Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCIT latest price $86.6300 (-0.3%) ($86.6300 - $86.8500) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $86.6300(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCIT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCIT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(78%)    VCSH(71%)    BND(68%)    TIP(63%)    TLT(62%)
Factors Impacting VCIT price   VCIT will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-24%)    IPO(-3%)    UNG(3%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.48(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.23(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.11(0.6%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCIT price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.07%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.24%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.09%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2017	86.52	86.11	86.23	86.48	86.57	86.78	86.63(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	20	47	63	1.06	53%	-0.03	50	0.27%	0	1.6	59	INF
2	Feb_24_2017	86.55	86.07	86.17	86.4	86.42	86.65	86.89(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	84	20	87	75	1.14	55%	-0.02	48.6	0.27%	0	2.7	70	INF
3	Feb_23_2017	86.57	86.01	86.09	86.22	86.26	86.36	86.49(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	62	10	65	51	1.02	50%	-0.02	42.9	0.26%	0	2	67	INF
4	Feb_22_2017	86.59	85.97	86.07	86.06	86.12	86.18	86.26(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	10	28	31	1.22	48%	-0.03	18.5	0.27%	0	1.3	66	INF
5	Feb_21_2017	86.62	85.95	86.07	85.97	85.97	86.16	86.15(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	20	29	25	1.2	48%	-0.07	0	0.27%	0	0.9	52	INF

6	Feb_17_2017	86.68	85.94	86.06	85.94	85.91	86.05	86.2(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	10	53	38	0.64	43%	-0.05	0	0.28%	0	1.2	58	INF
7	Feb_16_2017	86.72	85.92	86.02	85.92	85.86	85.79	86.01(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10	-2	12	1.07	43%	-0.03	-12.5	0.28%	0	0.4	52	INF
8	Feb_15_2017	86.75	85.91	86.02	85.93	85.89	85.78	85.69(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-10	-53	-8	1.1	42%	-0.06	-20.8	0.28%	0	-1	50	INF
9	Feb_14_2017	86.8	85.92	85.99	86.08	86.02	85.93	85.82(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-18	-10	-31	20	0.86	39%	-0.03	-3.8	0.28%	0	-0.5	55	INF
10	Feb_13_2017	86.83	85.92	86.01	86.16	86.15	85.99	86(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-10	-30	36	0.69	39%	-0.05	11.5	0.29%	0	0.3	53	INF

11	Feb_10_2017	86.87	85.92	85.98	86.18	86.21	86.12	86.08(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-10	-29	30	0.73	38%	-0.03	19.2	0.29%	0	0.6	48	INF
12	Feb_9_2017	86.9	85.94	85.96	86.12	86.22	86.31	86.08(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	10	17	44	1.66	35%	-0.05	11.1	0.29%	0	0.6	55	INF
13	Feb_8_2017	86.94	85.95	85.93	86.04	86.13	86.3	86.4(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	49	20	50	46	1.13	36%	-0.02	7.4	0.32%	0	2	61	INF
14	Feb_7_2017	86.96	85.93	85.85	85.89	85.98	86.14	86.23(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	20	44	19	0.82	36%	-0.03	-4.2	0.32%	0	1.4	54	INF
15	Feb_6_2017	86.99	85.91	85.85	85.84	85.83	85.97	86.12(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	24	10	32	-0	0.79	36%	-0.03	-4.3	0.32%	0	1.1	45	INF

16	Feb_3_2017	87.02	85.9	85.85	85.77	85.79	85.82	85.79(0.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	13	0	21	-11	0.88	33%	-0.03	-4.5	0.31%	0	-0.6	46	INF
17	Feb_2_2017	87.05	85.92	85.85	85.78	85.78	85.69	85.68(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10	-17	-32	0.9	33%	-0.03	20.8	0.31%	0	-1.1	42	INF
18	Feb_1_2017	87.08	85.93	85.81	85.8	85.81	85.77	85.61(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-0	-20	-41	0.66	32%	-0.03	43.5	0.31%	0	-1.6	42	INF
19	Jan_31_2017	87.11	85.94	85.85	85.81	85.83	85.88	86.01(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	0	15	-31	1.57	34%	-0.03	60.9	0.31%	0	0.4	48	INF
20	Jan_30_2017	87.14	85.92	85.87	85.78	85.76	85.84	85.74(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	10	4	-33	1.16	32%	-0.03	73.9	0.31%	0	-0.9	45	INF

21	Jan_27_2017	87.17	85.91	85.9	85.86	85.78	85.77	85.88(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	-0	14	-16	1.46	31%	-0.03	91.3	0.31%	0	-0.2	52	INF
22	Jan_26_2017	87.2	85.88	85.92	85.84	85.78	85.67	85.78(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10	-19	-33	2.15	30%	-0.06	77.8	0.31%	0	-0.4	42	INF
23	Jan_25_2017	87.25	85.84	85.96	85.83	85.82	85.79	85.63(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-0	-35	-37	3.94	30%	-0.05	60.6	0.31%	0	-0.8	47	INF
24	Jan_24_2017	87.29	85.82	86.01	85.89	85.83	85.97	85.87(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	9	10	12	-1	1.77	30%	-0.01	60	0.31%	0	0.1	55	INF
25	Jan_23_2017	87.3	85.78	86.02	85.97	85.86	85.84	86.15(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10	18	19	1.46	31%		68.3	0.3%	0	1.1	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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