Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VCSH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: VCSH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCSH latest price $78.9800 (0.1%) ($78.8700 - $79.0000) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.1% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $78.9800(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCSH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCSH declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCSH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(71%)    VCIT(71%)    BND(55%)    CEMB(50%)    PCY(50%)
Factors Impacting VCSH price   VCSH will decline at least -0.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-31%)    UUP(-26%)    IPO(-3%)    VIXM(2%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.05% (StdDev 0.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $78.99
5 Day Moving Average   $78.92(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.93(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.99(-0.01%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCSH price fluctuates within 0.13% (three month std-dev: 0.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2016	79.29		78.93	78.92	78.94	78.93	78.98(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-0	14	-48	0.81	39%	-0.01	-30.8	0.1%	0	-0.1	45	INF
2	Feb_22_2016	79.3	78.99	78.94	78.88	78.91	78.93	78.9(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	0	14	-54	0.71	36%	-0.01	-46.2	0.1%	0	-0.9	48	INF
3	Feb_19_2016	79.31	79	78.95	78.87	78.87	78.94	78.94(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	10	32	-65	1.09	36%	0	-54.5	0.1%	0	-0.7	40	INF
4	Feb_18_2016	79.31	79	78.97	78.89	78.86	78.87	78.96(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	-0	19	-58	0.6	36%	-0.01	-54.5	0.1%	0	-0.6	47	INF
5	Feb_17_2016	79.32	79.01	78.98	78.9	78.89	78.81	78.84(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-10	-48	-79	1.22	33%	-0.01	-54.5	0.1%	0	-1.9	44	INF

6	Feb_16_2016	79.33	79.02	79	78.94	78.95	78.85	78.77(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-105	-10	-110	-91	0.89	37%	-0.01	-40	0.09%	0	-3.1	39	INF
7	Feb_12_2016	79.34	79.04	79.02	79.01	79.02	78.97	78.84(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-53	-0	-57	-41	0.92	42%	0	-25	0.1%	0	-3.3	45	INF
8	Feb_11_2016	79.34	79.04	79.02	79.01	79.02	79.04	79.04(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-0	-17	-0	0.77	46%	-0.01	0	0.09%	0	-0.2	51	INF
9	Feb_10_2016	79.35	79.04	79.02	79.05	79.06	79.07	79.02(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	0	-9	3	0.76	46%	-0.01	20	0.09%	0	-0.8	48	INF
10	Feb_9_2016	79.36	79.05	79.02	79.05	79.05	79.08	79.05(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	26	0	26	24	1.31	46%	0	60	0.09%	0	0	50	INF

11	Feb_8_2016	79.36	79.06	79.06	79.07	79.04	79.04	79.1(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-0	23	23	0.73	46%	-0.01	60	0.09%	0	1	52	INF
12	Feb_5_2016	79.37	79.06	79.06	79.04	79.03	79.02	79.03(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-0	-13	-11	0.64	41%	0	40	0.1%	0	-0.5	46	INF
13	Feb_4_2016	79.37	79.05	79.06	79.04	79.02	79.04	79.07(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	0	-4	-2	1.12	39%	0	80	0.1%	0	0.5	50	INF
14	Feb_3_2016	79.37	79.05	79.05	79.06	79.05	79.03	79.1(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-0	24	10	1.82	39%	-0.01	66.7	0.1%	0	1.2	49	INF
15	Feb_2_2016	79.38	79.04	79.05	79.06	79.04	79	79.05(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-0	-38	-27	1.11	39%	0	66.7	0.1%	0	0.2	49	INF

16	Feb_1_2016	79.38	79.04	79.04	79.04	79.05	79.07	78.95(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	0	-15	-18	1.76	36%	-0.01	50	0.1%	0	-1.3	41	INF
17	Jan_29_2016	79.39	79.03	79.05	79.05	79.06	79.09	79.15(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	48	0	56	22	1.15	36%	0	66.7	0.09%	0	2.4	65	INF
18	Jan_28_2016	79.39	79.02	79.04	79.05	79.06	79.02	79.04(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-0	-10	-10	1.29	29%	0	33.3	0.1%	0	0.4	58	INF
19	Jan_27_2016	79.39	79.01	79.04	79.03	79.03	79.04	79.01(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	0	0	6	1.12	33%	-0.01	12.5	0.1%	0	0	60	INF
20	Jan_26_2016	79.4	79.01	79.05	79.03	79.03	79.03	79.05(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-0	5	20	1.12	32%	0	11.1	0.1%	0	0.7	69	INF

21	Jan_25_2016	79.4	79.01	79.05	79.04	79.04	79.02	79(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-0	-19	16	0.75	32%	-0.01	22.2	0.1%	0	0	60	INF
22	Jan_22_2016	79.41	79.01	79.06	79.04	79.05	79.04	79.04(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-0	-19	28	0.88	32%	0	20	0.1%	0	0.5	57	INF
23	Jan_21_2016	79.41	79.01	79.05	79.06	79.05	79.04	79.06(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-0	-2	47	0.92	32%	-0.01	30	0.1%	0	0.8	71	INF
24	Jan_20_2016	79.42	79.01	79.04	79.06	79.08	79.06	79.05(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-0	-21	46	2.83	32%	0	30	0.11%	0	0.6	74	INF
25	Jan_19_2016	79.42	79	79.03	79.07	79.09	79.1	79.05(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	0	0	55	1.74	32%		20	0.11%	0	0.6	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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