Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VCSH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCSH latest price $79.6000 (0.14%) ($79.5000 - $79.6400) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.11% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $79.6000(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCSH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCSH advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCSH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(71%)    VCIT(71%)    BND(55%)    CEMB(50%)    PCY(50%)
Factors Impacting VCSH price   VCSH will decline at least -0.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-31%)    UUP(-26%)    IPO(-3%)    XME(-2%)    VIXM(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.055% (StdDev 0.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.33(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.18(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.11(0.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCSH price fluctuates within 0.24% (three month std-dev: 0.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.02%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.78%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	79.16	79.11	79.18	79.33	79.31	79.43	79.6(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	139	10	131	161	1.08	62%	0	58.3	0.11%	0	2.6	61	INF
2	Mar_16_2016	79.16	79.07	79.11	79.23	79.2	79.26	79.49(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	68	0	65	75	0.74	61%	-0.01	55	0.11%	0	2.6	57	INF
3	Mar_15_2016	79.17	79.04	79.05	79.14	79.15	79.19	79.21(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	42	0	48	25	1.46	56%	-0.01	38.9	0.1%	0	1.2	56	INF
4	Mar_14_2016	79.18	79.02	79.05	79.11	79.1	79.14	79.21(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	0	35	8	0.63	52%	0	16.7	0.1%	0	1.4	60	INF
5	Mar_11_2016	79.18	79	79.05	79.05	79.07	79.12	79.14(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	10	43	6	0.61	52%	-0.01	0	0.11%	0	1.1	61	INF

6	Mar_10_2016	79.19	79	79.02	79.01	79.03	79.07	79.08(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	0	39	10	0.68	52%	-0.01	-6.3	0.1%	0	0.7	57	INF
7	Mar_9_2016	79.2	79	79.02	78.97	79	79.03	79.07(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	0	36	9	0.65	54%	-0.01	-18.8	0.11%	0	0.6	55	INF
8	Mar_8_2016	79.21	79	79.04	78.94	78.96	78.99	79.03(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	0	25	5	0.62	52%	-0.01	-25	0.11%	0	0.3	59	INF
9	Mar_7_2016	79.22	78.99	79.04	78.92	78.94	78.96	78.92(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	0	-9	2	0.93	50%	-0.01	-25	0.11%	0	-0.5	59	INF
10	Mar_4_2016	79.23	78.99	79.04	78.98	78.97	78.93	78.97(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-0	-29	21	1.73	50%	-0.01	-18.8	0.11%	0	-0.2	56	INF

11	Mar_3_2016	79.24	79	79.03	79.04	79.04	78.92	78.88(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-52	-10	-75	19	1.48	45%	-0.01	0	0.11%	0	-0.9	44	INF
12	Mar_2_2016	79.25	79.01	79.03	79.11	79.12	79	78.88(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-66	-10	-98	32	2.27	43%	-0.01	18.8	0.11%	0	-1	45	INF
13	Mar_1_2016	79.26	79.01	79.04	79.11	79.18	79.16	78.96(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-10	-0	-34	63	1.44	43%	-0.01	25	0.11%	0	-0.5	46	INF
14	Feb_29_2016	79.27	79.01	79.03	79.15	79.17	79.24	79.22(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	10	55	88	1.42	45%	0	25	0.1%	0	1.5	53	INF
15	Feb_26_2016	79.27	79.02	78.99	79.09	79.09	79.21	79.24(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	87	10	95	62	1.99	45%	-0.01	13.3	0.1%	0	1.8	58	INF

16	Feb_25_2016	79.28	79.01	78.96	79.03	79.01	79.1	79.25(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	82	10	96	38	1.02	45%	0	0	0.1%	0	2.2	56	INF
17	Feb_24_2016	79.28	79.01	78.94	78.97	78.96	78.97	79.06(0.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	23	0	38	-21	1.01	41%	-0.01	-15.4	0.1%	0	0.7	46	INF
18	Feb_23_2016	79.29	79.01	78.93	78.92	78.94	78.93	78.98(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-0	14	-48	0.81	39%	-0.01	-30.8	0.1%	0	-0.1	45	INF
19	Feb_22_2016	79.3	78.99	78.94	78.88	78.91	78.93	78.9(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	0	14	-54	0.71	36%	-0.01	-46.2	0.1%	0	-0.9	48	INF
20	Feb_19_2016	79.31	79	78.95	78.87	78.87	78.94	78.94(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	10	32	-65	1.09	36%	0	-54.5	0.1%	0	-0.7	40	INF

21	Feb_18_2016	79.31	79	78.97	78.89	78.86	78.87	78.96(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	-0	19	-58	0.6	36%	-0.01	-54.5	0.1%	0	-0.6	47	INF
22	Feb_17_2016	79.32	79.01	78.98	78.9	78.89	78.81	78.84(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-10	-48	-79	1.22	33%	-0.01	-54.5	0.1%	0	-1.9	44	INF
23	Feb_16_2016	79.33	79.02	79	78.94	78.95	78.85	78.77(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-105	-10	-110	-91	0.89	37%	-0.01	-40	0.09%	0	-3.1	39	INF
24	Feb_12_2016	79.34	79.04	79.02	79.01	79.02	78.97	78.84(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-53	-0	-57	-41	0.92	42%	0	-25	0.1%	0	-3.3	45	INF
25	Feb_11_2016	79.34	79.05	79.06	79.05	79.06	79.04	79.04(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-0	-17	-0	0.77	46%		0	0.09%	0	-0.2	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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