Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCSH latest price $80.4600 (0.05%) ($80.3900 - $80.5300) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.11% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $80.4600(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   VCSH advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCSH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(71%)    VCIT(71%)    BND(55%)    CEMB(52%)    PCY(50%)
Factors Impacting VCSH price   VCSH will decline at least -0.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-30%)    UUP(-26%)    IPO(-3%)    IBUY(-1%)    IGOV(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.055% (StdDev 0.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.45(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.39(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.22(0.3%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCSH price fluctuates within 0.26% (three month std-dev: 0.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.19%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.15%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.02%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.04%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2016	79.75	80.22	80.39	80.45	80.47	80.46	80.46(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-0	-9	122	0.86	67%	0.03	50	0.11%	0	1.1	71	0
2	Jun_17_2016	79.73	80.19	80.36	80.44	80.46	80.49	80.42(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	0	15	148	0.92	69%	0.01	48	0.11%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Jun_16_2016	79.72	80.17	80.35	80.43	80.43	80.48	80.49(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	0	47	172	1.49	72%	0.03	44	0.11%	0	1.6	66	0
4	Jun_15_2016	79.7	80.14	80.3	80.39	80.39	80.42	80.51(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	0	35	161	0.81	72%	0.01	29.2	0.11%	0	1.9	69	0
5	Jun_14_2016	79.69	80.12	80.24	80.35	80.36	80.38	80.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	0	25	141	0.92	70%	0.01	23.8	0.11%	0	1.5	67	0

6	Jun_13_2016	79.68	80.11	80.2	80.32	80.33	80.36	80.4(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	0	34	134	0.92	70%	0.03	19	0.11%	0	1.7	64	0
7	Jun_10_2016	79.66	80.1	80.15	80.28	80.29	80.33	80.38(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	0	29	115	0.66	70%	0.01	10.5	0.11%	0	1.9	65	0
8	Jun_9_2016	79.65	80.1	80.12	80.25	80.26	80.3	80.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	60	0	40	120	1.18	70%	0.01	5.9	0.11%	0	1.6	64	0
9	Jun_8_2016	79.64	80.1	80.09	80.2	80.22	80.26	80.3(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	0	60	111	1.33	72%	0.03	0	0.11%	0	1.6	65	0
10	Jun_7_2016	79.62	80.1	80.05	80.11	80.14	80.22	80.23(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	10	51	64	0.89	72%	0	-11.8	0.11%	0	1.1	51	0

11	Jun_6_2016	79.62	80.1	80.03	80.06	80.06	80.18	80.19(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	10	80	43	0.68	72%	0.01	-11.8	0.11%	0	0.8	47	0
12	Jun_3_2016	79.61	80.08	80	80.01	79.99	80.07	80.25(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	64	10	82	11	0.89	72%	0.03	-23.5	0.11%	0	1.2	50	0
13	Jun_2_2016	79.59	80.07	79.97	79.97	79.94	79.94	80.02(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-0	13	-44	0.76	70%	0.01	-35.3	0.11%	0	-0.4	43	0
14	Jun_1_2016	79.58	80.08	79.96	79.96	79.95	79.91	79.86(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-0	-29	-88	0.85	62%	0	-35.3	0.11%	0	-1.6	31	0
15	May_31_2016	79.58	80.08	79.99	79.96	79.97	79.95	80(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-0	-21	-96	0.52	72%	0.03	-31.3	0.11%	0	-0.8	32	0

16	May_27_2016	79.56	80.1	80.01	79.98	79.98	79.99	79.92(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	0	-9	-91	1.38	65%	0.01	-31.3	0.11%	0	-1.4	35	0
17	May_26_2016	79.55	80.11	80.03	79.99	79.98	80	80.07(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	0	15	-81	0.84	69%	0.01	-33.3	0.11%	0	-0.3	42	0
18	May_25_2016	79.54	80.12	80.04	79.97	79.99	79.98	79.96(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-0	0	-98	1.15	70%	0.01	-40	0.11%	0	-1.3	40	0
19	May_24_2016	79.53	80.12	80.07	79.96	79.99	79.99	79.94(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	0	-14	-98	0.88	71%	0.01	-40	0.11%	0	-1.6	41	0
20	May_23_2016	79.52	80.13	80.11	80	79.98	80	80.01(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	0	-6	-73	0.99	72%	0.01	-42.9	0.11%	0	-1.1	43	0

21	May_20_2016	79.51	80.14	80.14	80.04	80.02	80	79.98(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10	-23	-47	0.99	72%	0.01	-35.7	0.11%	0	-1.5	49	0
22	May_19_2016	79.5	80.15	80.16	80.08	80.07	79.97	79.95(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-69	-10	-75	-52	0.76	72%	0.01	-33.3	0.11%	0	-2	40	0
23	May_18_2016	79.49	80.16	80.19	80.13	80.14	80.07	79.91(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-67	-10	-75	-41	0.78	73%	0.01	-18.2	0.11%	0	-2.8	38	0
24	May_17_2016	79.48	80.16	80.19	80.2	80.19	80.17	80.15(-0.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-25	-0	-34	3	0.61	80%	0.01	11.1	0.11%	0	-0.4	52	0
25	May_16_2016	79.47	80.18	80.21	80.24	80.23	80.2	80.23(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-0	-19	36	0.44	77%		44.4	0.11%	0	0.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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