Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 17, 2020

Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCIT latest price $85.6000 (-2.83%) ($85.4100 - $87.9400) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $85.6000(-2.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCIT declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCIT declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(77%)    VCSH(69%)    BND(65%)    TIP(61%)    TLT(61%)
Factors Impacting VCIT price   VCIT will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-62%)    UUP(-32%)    VIXM(-27%)    VXX(-12%)    UNG(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

Resistance Level   $92.12
5 Day Moving Average   $87.8(-2.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.61(-5.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.12(-7.08%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCIT price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.52%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(41%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.33%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.91%(56%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.72%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2020	91.8	92.12	90.61	87.8	87.22	86.55	85.6(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-175	-70	-125	-323	6.7	29%	-0.05	-52.4	0.76%	0	-2.4	26	-2.2
2	Mar_16_2020	91.85	92.53	91.55	89.04	88.22	87.3	88.09(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-178	-100	-140	-293	6.21	34%	-0.04	-47.8	0.68%	0	-1.9	30	-2.7
3	Mar_13_2020	91.89	92.8	92.14	90.04	89.68	87.89	88.86(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-210	-150	-190	-268	6.44	38%	-0.02	-40.5	0.67%	0	-1.9	32	-1.9
4	Mar_12_2020	91.91	93.03	92.69	91.2	91	89.14	86.95(-2.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-318	-150	-333	-273	14.33	27%	-0.05	-27.6	0.61%	0	-3.3	22	-2.6
5	Mar_11_2020	91.96	93.36	93.4	92.76	92.77	91.47	89.5(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-231	-100	-253	-164	8.33	36%	-0.01	-5.6	0.49%	0	-3.3	30	-2.2

6	Mar_10_2020	91.97	93.56	93.86	93.82	93.85	92.85	91.82(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-207	-70	-252	-73	8.56	46%	0.01	30.9	0.37%	0	-2.3	43	-2
7	Mar_9_2020	91.96	93.64	94.08	94.4	94.5	94.08	93.06(-1.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.1	-102	-30	-151	45	5	53%	0.01	63.8	0.33%	0	-0.9	52	-2.7
8	Mar_6_2020	91.95	93.63	94.15	94.54	94.76	94.86	94.65(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	10	24	195	5.2	68%	0.04	65.7	0.24%	0	1.5	74	-2.3
9	Mar_5_2020	91.91	93.53	94.03	94.44	94.54	94.92	94.76(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	141	30	111	232	3.47	68%	0.04	61.8	0.24%	0	1.9	77	-2.1
10	Mar_4_2020	91.87	93.43	93.88	94.17	94.28	94.66	94.82(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	181	30	166	226	2.78	68%	0.04	51.6	0.24%	0	2.3	77	-1.6

11	Mar_3_2020	91.83	93.32	93.7	93.93	93.94	94.17	94.72(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	113	20	95	168	7.4	71%	0.04	49.1	0.24%	0	2.7	74	-2.3
12	Mar_2_2020	91.79	93.23	93.54	93.74	93.76	93.9	93.76(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	75	10	54	136	5.78	60%	0.03	53.5	0.22%	0	1.3	62	-1.9
13	Feb_28_2020	91.76	93.2	93.46	93.7	93.71	93.71	94.16(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	63	0	41	128	9.4	65%	0.03	63.4	0.22%	0	2.5	74	-2.8
14	Feb_27_2020	91.73	93.14	93.33	93.56	93.66	93.62	93.38(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	0	-18	101	4.46	59%	0.02	75.8	0.2%	0	0.8	69	-3.1
15	Feb_26_2020	91.71	93.12	93.29	93.54	93.64	93.71	93.64(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	10	53	132	3.03	62%	0.02	87.5	0.2%	0	1.7	76	-2.4

16	Feb_25_2020	91.69	93.07	93.22	93.43	93.4	93.69	93.74(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	82	20	67	126	3.06	62%	0.02	87.1	0.2%	0	2.3	75	-3.2
17	Feb_24_2020	91.67	93.02	93.15	93.31	93.24	93.57	93.6(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	146	20	147	143	3.05	62%	0.02	103.7	0.2%	0	2.3	63	-3.1
18	Feb_21_2020	91.65	92.96	93.08	93.19	93.1	93.12	93.46(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	81	-0	80	83	2.86	62%	0.02	108	0.2%	0	2.2	50	-0.8
19	Feb_20_2020	91.63	92.91	93	93.07	92.99	92.92	93.28(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-29	-10	-40	5	5.28	62%	0.02	104	0.2%	0	1.6	54	0.4
20	Feb_19_2020	91.61	92.86	92.94	92.99	93.03	93.09	93.08(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	10	15	6	1.77	61%	0.02	100	0.2%	0	0.9	54	1

21	Feb_18_2020	91.59	92.82	92.91	92.99	92.98	93.07	93.13(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	10	31	9	1.1	61%	0.03	93.5	0.2%	0	1.1	59	0.8
22	Feb_14_2020	91.56	92.76	92.89	92.97	92.96	92.96	92.99(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-0	19	14	1.4	64%	0.02	81.1	0.19%	0	0.7	56	0.9
23	Feb_13_2020	91.54	92.71	92.92	92.95	92.97	92.89	92.87(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10	-10	20	1.29	64%	0.02	77.5	0.2%	0	0.4	58	0.6
24	Feb_12_2020	91.52	92.67	92.92	92.91	92.96	92.95	92.88(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	0	-14	30	1.77	64%	0.01	72.7	0.2%	0	0.5	62	1
25	Feb_11_2020	91.51	92.62	92.94	92.87	92.91	93.05	92.98(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	10	35	62	2.09	64%		66.7	0.2%	0	0.8	66	0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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