016	79.79	80.28	80.42	80.4	80.41	80.37	80.42(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-0	-11	45	0.59	64%	0.01	54.2	0.11%	0	0.7	62	INF
8	Jun_22_2016	79.78	80.25	80.41	80.42	80.42	80.38	80.37(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-23	-0	-48	52	0.85	64%	0.03	56	0.11%	0	0.6	71	INF
9	Jun_21_2016	79.76	80.23	80.4	80.42	80.42	80.44	80.35(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-0	-9	105	0.8	64%	0.01	53.8	0.11%	0	0.6	76	INF
10	Jun_20_2016	79.75	80.22	80.39	80.45	80.47	80.46	80.46(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-0	-9	122	0.86	67%	0.03	50	0.11%	0	1.1	71	INF

11	Jun_17_2016	79.73	80.19	80.36	80.44	80.46	80.49	80.42(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	0	15	148	0.92	69%	0.01	48	0.11%	0	1.2	72	INF
12	Jun_16_2016	79.72	80.17	80.35	80.43	80.43	80.48	80.49(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	0	47	172	1.49	72%	0.03	44	0.11%	0	1.6	66	INF
13	Jun_15_2016	79.7	80.14	80.3	80.39	80.39	80.42	80.51(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	0	35	161	0.81	72%	0.01	29.2	0.11%	0	1.9	69	INF
14	Jun_14_2016	79.69	80.12	80.24	80.35	80.36	80.38	80.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	0	25	141	0.92	70%	0.01	23.8	0.11%	0	1.5	67	INF
15	Jun_13_2016	79.68	80.11	80.2	80.32	80.33	80.36	80.4(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	0	34	134	0.92	70%	0.03	19	0.11%	0	1.7	64	INF

16	Jun_10_2016	79.66	80.1	80.15	80.28	80.29	80.33	80.38(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	0	29	115	0.66	70%	0.01	10.5	0.11%	0	1.9	65	INF
17	Jun_9_2016	79.65	80.1	80.12	80.25	80.26	80.3	80.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	60	0	40	120	1.18	70%	0.01	5.9	0.11%	0	1.6	64	INF
18	Jun_8_2016	79.64	80.1	80.09	80.2	80.22	80.26	80.3(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	0	60	111	1.33	72%	0.03	0	0.11%	0	1.6	65	INF
19	Jun_7_2016	79.62	80.1	80.05	80.11	80.14	80.22	80.23(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	10	51	64	0.89	72%	0	-11.8	0.11%	0	1.1	51	INF
20	Jun_6_2016	79.62	80.1	80.03	80.06	80.06	80.18	80.19(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	10	80	43	0.68	72%	0.01	-11.8	0.11%	0	0.8	47	INF

21	Jun_3_2016	79.61	80.08	80	80.01	79.99	80.07	80.25(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	64	10	82	11	0.89	72%	0.03	-23.5	0.11%	0	1.2	50	INF
22	Jun_2_2016	79.59	80.07	79.97	79.97	79.94	79.94	80.02(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-0	13	-44	0.76	70%	0.01	-35.3	0.11%	0	-0.4	43	INF
23	Jun_1_2016	79.58	80.08	79.96	79.96	79.95	79.91	79.86(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-0	-29	-88	0.85	62%	0	-35.3	0.11%	0	-1.6	31	INF
24	May_31_2016	79.58	80.08	79.99	79.96	79.97	79.95	80(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-0	-21	-96	0.52	72%	0.03	-31.3	0.11%	0	-0.8	32	INF
25	May_27_2016	79.56	80.1	80.01	79.98	79.98	79.99	79.92(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	0	-9	-91	1.38	65%		-31.3	0.11%	0	-1.4	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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